Opinion Poll by Panelbase, 20–24 April 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Conservative Party |
36.9% |
49.4% |
46.8–51.6% |
46.1–52.2% |
45.5–52.8% |
44.4–54.0% |
Labour Party |
30.4% |
26.7% |
24.6–28.8% |
24.0–29.4% |
23.5–29.9% |
22.5–31.0% |
Liberal Democrats |
7.9% |
9.9% |
8.5–11.4% |
8.2–11.8% |
7.9–12.2% |
7.3–13.0% |
Scottish National Party |
4.7% |
5.2% |
4.2–6.3% |
3.9–6.7% |
3.7–7.0% |
3.3–7.6% |
UK Independence Party |
12.6% |
5.0% |
4.1–6.2% |
3.8–6.5% |
3.6–6.8% |
3.2–7.5% |
Green Party |
3.8% |
2.9% |
2.2–3.9% |
2.1–4.2% |
1.9–4.4% |
1.6–4.9% |
Plaid Cymru |
0.6% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.5% |
0.4–1.6% |
0.4–1.8% |
0.3–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
390 |
N/A |
437–477 |
432–481 |
428–485 |
417–495 |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party |
387 |
N/A |
432–471 |
427–475 |
422–478 |
412–487 |
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats |
339 |
N/A |
392–433 |
387–437 |
383–441 |
372–451 |
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru |
334 |
N/A |
384–423 |
380–428 |
375–432 |
364–442 |
Conservative Party |
331 |
N/A |
380–418 |
374–421 |
370–425 |
360–434 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
299 |
N/A |
214–252 |
210–257 |
206–261 |
198–271 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party |
296 |
N/A |
209–247 |
204–252 |
200–256 |
190–267 |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
291 |
N/A |
199–239 |
194–244 |
191–249 |
181–259 |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party |
288 |
N/A |
193–234 |
189–239 |
184–243 |
174–255 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru |
243 |
N/A |
160–199 |
156–204 |
153–209 |
144–219 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats |
240 |
N/A |
154–194 |
150–199 |
146–204 |
136–214 |
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru |
235 |
N/A |
146–185 |
143–189 |
140–195 |
132–204 |
Labour Party |
232 |
N/A |
141–180 |
138–183 |
133–189 |
123–199 |
Opinion Poll
- Pollster: Panelbase
- Media: —
- Fieldwork period: 20–24 April 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 718
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.63%