Opinion Poll by Ipsos MORI for Evening Standard, 21–25 April 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 36.9% 49.0% 46.2–51.1% 45.5–51.8% 44.9–52.4% 43.8–53.5%
Labour Party 30.4% 25.8% 23.6–27.8% 23.0–28.5% 22.5–29.0% 21.6–30.1%
Liberal Democrats 7.9% 13.2% 11.6–14.9% 11.1–15.4% 10.8–15.8% 10.1–16.7%
Scottish National Party 4.7% 4.2% 3.3–5.3% 3.1–5.6% 2.9–5.9% 2.6–6.5%
UK Independence Party 12.6% 3.8% 3.0–4.8% 2.7–5.2% 2.6–5.4% 2.2–6.0%
Plaid Cymru 0.6% 1.9% 1.4–2.7% 1.2–3.0% 1.1–3.2% 0.9–3.6%
Green Party 3.8% 1.3% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.5% 0.5–2.9%
British National Party 0.0% 0.9% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9% 0.3–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 331 N/A 373–419 367–422 362–427 352–438
Labour Party 232 N/A 129–169 122–175 118–177 110–189
Liberal Democrats 8 N/A 22–44 20–45 19–48 13–50
Scottish National Party 56 N/A 40–51 37–54 34–54 26–57
UK Independence Party 1 N/A 0 0 0 0
Plaid Cymru 3 N/A 8–18 7–21 6–25 4–26
Green Party 1 N/A 0 0 0 0–1
British National Party 0 N/A 0 0 0 0

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 390 N/A 431–476 422–483 417–488 406–495
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 387 N/A 418–463 413–467 408–474 396–480
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 339 N/A 406–446 398–449 396–454 388–465
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 334 N/A 384–433 377–436 372–441 362–453
Conservative Party 331 N/A 373–419 367–422 362–427 352–438
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 299 N/A 213–259 210–265 205–270 194–280
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 296 N/A 199–248 196–255 191–260 179–270
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 291 N/A 186–226 183–234 178–236 167–244
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 288 N/A 172–214 168–221 164–226 152–235
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 243 N/A 169–214 165–219 158–224 152–236
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 240 N/A 156–201 149–209 144–215 137–226
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 235 N/A 143–181 136–186 133–189 126–201
Labour Party 232 N/A 129–169 122–175 118–177 110–189

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations