Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS, 20–24 April 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 36.9% 46.4% 43.3–48.6% 42.7–49.2% 42.0–49.8% 40.7–51.0%
Labour Party 30.4% 24.2% 21.8–26.3% 21.3–27.0% 20.7–27.6% 19.8–28.7%
Liberal Democrats 7.9% 11.5% 9.9–13.2% 9.5–13.7% 9.1–14.1% 8.4–15.0%
UK Independence Party 12.6% 8.0% 6.6–9.5% 6.3–9.9% 6.0–10.3% 5.5–11.1%
Scottish National Party 4.7% 4.8% 3.7–6.0% 3.4–6.4% 3.3–6.7% 2.9–7.4%
Green Party 3.8% 4.0% 3.0–5.2% 2.9–5.5% 2.6–5.8% 2.3–6.4%
Plaid Cymru 0.6% 1.1% 0.7–1.9% 0.5–2.2% 0.5–2.3% 0.4–2.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 331 N/A 374–419 369–424 363–429 352–439
Labour Party 232 N/A 130–173 124–177 119–181 110–193
Liberal Democrats 8 N/A 15–34 12–37 10–42 8–48
UK Independence Party 1 N/A 0 0 0 0
Scottish National Party 56 N/A 45–56 43–58 42–58 37–59
Green Party 1 N/A 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Plaid Cymru 3 N/A 4–12 4–14 3–15 1–19

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 390 N/A 431–478 425–484 419–490 408–500
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 387 N/A 424–469 418–475 413–480 401–489
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 339 N/A 400–442 394–448 390–453 379–463
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 334 N/A 382–427 376–434 370–439 359–449
Conservative Party 331 N/A 374–419 369–424 363–429 352–439
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 299 N/A 212–256 206–262 201–267 192–279
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 296 N/A 203–249 197–255 192–260 182–272
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 291 N/A 188–231 182–236 178–240 168–252
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 288 N/A 179–224 174–229 168–233 158–244
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 243 N/A 161–207 155–213 150–218 141–230
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 240 N/A 152–199 146–206 140–211 130–223
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 235 N/A 140–180 133–184 129–188 120–200
Labour Party 232 N/A 130–173 124–177 119–181 110–193

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations