Opinion Poll by Kantar Public, 4–8 May 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 36.9% 44.2% 41.4–46.6% 40.7–47.3% 40.1–48.0% 38.9–49.2%
Labour Party 30.4% 28.0% 25.6–30.3% 25.0–31.0% 24.4–31.6% 23.4–32.7%
Liberal Democrats 7.9% 10.8% 9.3–12.5% 8.8–13.0% 8.5–13.4% 7.8–14.3%
UK Independence Party 12.6% 7.8% 6.5–9.3% 6.2–9.8% 5.9–10.2% 5.3–11.0%
Green Party 3.8% 4.6% 3.7–5.9% 3.4–6.3% 3.2–6.6% 2.8–7.3%
Scottish National Party 4.7% 4.3% 3.4–5.5% 3.1–5.9% 2.9–6.2% 2.6–6.9%
Plaid Cymru 0.6% 0.3% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–1.0% 0.1–1.2% 0.0–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 331 371 347–392 341–401 334–408 322–417
Labour Party 232 185 167–210 157–215 152–220 143–233
Liberal Democrats 8 23 12–33 10–38 9–42 6–47
UK Independence Party 1 0 0 0 0 0
Green Party 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Scottish National Party 56 49 42–56 40–57 38–58 22–59
Plaid Cymru 3 3 0–4 0–6 0–7 0–10

Conservative Party

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
307 0% 100%
308 0% 99.9%
309 0% 99.9%
310 0% 99.9%
311 0% 99.9%
312 0% 99.9%
313 0% 99.9%
314 0% 99.9%
315 0% 99.9%
316 0% 99.8%
317 0% 99.8%
318 0% 99.8%
319 0.1% 99.7%
320 0% 99.7%
321 0.1% 99.7%
322 0.1% 99.6%
323 0.1% 99.5%
324 0% 99.4%
325 0.2% 99.4%
326 0.2% 99.2%
327 0.2% 98.9%
328 0.1% 98.7%
329 0.2% 98.6%
330 0.2% 98%
331 0.1% 98%
332 0.2% 98%
333 0.2% 98%
334 0.3% 98%
335 0.4% 97%
336 0.2% 97%
337 0.4% 97%
338 0.4% 96%
339 0.6% 96%
340 0.5% 96%
341 0.6% 95%
342 0.3% 94%
343 0.6% 94%
344 0.5% 94%
345 0.5% 93%
346 2% 93%
347 1.1% 90%
348 1.2% 89%
349 0.9% 88%
350 2% 87%
351 1.1% 85%
352 0.8% 84%
353 3% 83%
354 3% 81%
355 1.2% 78%
356 0.8% 76%
357 3% 76%
358 2% 73%
359 1.0% 71%
360 1.3% 70%
361 2% 69%
362 1.2% 67%
363 2% 65%
364 2% 64%
365 1.3% 62%
366 1.5% 61%
367 1.5% 59%
368 1.0% 58%
369 2% 57%
370 3% 55%
371 3% 52%
372 3% 49%
373 3% 46%
374 2% 43%
375 3% 41%
376 2% 38%
377 3% 36%
378 3% 33%
379 3% 30%
380 3% 27%
381 3% 24%
382 2% 21%
383 1.2% 19%
384 1.0% 18%
385 2% 17%
386 1.4% 14%
387 0.5% 13%
388 0.7% 12%
389 0.3% 12%
390 0.9% 11%
391 0.5% 10%
392 0.9% 10%
393 0.3% 9%
394 0.6% 9%
395 0.5% 8%
396 0.2% 8%
397 0.4% 8%
398 0.7% 7%
399 0.3% 6%
400 1.0% 6%
401 0.6% 5%
402 0.3% 5%
403 0.3% 4%
404 0.5% 4%
405 0.4% 4%
406 0.4% 3%
407 0.2% 3%
408 0.5% 3%
409 0.1% 2%
410 0.3% 2%
411 0.2% 2%
412 0.3% 1.5%
413 0.2% 1.2%
414 0.1% 1.0%
415 0.2% 0.9%
416 0.2% 0.7%
417 0.1% 0.5%
418 0.1% 0.4%
419 0.1% 0.3%
420 0% 0.2%
421 0% 0.2%
422 0% 0.2%
423 0% 0.1%
424 0% 0.1%
425 0% 0.1%
426 0% 0.1%
427 0% 0%

Labour Party

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
134 0% 100%
135 0% 99.9%
136 0% 99.9%
137 0% 99.9%
138 0% 99.8%
139 0.1% 99.8%
140 0% 99.8%
141 0.1% 99.7%
142 0.1% 99.6%
143 0.1% 99.6%
144 0.1% 99.5%
145 0.2% 99.4%
146 0.1% 99.2%
147 0.4% 99.1%
148 0.3% 98.7%
149 0.3% 98%
150 0.1% 98%
151 0.5% 98%
152 0.4% 98%
153 0.6% 97%
154 0.5% 97%
155 0.4% 96%
156 0.4% 96%
157 0.7% 95%
158 0.5% 94%
159 0.5% 94%
160 0.2% 93%
161 0.4% 93%
162 0.7% 93%
163 0.4% 92%
164 0.4% 92%
165 0.3% 91%
166 0.5% 91%
167 0.8% 91%
168 1.0% 90%
169 0.5% 89%
170 1.2% 88%
171 0.6% 87%
172 1.2% 86%
173 1.5% 85%
174 2% 84%
175 3% 82%
176 2% 79%
177 4% 77%
178 3% 73%
179 3% 70%
180 2% 68%
181 3% 65%
182 3% 62%
183 4% 59%
184 3% 56%
185 3% 52%
186 2% 50%
187 3% 48%
188 2% 45%
189 2% 43%
190 1.4% 41%
191 2% 39%
192 1.1% 38%
193 3% 37%
194 1.2% 34%
195 1.0% 33%
196 2% 32%
197 0.9% 30%
198 3% 29%
199 1.4% 26%
200 3% 25%
201 0.9% 22%
202 2% 21%
203 1.5% 19%
204 0.4% 17%
205 0.7% 17%
206 0.8% 16%
207 1.2% 15%
208 0.8% 14%
209 2% 13%
210 1.4% 11%
211 0.7% 10%
212 2% 9%
213 0.6% 7%
214 0.6% 6%
215 1.1% 6%
216 0.7% 5%
217 0.4% 4%
218 0.3% 4%
219 0.4% 3%
220 0.4% 3%
221 0.4% 2%
222 0.3% 2%
223 0.1% 2%
224 0.1% 2%
225 0.2% 2%
226 0.1% 1.5%
227 0.2% 1.4%
228 0.2% 1.2%
229 0.1% 0.9%
230 0.1% 0.8%
231 0.1% 0.7%
232 0.1% 0.6%
233 0% 0.5%
234 0% 0.5%
235 0.1% 0.4%
236 0% 0.4%
237 0% 0.3%
238 0% 0.3%
239 0% 0.3%
240 0% 0.2%
241 0% 0.2%
242 0% 0.2%
243 0% 0.2%
244 0% 0.2%
245 0% 0.1%
246 0% 0.1%
247 0% 0.1%
248 0% 0.1%
249 0% 0.1%
250 0% 0.1%
251 0% 0.1%
252 0% 0.1%
253 0% 0%

Liberal Democrats

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
4 0.1% 100%
5 0.2% 99.9%
6 0.6% 99.7%
7 0.7% 99.1%
8 0.8% 98%
9 2% 98%
10 2% 95%
11 3% 93%
12 2% 90%
13 3% 88%
14 3% 86%
15 4% 83%
16 5% 79%
17 3% 74%
18 2% 71%
19 5% 68%
20 4% 63%
21 2% 59%
22 4% 57%
23 7% 53%
24 4% 46%
25 3% 41%
26 4% 38%
27 4% 35%
28 6% 30%
29 3% 25%
30 3% 22%
31 4% 19%
32 2% 14%
33 3% 13%
34 1.3% 9%
35 1.4% 8%
36 1.1% 7%
37 0.4% 5%
38 0.9% 5%
39 0.6% 4%
40 0.4% 4%
41 0.5% 3%
42 1.1% 3%
43 0.5% 2%
44 0.2% 1.1%
45 0.1% 0.9%
46 0.2% 0.8%
47 0.3% 0.6%
48 0.1% 0.3%
49 0.1% 0.3%
50 0.1% 0.1%
51 0% 0%

UK Independence Party

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
0 99.9% 100%
1 0.1% 0.1%
2 0% 0%

Green Party

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
0 0.1% 100%
1 46% 99.9%
2 53% 53%
3 0% 0%

Scottish National Party

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
4 0.1% 100%
5 0% 99.9%
6 0% 99.9%
7 0% 99.9%
8 0% 99.8%
9 0.1% 99.8%
10 0% 99.8%
11 0% 99.8%
12 0% 99.8%
13 0% 99.7%
14 0% 99.7%
15 0% 99.7%
16 0% 99.7%
17 0% 99.6%
18 0% 99.6%
19 0% 99.6%
20 0% 99.6%
21 0% 99.6%
22 0.1% 99.6%
23 0.1% 99.5%
24 0% 99.4%
25 0.1% 99.4%
26 0.1% 99.3%
27 0.1% 99.2%
28 0.1% 99.1%
29 0.1% 99.0%
30 0.1% 98.9%
31 0.1% 98.8%
32 0.1% 98.7%
33 0.1% 98.6%
34 0.2% 98%
35 0.1% 98%
36 0.3% 98%
37 0.3% 98%
38 0.4% 98%
39 0.9% 97%
40 2% 96%
41 1.3% 95%
42 8% 93%
43 3% 86%
44 4% 83%
45 7% 78%
46 4% 72%
47 12% 67%
48 4% 55%
49 8% 52%
50 8% 44%
51 4% 36%
52 2% 31%
53 6% 29%
54 5% 23%
55 6% 17%
56 4% 11%
57 2% 7%
58 4% 5%
59 1.0% 1.0%
60 0% 0%

Plaid Cymru

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
0 41% 100%
1 5% 59%
2 1.3% 53%
3 15% 52%
4 29% 38%
5 1.5% 8%
6 2% 7%
7 3% 4%
8 0.9% 2%
9 0.1% 0.6%
10 0.2% 0.5%
11 0.2% 0.3%
12 0% 0.1%
13 0% 0%

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 390 423 396–443 389–454 382–458 370–468
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 387 419 395–440 387–451 379–456 368–464
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 339 392 370–413 364–423 359–429 348–440
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 334 374 349–394 344–404 335–410 325–419
Conservative Party 331 371 347–392 341–401 334–408 322–417
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 299 259 239–284 229–290 222–296 213–309
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 296 257 236–281 226–286 221–296 211–306
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 291 238 217–261 208–266 201–271 190–283
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 288 236 214–259 206–264 199–269 189–281
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 243 211 190–235 179–244 174–251 166–263
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 240 207 187–234 176–242 172–249 162–260
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 235 188 170–212 159–217 154–223 145–235
Labour Party 232 185 167–210 157–215 152–220 143–233

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
351 0% 100%
352 0% 99.9%
353 0% 99.9%
354 0% 99.9%
355 0% 99.9%
356 0% 99.9%
357 0% 99.9%
358 0% 99.9%
359 0% 99.8%
360 0% 99.8%
361 0% 99.8%
362 0% 99.8%
363 0% 99.8%
364 0% 99.7%
365 0% 99.7%
366 0% 99.7%
367 0% 99.6%
368 0% 99.6%
369 0% 99.6%
370 0.1% 99.5%
371 0.1% 99.5%
372 0.1% 99.4%
373 0.2% 99.3%
374 0.1% 99.1%
375 0.1% 99.0%
376 0.3% 98.9%
377 0.2% 98.5%
378 0.2% 98%
379 0.2% 98%
380 0.1% 98%
381 0.2% 98%
382 0.2% 98%
383 0.2% 97%
384 0.6% 97%
385 0.2% 97%
386 0.2% 96%
387 0.5% 96%
388 0.2% 96%
389 0.6% 95%
390 0.3% 95%
391 0.4% 95%
392 0.4% 94%
393 2% 94%
394 0.4% 92%
395 1.4% 92%
396 0.5% 90%
397 0.8% 90%
398 0.8% 89%
399 3% 88%
400 2% 86%
401 2% 83%
402 0.6% 81%
403 0.9% 81%
404 2% 80%
405 2% 77%
406 1.2% 76%
407 1.1% 74%
408 1.4% 73%
409 2% 72%
410 2% 70%
411 2% 68%
412 0.7% 67%
413 1.2% 66%
414 2% 65%
415 1.4% 63%
416 0.8% 62%
417 1.0% 61%
418 1.4% 60%
419 1.3% 59%
420 1.3% 57%
421 1.1% 56%
422 3% 55%
423 5% 52%
424 4% 47%
425 4% 43%
426 2% 39%
427 4% 38%
428 4% 34%
429 1.4% 30%
430 2% 29%
431 1.2% 27%
432 2% 26%
433 1.5% 24%
434 2% 23%
435 1.4% 21%
436 1.0% 20%
437 1.2% 18%
438 2% 17%
439 3% 16%
440 1.1% 13%
441 1.2% 12%
442 0.4% 10%
443 0.4% 10%
444 0.6% 10%
445 0.5% 9%
446 0.6% 9%
447 0.4% 8%
448 0.2% 8%
449 0.3% 7%
450 0.3% 7%
451 0.5% 7%
452 0.4% 6%
453 0.3% 6%
454 0.5% 5%
455 0.8% 5%
456 0.6% 4%
457 0.4% 4%
458 0.6% 3%
459 0.4% 2%
460 0.7% 2%
461 0.2% 1.4%
462 0.2% 1.1%
463 0.1% 1.0%
464 0.1% 0.9%
465 0.1% 0.8%
466 0.1% 0.7%
467 0.1% 0.6%
468 0.1% 0.5%
469 0.1% 0.5%
470 0.1% 0.4%
471 0.1% 0.4%
472 0.1% 0.3%
473 0% 0.2%
474 0.1% 0.2%
475 0% 0.1%
476 0% 0.1%
477 0% 0.1%
478 0% 0.1%
479 0% 0%

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
349 0% 100%
350 0% 99.9%
351 0% 99.9%
352 0% 99.9%
353 0% 99.9%
354 0% 99.9%
355 0% 99.9%
356 0% 99.9%
357 0% 99.8%
358 0% 99.8%
359 0% 99.8%
360 0% 99.8%
361 0% 99.8%
362 0% 99.7%
363 0% 99.7%
364 0% 99.7%
365 0% 99.6%
366 0% 99.6%
367 0.1% 99.6%
368 0.1% 99.5%
369 0.1% 99.4%
370 0.1% 99.4%
371 0.1% 99.3%
372 0.1% 99.2%
373 0.2% 99.1%
374 0.1% 98.8%
375 0.1% 98.7%
376 0.5% 98.6%
377 0.1% 98%
378 0.3% 98%
379 0.3% 98%
380 0.2% 97%
381 0.3% 97%
382 0.3% 97%
383 0.4% 97%
384 0.5% 96%
385 0.6% 96%
386 0.2% 95%
387 0.5% 95%
388 0.2% 95%
389 0.5% 94%
390 0.3% 94%
391 0.6% 94%
392 0.5% 93%
393 2% 93%
394 0.5% 91%
395 1.4% 90%
396 0.7% 89%
397 0.6% 88%
398 2% 88%
399 3% 86%
400 2% 83%
401 2% 81%
402 0.9% 79%
403 0.8% 78%
404 2% 77%
405 1.3% 75%
406 1.3% 73%
407 1.4% 72%
408 1.4% 71%
409 2% 69%
410 2% 68%
411 1.4% 66%
412 0.5% 65%
413 1.5% 64%
414 2% 63%
415 2% 61%
416 2% 59%
417 2% 58%
418 3% 56%
419 4% 53%
420 3% 49%
421 2% 46%
422 2% 44%
423 4% 42%
424 2% 38%
425 3% 36%
426 2% 33%
427 2% 32%
428 3% 30%
429 1.2% 27%
430 2% 26%
431 2% 24%
432 2% 22%
433 2% 20%
434 2% 18%
435 1.0% 17%
436 1.3% 16%
437 0.9% 14%
438 2% 13%
439 0.8% 11%
440 0.9% 11%
441 0.6% 10%
442 0.4% 9%
443 0.4% 9%
444 0.7% 8%
445 0.6% 8%
446 0.2% 7%
447 0.6% 7%
448 0.4% 6%
449 0.3% 6%
450 0.3% 6%
451 0.7% 5%
452 0.3% 5%
453 0.4% 4%
454 0.5% 4%
455 0.3% 3%
456 0.6% 3%
457 0.4% 2%
458 0.2% 2%
459 0.5% 2%
460 0.3% 1.3%
461 0.2% 1.0%
462 0.1% 0.8%
463 0.1% 0.7%
464 0.1% 0.6%
465 0% 0.5%
466 0% 0.5%
467 0% 0.4%
468 0.1% 0.4%
469 0% 0.3%
470 0.1% 0.3%
471 0.1% 0.2%
472 0% 0.1%
473 0% 0.1%
474 0% 0.1%
475 0% 0.1%
476 0% 0%

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
335 0% 100%
336 0% 99.9%
337 0% 99.9%
338 0% 99.9%
339 0% 99.9%
340 0% 99.9%
341 0% 99.8%
342 0% 99.8%
343 0% 99.8%
344 0.1% 99.8%
345 0% 99.7%
346 0% 99.6%
347 0% 99.6%
348 0.1% 99.5%
349 0.1% 99.5%
350 0.1% 99.4%
351 0.1% 99.3%
352 0.2% 99.3%
353 0.2% 99.1%
354 0.3% 99.0%
355 0.1% 98.7%
356 0.1% 98.6%
357 0.3% 98%
358 0.4% 98%
359 0.3% 98%
360 0.4% 97%
361 0.6% 97%
362 0.5% 96%
363 0.4% 96%
364 0.6% 96%
365 0.5% 95%
366 0.4% 94%
367 1.4% 94%
368 0.8% 93%
369 2% 92%
370 1.0% 90%
371 1.2% 89%
372 0.7% 88%
373 2% 87%
374 0.7% 85%
375 1.0% 84%
376 1.2% 83%
377 1.3% 82%
378 2% 81%
379 2% 79%
380 1.3% 77%
381 2% 76%
382 2% 75%
383 0.9% 73%
384 3% 72%
385 2% 68%
386 1.2% 66%
387 2% 65%
388 3% 63%
389 2% 60%
390 3% 58%
391 3% 55%
392 3% 52%
393 2% 49%
394 2% 48%
395 2% 46%
396 3% 44%
397 2% 41%
398 2% 39%
399 2% 36%
400 3% 34%
401 3% 32%
402 2% 28%
403 3% 27%
404 2% 24%
405 2% 22%
406 3% 20%
407 1.1% 17%
408 1.3% 16%
409 2% 15%
410 0.7% 13%
411 0.5% 12%
412 0.3% 11%
413 1.2% 11%
414 0.8% 10%
415 0.8% 9%
416 0.8% 8%
417 0.5% 8%
418 0.4% 7%
419 0.6% 7%
420 0.2% 6%
421 0.5% 6%
422 0.5% 5%
423 0.5% 5%
424 0.3% 4%
425 0.4% 4%
426 0.4% 4%
427 0.4% 3%
428 0.3% 3%
429 0.2% 3%
430 0.2% 2%
431 0.4% 2%
432 0.2% 2%
433 0.2% 2%
434 0.3% 1.5%
435 0.1% 1.2%
436 0.1% 1.1%
437 0.1% 1.1%
438 0.2% 0.9%
439 0.2% 0.7%
440 0.1% 0.6%
441 0.2% 0.5%
442 0% 0.3%
443 0.1% 0.3%
444 0% 0.2%
445 0% 0.1%
446 0% 0.1%
447 0% 0.1%
448 0% 0.1%
449 0% 0.1%
450 0% 0%

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
310 0% 100%
311 0% 99.9%
312 0% 99.9%
313 0% 99.9%
314 0% 99.9%
315 0% 99.9%
316 0% 99.9%
317 0% 99.9%
318 0% 99.8%
319 0% 99.8%
320 0% 99.8%
321 0% 99.7%
322 0.1% 99.7%
323 0% 99.7%
324 0.1% 99.6%
325 0.2% 99.6%
326 0.1% 99.4%
327 0.4% 99.2%
328 0.1% 98.9%
329 0.2% 98.8%
330 0.1% 98.6%
331 0.1% 98%
332 0.1% 98%
333 0.3% 98%
334 0.2% 98%
335 0.4% 98%
336 0.1% 97%
337 0.2% 97%
338 0.3% 97%
339 0.3% 97%
340 0.4% 96%
341 0.3% 96%
342 0.3% 96%
343 0.3% 95%
344 0.4% 95%
345 0.5% 95%
346 2% 94%
347 0.7% 92%
348 0.6% 91%
349 0.8% 91%
350 3% 90%
351 1.0% 87%
352 0.6% 86%
353 3% 86%
354 3% 83%
355 1.3% 80%
356 1.2% 79%
357 3% 77%
358 2% 75%
359 1.0% 73%
360 0.9% 72%
361 2% 71%
362 1.1% 69%
363 2% 68%
364 1.3% 66%
365 1.0% 65%
366 1.1% 64%
367 1.2% 63%
368 1.3% 62%
369 2% 61%
370 2% 59%
371 1.3% 57%
372 1.0% 55%
373 3% 54%
374 4% 52%
375 3% 48%
376 3% 45%
377 2% 41%
378 3% 39%
379 2% 37%
380 2% 34%
381 4% 32%
382 4% 29%
383 2% 25%
384 2% 23%
385 2% 21%
386 2% 18%
387 0.4% 16%
388 1.1% 16%
389 0.6% 14%
390 1.2% 14%
391 0.8% 13%
392 0.5% 12%
393 1.0% 11%
394 0.8% 10%
395 0.3% 10%
396 0.4% 9%
397 0.4% 9%
398 0.4% 8%
399 0.9% 8%
400 0.3% 7%
401 0.7% 7%
402 0.3% 6%
403 0.5% 6%
404 0.8% 5%
405 0.6% 5%
406 0.6% 4%
407 0.2% 3%
408 0.3% 3%
409 0.5% 3%
410 0.3% 3%
411 0.3% 2%
412 0.2% 2%
413 0.3% 2%
414 0.1% 1.3%
415 0.1% 1.2%
416 0.3% 1.1%
417 0.1% 0.8%
418 0.1% 0.7%
419 0.1% 0.6%
420 0.1% 0.5%
421 0.1% 0.4%
422 0.1% 0.3%
423 0% 0.2%
424 0% 0.2%
425 0% 0.2%
426 0% 0.1%
427 0% 0.1%
428 0% 0.1%
429 0% 0%

Conservative Party

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
307 0% 100%
308 0% 99.9%
309 0% 99.9%
310 0% 99.9%
311 0% 99.9%
312 0% 99.9%
313 0% 99.9%
314 0% 99.9%
315 0% 99.9%
316 0% 99.8%
317 0% 99.8%
318 0% 99.8%
319 0.1% 99.7%
320 0% 99.7%
321 0.1% 99.7%
322 0.1% 99.6%
323 0.1% 99.5%
324 0% 99.4%
325 0.2% 99.4%
326 0.2% 99.2%
327 0.2% 98.9%
328 0.1% 98.7%
329 0.2% 98.6%
330 0.2% 98%
331 0.1% 98%
332 0.2% 98%
333 0.2% 98%
334 0.3% 98%
335 0.4% 97%
336 0.2% 97%
337 0.4% 97%
338 0.4% 96%
339 0.6% 96%
340 0.5% 96%
341 0.6% 95%
342 0.3% 94%
343 0.6% 94%
344 0.5% 94%
345 0.5% 93%
346 2% 93%
347 1.1% 90%
348 1.2% 89%
349 0.9% 88%
350 2% 87%
351 1.1% 85%
352 0.8% 84%
353 3% 83%
354 3% 81%
355 1.2% 78%
356 0.8% 76%
357 3% 76%
358 2% 73%
359 1.0% 71%
360 1.3% 70%
361 2% 69%
362 1.2% 67%
363 2% 65%
364 2% 64%
365 1.3% 62%
366 1.5% 61%
367 1.5% 59%
368 1.0% 58%
369 2% 57%
370 3% 55%
371 3% 52%
372 3% 49%
373 3% 46%
374 2% 43%
375 3% 41%
376 2% 38%
377 3% 36%
378 3% 33%
379 3% 30%
380 3% 27%
381 3% 24%
382 2% 21%
383 1.2% 19%
384 1.0% 18%
385 2% 17%
386 1.4% 14%
387 0.5% 13%
388 0.7% 12%
389 0.3% 12%
390 0.9% 11%
391 0.5% 10%
392 0.9% 10%
393 0.3% 9%
394 0.6% 9%
395 0.5% 8%
396 0.2% 8%
397 0.4% 8%
398 0.7% 7%
399 0.3% 6%
400 1.0% 6%
401 0.6% 5%
402 0.3% 5%
403 0.3% 4%
404 0.5% 4%
405 0.4% 4%
406 0.4% 3%
407 0.2% 3%
408 0.5% 3%
409 0.1% 2%
410 0.3% 2%
411 0.2% 2%
412 0.3% 1.5%
413 0.2% 1.2%
414 0.1% 1.0%
415 0.2% 0.9%
416 0.2% 0.7%
417 0.1% 0.5%
418 0.1% 0.4%
419 0.1% 0.3%
420 0% 0.2%
421 0% 0.2%
422 0% 0.2%
423 0% 0.1%
424 0% 0.1%
425 0% 0.1%
426 0% 0.1%
427 0% 0%

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
204 0% 100%
205 0% 99.9%
206 0% 99.9%
207 0% 99.9%
208 0.1% 99.9%
209 0% 99.8%
210 0% 99.8%
211 0.1% 99.8%
212 0.1% 99.7%
213 0.1% 99.6%
214 0.1% 99.5%
215 0.2% 99.4%
216 0.2% 99.2%
217 0.2% 99.0%
218 0.3% 98.8%
219 0.2% 98.6%
220 0.2% 98%
221 0.2% 98%
222 0.5% 98%
223 0.2% 97%
224 0.4% 97%
225 0.2% 97%
226 0.7% 97%
227 0.2% 96%
228 0.2% 96%
229 0.7% 96%
230 0.9% 95%
231 0.3% 94%
232 0.7% 94%
233 0.3% 93%
234 0.3% 93%
235 0.5% 92%
236 0.5% 92%
237 0.4% 91%
238 0.6% 91%
239 0.7% 90%
240 0.9% 90%
241 0.4% 89%
242 0.5% 88%
243 0.5% 88%
244 1.3% 87%
245 1.0% 86%
246 3% 85%
247 1.0% 83%
248 2% 82%
249 1.5% 80%
250 4% 78%
251 3% 74%
252 4% 72%
253 4% 68%
254 1.5% 64%
255 2% 63%
256 2% 60%
257 4% 58%
258 2% 55%
259 3% 52%
260 2% 49%
261 3% 47%
262 2% 44%
263 1.5% 43%
264 1.4% 41%
265 1.5% 40%
266 2% 39%
267 1.2% 37%
268 2% 36%
269 1.0% 34%
270 2% 33%
271 1.2% 31%
272 2% 30%
273 2% 28%
274 2% 26%
275 1.1% 24%
276 1.2% 23%
277 3% 22%
278 3% 19%
279 0.7% 16%
280 1.1% 15%
281 2% 14%
282 0.7% 13%
283 1.2% 12%
284 3% 11%
285 0.5% 8%
286 0.6% 7%
287 0.3% 7%
288 0.6% 6%
289 0.5% 6%
290 0.4% 5%
291 0.5% 5%
292 0.5% 4%
293 0.4% 4%
294 0.4% 3%
295 0.2% 3%
296 0.4% 3%
297 0.2% 2%
298 0.2% 2%
299 0.2% 2%
300 0.1% 2%
301 0.2% 2%
302 0.2% 2%
303 0.2% 1.4%
304 0.2% 1.2%
305 0.3% 1.0%
306 0.1% 0.7%
307 0% 0.6%
308 0.1% 0.6%
309 0.1% 0.5%
310 0.1% 0.4%
311 0% 0.3%
312 0% 0.3%
313 0% 0.3%
314 0% 0.2%
315 0% 0.2%
316 0% 0.2%
317 0% 0.1%
318 0% 0.1%
319 0% 0.1%
320 0% 0.1%
321 0% 0.1%
322 0% 0.1%
323 0% 0.1%
324 0% 0%

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
202 0% 100%
203 0% 99.9%
204 0% 99.9%
205 0% 99.9%
206 0% 99.8%
207 0% 99.8%
208 0.1% 99.8%
209 0.1% 99.7%
210 0.1% 99.6%
211 0.1% 99.5%
212 0.1% 99.5%
213 0.1% 99.3%
214 0.1% 99.2%
215 0.4% 99.2%
216 0.1% 98.8%
217 0.3% 98.7%
218 0.2% 98%
219 0.2% 98%
220 0.4% 98%
221 0.4% 98%
222 0.4% 97%
223 0.1% 97%
224 0.5% 97%
225 0.8% 96%
226 0.7% 95%
227 0.6% 95%
228 0.2% 94%
229 0.7% 94%
230 0.3% 93%
231 0.8% 93%
232 0.4% 92%
233 0.3% 92%
234 0.5% 91%
235 0.3% 91%
236 0.7% 91%
237 0.7% 90%
238 0.9% 89%
239 0.7% 88%
240 1.2% 88%
241 0.5% 86%
242 0.9% 86%
243 0.8% 85%
244 1.0% 84%
245 2% 83%
246 2% 81%
247 2% 79%
248 4% 77%
249 4% 73%
250 3% 69%
251 2% 66%
252 3% 64%
253 3% 62%
254 2% 59%
255 4% 57%
256 3% 53%
257 4% 50%
258 1.2% 46%
259 1.2% 45%
260 2% 44%
261 2% 42%
262 2% 40%
263 1.1% 38%
264 1.0% 37%
265 1.3% 36%
266 0.9% 35%
267 1.0% 34%
268 2% 33%
269 0.7% 31%
270 2% 31%
271 0.9% 29%
272 2% 28%
273 2% 26%
274 2% 24%
275 2% 22%
276 2% 21%
277 3% 19%
278 2% 16%
279 0.9% 14%
280 1.2% 13%
281 3% 12%
282 0.7% 10%
283 0.5% 9%
284 3% 9%
285 0.5% 6%
286 0.4% 5%
287 0.3% 5%
288 0.4% 5%
289 0.3% 4%
290 0.3% 4%
291 0.3% 4%
292 0.4% 3%
293 0.3% 3%
294 0.2% 3%
295 0.1% 3%
296 0.4% 3%
297 0.2% 2%
298 0.3% 2%
299 0.1% 2%
300 0.1% 2%
301 0.2% 2%
302 0.2% 1.3%
303 0.1% 1.2%
304 0.4% 1.1%
305 0.2% 0.7%
306 0.2% 0.6%
307 0.1% 0.4%
308 0% 0.3%
309 0.1% 0.3%
310 0% 0.3%
311 0% 0.2%
312 0% 0.2%
313 0% 0.2%
314 0% 0.2%
315 0% 0.1%
316 0% 0.1%
317 0% 0.1%
318 0% 0.1%
319 0% 0.1%
320 0% 0.1%
321 0% 0.1%
322 0% 0%

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
182 0% 100%
183 0% 99.9%
184 0% 99.9%
185 0% 99.9%
186 0% 99.9%
187 0.1% 99.8%
188 0% 99.7%
189 0.1% 99.7%
190 0.2% 99.6%
191 0.2% 99.5%
192 0.1% 99.3%
193 0.2% 99.2%
194 0.1% 99.0%
195 0.1% 98.9%
196 0.3% 98.8%
197 0.2% 98.5%
198 0.2% 98%
199 0.4% 98%
200 0.2% 98%
201 0.2% 98%
202 0.2% 97%
203 0.4% 97%
204 0.4% 97%
205 0.4% 96%
206 0.4% 96%
207 0.5% 96%
208 0.3% 95%
209 0.6% 95%
210 0.4% 94%
211 0.5% 94%
212 0.3% 93%
213 0.5% 93%
214 0.6% 93%
215 0.8% 92%
216 0.8% 91%
217 0.9% 90%
218 0.7% 89%
219 0.4% 89%
220 0.6% 88%
221 2% 88%
222 0.8% 85%
223 1.2% 84%
224 2% 83%
225 2% 81%
226 3% 79%
227 1.4% 76%
228 3% 75%
229 2% 72%
230 2% 70%
231 3% 68%
232 2% 65%
233 3% 63%
234 3% 60%
235 2% 57%
236 2% 56%
237 2% 53%
238 3% 52%
239 3% 49%
240 3% 46%
241 2% 43%
242 2% 41%
243 3% 38%
244 2% 36%
245 1.5% 34%
246 2% 33%
247 3% 31%
248 0.7% 28%
249 2% 27%
250 1.3% 25%
251 2% 23%
252 1.0% 22%
253 2% 21%
254 1.3% 19%
255 0.7% 17%
256 1.0% 17%
257 1.4% 16%
258 2% 14%
259 0.9% 12%
260 0.9% 12%
261 2% 11%
262 1.1% 9%
263 0.5% 8%
264 1.4% 7%
265 0.4% 6%
266 0.6% 5%
267 0.6% 5%
268 0.4% 4%
269 0.6% 4%
270 0.3% 3%
271 0.4% 3%
272 0.3% 2%
273 0.3% 2%
274 0.3% 2%
275 0.1% 2%
276 0.1% 1.4%
277 0.3% 1.3%
278 0.1% 1.0%
279 0.2% 0.9%
280 0% 0.7%
281 0.1% 0.7%
282 0.1% 0.6%
283 0.1% 0.5%
284 0% 0.4%
285 0% 0.4%
286 0% 0.4%
287 0.1% 0.3%
288 0% 0.2%
289 0% 0.2%
290 0% 0.2%
291 0% 0.2%
292 0% 0.1%
293 0% 0.1%
294 0% 0.1%
295 0% 0.1%
296 0% 0.1%
297 0% 0%

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
179 0% 100%
180 0% 99.9%
181 0% 99.9%
182 0% 99.9%
183 0% 99.9%
184 0% 99.8%
185 0.1% 99.8%
186 0% 99.7%
187 0.1% 99.7%
188 0.1% 99.6%
189 0.1% 99.5%
190 0.2% 99.4%
191 0.2% 99.2%
192 0.3% 99.0%
193 0.1% 98.8%
194 0.1% 98.7%
195 0.4% 98.6%
196 0.2% 98%
197 0.2% 98%
198 0.2% 98%
199 0.4% 98%
200 0.3% 97%
201 0.2% 97%
202 0.5% 97%
203 0.5% 96%
204 0.2% 96%
205 0.3% 95%
206 0.6% 95%
207 0.5% 94%
208 0.6% 94%
209 0.5% 93%
210 0.4% 93%
211 0.4% 92%
212 0.7% 92%
213 0.5% 91%
214 1.1% 91%
215 0.4% 90%
216 0.5% 89%
217 2% 89%
218 1.1% 87%
219 0.9% 86%
220 2% 85%
221 3% 84%
222 3% 81%
223 1.1% 78%
224 3% 77%
225 2% 75%
226 3% 73%
227 2% 70%
228 2% 68%
229 3% 67%
230 3% 64%
231 2% 61%
232 2% 59%
233 2% 57%
234 2% 55%
235 3% 53%
236 3% 50%
237 2% 47%
238 2% 46%
239 2% 43%
240 2% 41%
241 3% 39%
242 2% 36%
243 2% 34%
244 1.1% 32%
245 1.3% 31%
246 2% 30%
247 3% 28%
248 1.1% 25%
249 3% 24%
250 1.0% 21%
251 1.1% 20%
252 1.0% 19%
253 2% 18%
254 1.1% 16%
255 0.7% 15%
256 1.3% 14%
257 1.2% 13%
258 2% 12%
259 0.6% 10%
260 0.7% 10%
261 2% 9%
262 1.3% 7%
263 0.5% 6%
264 1.0% 5%
265 0.4% 5%
266 0.2% 4%
267 0.8% 4%
268 0.3% 3%
269 0.3% 3%
270 0.3% 2%
271 0.4% 2%
272 0.2% 2%
273 0.2% 2%
274 0.3% 1.4%
275 0.1% 1.1%
276 0.1% 1.0%
277 0.2% 1.0%
278 0.1% 0.8%
279 0.1% 0.6%
280 0% 0.6%
281 0.1% 0.5%
282 0% 0.4%
283 0.1% 0.4%
284 0% 0.3%
285 0.1% 0.3%
286 0% 0.2%
287 0% 0.2%
288 0% 0.2%
289 0% 0.1%
290 0% 0.1%
291 0% 0.1%
292 0% 0.1%
293 0% 0.1%
294 0% 0%

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
155 0% 100%
156 0% 99.9%
157 0% 99.9%
158 0% 99.9%
159 0.1% 99.9%
160 0.1% 99.8%
161 0% 99.7%
162 0.1% 99.7%
163 0% 99.6%
164 0% 99.6%
165 0% 99.6%
166 0% 99.5%
167 0.1% 99.5%
168 0.1% 99.4%
169 0.2% 99.3%
170 0.4% 99.1%
171 0.2% 98.7%
172 0.4% 98%
173 0.3% 98%
174 0.7% 98%
175 0.4% 97%
176 0.5% 97%
177 0.2% 96%
178 0.4% 96%
179 0.7% 96%
180 0.4% 95%
181 0.3% 94%
182 0.4% 94%
183 0.6% 94%
184 0.3% 93%
185 0.5% 93%
186 0.7% 92%
187 0.5% 92%
188 0.3% 91%
189 0.4% 91%
190 0.8% 91%
191 0.9% 90%
192 1.1% 89%
193 2% 88%
194 0.9% 86%
195 1.0% 85%
196 2% 84%
197 3% 83%
198 2% 80%
199 2% 78%
200 2% 76%
201 1.1% 75%
202 2% 73%
203 2% 71%
204 2% 69%
205 2% 67%
206 2% 65%
207 3% 63%
208 3% 60%
209 0.9% 56%
210 3% 56%
211 5% 53%
212 3% 48%
213 3% 45%
214 1.3% 42%
215 1.2% 41%
216 2% 40%
217 2% 38%
218 1.3% 37%
219 0.9% 35%
220 1.0% 35%
221 2% 34%
222 2% 32%
223 1.4% 30%
224 1.2% 29%
225 1.3% 27%
226 2% 26%
227 2% 25%
228 0.7% 23%
229 0.9% 22%
230 3% 21%
231 2% 18%
232 3% 16%
233 1.4% 13%
234 0.4% 12%
235 2% 11%
236 0.2% 10%
237 2% 9%
238 0.4% 8%
239 0.6% 7%
240 0.4% 7%
241 0.2% 6%
242 0.4% 6%
243 0.3% 5%
244 0.3% 5%
245 0.2% 5%
246 0.5% 5%
247 0.5% 4%
248 0.3% 4%
249 0.2% 3%
250 0.4% 3%
251 0.1% 3%
252 0.3% 2%
253 0.3% 2%
254 0.1% 2%
255 0.4% 2%
256 0.2% 1.4%
257 0.2% 1.2%
258 0.1% 1.0%
259 0.1% 0.9%
260 0.1% 0.8%
261 0.1% 0.6%
262 0.1% 0.6%
263 0% 0.5%
264 0.1% 0.5%
265 0.1% 0.4%
266 0% 0.4%
267 0% 0.3%
268 0% 0.3%
269 0% 0.3%
270 0% 0.3%
271 0% 0.2%
272 0% 0.2%
273 0% 0.2%
274 0% 0.2%
275 0% 0.2%
276 0% 0.1%
277 0% 0.1%
278 0% 0.1%
279 0% 0.1%
280 0% 0.1%
281 0% 0.1%
282 0% 0.1%
283 0% 0%

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
152 0% 100%
153 0% 99.9%
154 0% 99.9%
155 0% 99.9%
156 0.1% 99.9%
157 0% 99.8%
158 0.1% 99.8%
159 0.1% 99.7%
160 0% 99.6%
161 0.1% 99.6%
162 0.1% 99.5%
163 0.1% 99.5%
164 0.1% 99.4%
165 0.1% 99.3%
166 0% 99.2%
167 0.1% 99.2%
168 0.1% 99.1%
169 0.2% 99.0%
170 0.6% 98.7%
171 0.4% 98%
172 0.7% 98%
173 0.3% 97%
174 0.8% 97%
175 0.7% 96%
176 0.6% 95%
177 0.3% 95%
178 0.4% 94%
179 0.4% 94%
180 0.4% 94%
181 0.3% 93%
182 0.2% 93%
183 0.5% 93%
184 0.6% 92%
185 0.5% 91%
186 0.4% 91%
187 0.6% 91%
188 0.3% 90%
189 0.9% 90%
190 1.3% 89%
191 1.0% 87%
192 3% 87%
193 2% 84%
194 1.1% 82%
195 0.9% 81%
196 2% 80%
197 2% 78%
198 1.4% 76%
199 2% 75%
200 1.4% 73%
201 1.1% 72%
202 3% 71%
203 3% 67%
204 3% 65%
205 3% 62%
206 4% 59%
207 5% 55%
208 3% 49%
209 2% 46%
210 1.5% 44%
211 1.2% 43%
212 1.2% 42%
213 1.4% 40%
214 0.6% 39%
215 0.6% 39%
216 2% 38%
217 1.2% 36%
218 1.3% 35%
219 1.4% 34%
220 1.4% 32%
221 2% 31%
222 1.2% 29%
223 1.5% 28%
224 0.9% 26%
225 1.3% 25%
226 2% 24%
227 2% 22%
228 0.6% 20%
229 0.8% 19%
230 2% 18%
231 2% 16%
232 3% 14%
233 0.7% 11%
234 0.5% 10%
235 1.5% 10%
236 0.5% 8%
237 2% 8%
238 0.3% 6%
239 0.5% 6%
240 0.3% 6%
241 0.2% 5%
242 0.6% 5%
243 0.3% 4%
244 0.4% 4%
245 0.2% 4%
246 0.3% 4%
247 0.5% 3%
248 0.2% 3%
249 0.2% 3%
250 0.2% 2%
251 0.1% 2%
252 0.2% 2%
253 0.2% 2%
254 0.3% 2%
255 0.3% 1.4%
256 0.1% 1.1%
257 0.2% 1.0%
258 0.1% 0.8%
259 0.1% 0.7%
260 0.1% 0.6%
261 0.1% 0.5%
262 0% 0.4%
263 0% 0.4%
264 0% 0.4%
265 0% 0.3%
266 0% 0.3%
267 0% 0.3%
268 0% 0.2%
269 0% 0.2%
270 0% 0.2%
271 0% 0.2%
272 0% 0.2%
273 0% 0.2%
274 0% 0.1%
275 0% 0.1%
276 0% 0.1%
277 0% 0.1%
278 0% 0.1%
279 0% 0.1%
280 0% 0.1%
281 0% 0%

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
137 0% 100%
138 0% 99.9%
139 0% 99.9%
140 0% 99.9%
141 0.1% 99.8%
142 0% 99.8%
143 0% 99.7%
144 0.1% 99.7%
145 0.1% 99.6%
146 0.1% 99.5%
147 0.3% 99.4%
148 0.2% 99.1%
149 0.3% 98.9%
150 0.2% 98.6%
151 0.1% 98%
152 0.2% 98%
153 0.2% 98%
154 0.5% 98%
155 0.3% 97%
156 0.6% 97%
157 0.7% 96%
158 0.6% 96%
159 0.3% 95%
160 0.3% 95%
161 0.6% 95%
162 0.6% 94%
163 0.5% 93%
164 0.2% 93%
165 0.5% 93%
166 0.5% 92%
167 0.5% 92%
168 0.6% 91%
169 0.3% 91%
170 0.6% 90%
171 0.6% 90%
172 1.4% 89%
173 1.0% 88%
174 2% 87%
175 1.2% 85%
176 2% 84%
177 1.4% 82%
178 3% 81%
179 3% 78%
180 3% 75%
181 3% 73%
182 3% 70%
183 3% 67%
184 3% 64%
185 4% 60%
186 2% 57%
187 3% 54%
188 2% 51%
189 3% 49%
190 1.4% 46%
191 3% 44%
192 2% 42%
193 2% 40%
194 2% 38%
195 1.2% 36%
196 2% 35%
197 0.8% 33%
198 2% 32%
199 0.8% 30%
200 3% 29%
201 1.4% 26%
202 3% 24%
203 3% 22%
204 0.6% 19%
205 1.0% 18%
206 0.4% 17%
207 0.8% 17%
208 0.9% 16%
209 2% 15%
210 1.1% 13%
211 1.0% 12%
212 1.2% 11%
213 0.9% 9%
214 1.2% 8%
215 1.0% 7%
216 0.9% 6%
217 0.4% 5%
218 0.4% 5%
219 0.5% 4%
220 0.8% 4%
221 0.4% 3%
222 0.3% 3%
223 0.3% 3%
224 0.3% 2%
225 0.3% 2%
226 0.1% 2%
227 0.2% 2%
228 0.1% 1.4%
229 0.1% 1.3%
230 0.2% 1.2%
231 0.1% 0.9%
232 0.1% 0.8%
233 0.1% 0.7%
234 0.1% 0.6%
235 0.1% 0.5%
236 0.1% 0.5%
237 0.1% 0.4%
238 0% 0.4%
239 0% 0.3%
240 0% 0.3%
241 0% 0.3%
242 0% 0.3%
243 0% 0.2%
244 0% 0.2%
245 0% 0.2%
246 0% 0.2%
247 0% 0.1%
248 0% 0.1%
249 0% 0.1%
250 0% 0.1%
251 0% 0.1%
252 0% 0.1%
253 0% 0.1%
254 0% 0.1%
255 0% 0%

Labour Party

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated
134 0% 100%
135 0% 99.9%
136 0% 99.9%
137 0% 99.9%
138 0% 99.8%
139 0.1% 99.8%
140 0% 99.8%
141 0.1% 99.7%
142 0.1% 99.6%
143 0.1% 99.6%
144 0.1% 99.5%
145 0.2% 99.4%
146 0.1% 99.2%
147 0.4% 99.1%
148 0.3% 98.7%
149 0.3% 98%
150 0.1% 98%
151 0.5% 98%
152 0.4% 98%
153 0.6% 97%
154 0.5% 97%
155 0.4% 96%
156 0.4% 96%
157 0.7% 95%
158 0.5% 94%
159 0.5% 94%
160 0.2% 93%
161 0.4% 93%
162 0.7% 93%
163 0.4% 92%
164 0.4% 92%
165 0.3% 91%
166 0.5% 91%
167 0.8% 91%
168 1.0% 90%
169 0.5% 89%
170 1.2% 88%
171 0.6% 87%
172 1.2% 86%
173 1.5% 85%
174 2% 84%
175 3% 82%
176 2% 79%
177 4% 77%
178 3% 73%
179 3% 70%
180 2% 68%
181 3% 65%
182 3% 62%
183 4% 59%
184 3% 56%
185 3% 52%
186 2% 50%
187 3% 48%
188 2% 45%
189 2% 43%
190 1.4% 41%
191 2% 39%
192 1.1% 38%
193 3% 37%
194 1.2% 34%
195 1.0% 33%
196 2% 32%
197 0.9% 30%
198 3% 29%
199 1.4% 26%
200 3% 25%
201 0.9% 22%
202 2% 21%
203 1.5% 19%
204 0.4% 17%
205 0.7% 17%
206 0.8% 16%
207 1.2% 15%
208 0.8% 14%
209 2% 13%
210 1.4% 11%
211 0.7% 10%
212 2% 9%
213 0.6% 7%
214 0.6% 6%
215 1.1% 6%
216 0.7% 5%
217 0.4% 4%
218 0.3% 4%
219 0.4% 3%
220 0.4% 3%
221 0.4% 2%
222 0.3% 2%
223 0.1% 2%
224 0.1% 2%
225 0.2% 2%
226 0.1% 1.5%
227 0.2% 1.4%
228 0.2% 1.2%
229 0.1% 0.9%
230 0.1% 0.8%
231 0.1% 0.7%
232 0.1% 0.6%
233 0% 0.5%
234 0% 0.5%
235 0.1% 0.4%
236 0% 0.4%
237 0% 0.3%
238 0% 0.3%
239 0% 0.3%
240 0% 0.2%
241 0% 0.2%
242 0% 0.2%
243 0% 0.2%
244 0% 0.2%
245 0% 0.1%
246 0% 0.1%
247 0% 0.1%
248 0% 0.1%
249 0% 0.1%
250 0% 0.1%
251 0% 0.1%
252 0% 0.1%
253 0% 0%

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations