Opinion Poll by Peter Hajek for APA and ATV, 18–21 October 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 34.6% | 23.0% | 21.2–25.0% | 20.7–25.6% | 20.2–26.0% | 19.4–27.0% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 23.9% | 23.0% | 21.2–25.0% | 20.7–25.6% | 20.2–26.0% | 19.4–27.0% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (ID) | 17.2% | 20.0% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.8–22.5% | 17.4–22.9% | 16.6–23.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 14.1% | 16.0% | 14.4–17.8% | 14.0–18.3% | 13.6–18.7% | 12.9–19.6% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 8.4% | 12.0% | 10.6–13.6% | 10.2–14.1% | 9.9–14.4% | 9.3–15.2% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte (*) | N/A | 4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.9–5.6% | 2.5–6.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 7 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (ID) | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 2 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 1 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte (*) | N/A | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |