Opinion Poll by Panelbase, 20–24 April 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 36.9% 49.4% 46.8–51.6% 46.1–52.2% 45.5–52.8% 44.4–54.0%
Labour Party 30.4% 26.7% 24.6–28.8% 24.0–29.4% 23.5–29.9% 22.5–31.0%
Liberal Democrats 7.9% 9.9% 8.5–11.4% 8.2–11.8% 7.9–12.2% 7.3–13.0%
Scottish National Party 4.7% 5.2% 4.2–6.3% 3.9–6.7% 3.7–7.0% 3.3–7.6%
UK Independence Party 12.6% 5.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.6–6.8% 3.2–7.5%
Green Party 3.8% 2.9% 2.2–3.9% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.4% 1.6–4.9%
Plaid Cymru 0.6% 0.8% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.6% 0.4–1.8% 0.3–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 331 N/A 380–418 374–421 370–425 360–434
Labour Party 232 N/A 141–180 138–183 133–189 123–199
Liberal Democrats 8 N/A 6–23 5–26 4–28 4–31
Scottish National Party 56 N/A 47–58 45–59 43–59 40–59
UK Independence Party 1 N/A 0 0 0 0
Green Party 1 N/A 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Plaid Cymru 3 N/A 4–8 3–11 1–12 0–13

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 390 N/A 437–477 432–481 428–485 417–495
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 387 N/A 432–471 427–475 422–478 412–487
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 339 N/A 392–433 387–437 383–441 372–451
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 334 N/A 384–423 380–428 375–432 364–442
Conservative Party 331 N/A 380–418 374–421 370–425 360–434
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 299 N/A 214–252 210–257 206–261 198–271
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 296 N/A 209–247 204–252 200–256 190–267
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 291 N/A 199–239 194–244 191–249 181–259
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 288 N/A 193–234 189–239 184–243 174–255
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 243 N/A 160–199 156–204 153–209 144–219
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 240 N/A 154–194 150–199 146–204 136–214
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 235 N/A 146–185 143–189 140–195 132–204
Labour Party 232 N/A 141–180 138–183 133–189 123–199

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations