Opinion Poll by Kantar Public, 11–15 May 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
| Conservative Party |
36.9% |
47.4% |
44.5–49.7% |
43.8–50.5% |
43.2–51.1% |
42.0–52.4% |
| Labour Party |
30.4% |
29.1% |
26.6–31.3% |
26.0–32.0% |
25.4–32.6% |
24.4–33.8% |
| Liberal Democrats |
7.9% |
8.1% |
6.8–9.6% |
6.4–10.1% |
6.1–10.5% |
5.6–11.3% |
| UK Independence Party |
12.6% |
6.3% |
5.1–7.7% |
4.8–8.1% |
4.6–8.5% |
4.1–9.2% |
| Green Party |
3.8% |
4.3% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.1–5.9% |
2.9–6.2% |
2.6–6.8% |
| Scottish National Party |
4.7% |
3.8% |
3.0–5.0% |
2.7–5.3% |
2.5–5.6% |
2.2–6.2% |
| Plaid Cymru |
0.6% |
1.0% |
0.6–1.7% |
0.5–1.9% |
0.5–2.1% |
0.3–2.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
Conservative Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 330 |
0% |
100% |
| 331 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 332 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 333 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 334 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 335 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 336 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 337 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 338 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 339 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 340 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 341 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 342 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 343 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 344 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 345 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 346 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 347 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
| 348 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
| 349 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
| 350 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 351 |
0.5% |
98% |
| 352 |
0.5% |
98% |
| 353 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 354 |
0.7% |
97% |
| 355 |
0.6% |
96% |
| 356 |
0.5% |
95% |
| 357 |
0.4% |
95% |
| 358 |
1.0% |
95% |
| 359 |
0.4% |
94% |
| 360 |
0.2% |
93% |
| 361 |
0.6% |
93% |
| 362 |
2% |
92% |
| 363 |
1.0% |
91% |
| 364 |
1.0% |
90% |
| 365 |
3% |
89% |
| 366 |
1.2% |
86% |
| 367 |
0.7% |
85% |
| 368 |
1.2% |
84% |
| 369 |
2% |
83% |
| 370 |
1.4% |
81% |
| 371 |
2% |
80% |
| 372 |
1.5% |
78% |
| 373 |
1.0% |
76% |
| 374 |
1.4% |
75% |
| 375 |
1.1% |
74% |
| 376 |
3% |
73% |
| 377 |
2% |
70% |
| 378 |
3% |
68% |
| 379 |
2% |
65% |
| 380 |
3% |
63% |
| 381 |
3% |
60% |
| 382 |
4% |
57% |
| 383 |
4% |
53% |
| 384 |
3% |
49% |
| 385 |
2% |
46% |
| 386 |
2% |
44% |
| 387 |
1.5% |
41% |
| 388 |
5% |
40% |
| 389 |
3% |
34% |
| 390 |
2% |
31% |
| 391 |
2% |
29% |
| 392 |
0.9% |
28% |
| 393 |
1.3% |
27% |
| 394 |
2% |
26% |
| 395 |
2% |
24% |
| 396 |
2% |
22% |
| 397 |
0.7% |
20% |
| 398 |
1.2% |
19% |
| 399 |
2% |
18% |
| 400 |
2% |
16% |
| 401 |
0.7% |
15% |
| 402 |
0.5% |
14% |
| 403 |
2% |
14% |
| 404 |
0.7% |
12% |
| 405 |
1.0% |
12% |
| 406 |
0.7% |
11% |
| 407 |
1.2% |
10% |
| 408 |
1.1% |
9% |
| 409 |
0.8% |
8% |
| 410 |
0.8% |
7% |
| 411 |
0.6% |
6% |
| 412 |
1.1% |
5% |
| 413 |
0.4% |
4% |
| 414 |
0.6% |
4% |
| 415 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 416 |
0.5% |
3% |
| 417 |
0.4% |
2% |
| 418 |
0.5% |
2% |
| 419 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 420 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
| 421 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
| 422 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
| 423 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
| 424 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 425 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 426 |
0% |
0.4% |
| 427 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 428 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 429 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 430 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
| 431 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 432 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 433 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 434 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 435 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 436 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 437 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 131 |
0% |
100% |
| 132 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 133 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 134 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 135 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 136 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 137 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 138 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
| 139 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 140 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 141 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 142 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 143 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 144 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
| 145 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
| 146 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
| 147 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
| 148 |
0.1% |
98% |
| 149 |
0.4% |
98% |
| 150 |
0.5% |
98% |
| 151 |
0.6% |
97% |
| 152 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 153 |
0.4% |
96% |
| 154 |
0.4% |
96% |
| 155 |
1.1% |
96% |
| 156 |
0.4% |
95% |
| 157 |
0.8% |
94% |
| 158 |
0.5% |
93% |
| 159 |
1.1% |
93% |
| 160 |
1.2% |
92% |
| 161 |
0.9% |
90% |
| 162 |
0.5% |
90% |
| 163 |
0.6% |
89% |
| 164 |
2% |
89% |
| 165 |
1.0% |
87% |
| 166 |
1.4% |
86% |
| 167 |
1.1% |
85% |
| 168 |
1.0% |
83% |
| 169 |
1.4% |
82% |
| 170 |
0.6% |
81% |
| 171 |
0.9% |
80% |
| 172 |
1.4% |
80% |
| 173 |
1.5% |
78% |
| 174 |
1.3% |
77% |
| 175 |
3% |
75% |
| 176 |
2% |
73% |
| 177 |
2% |
71% |
| 178 |
3% |
69% |
| 179 |
3% |
66% |
| 180 |
3% |
64% |
| 181 |
5% |
61% |
| 182 |
3% |
56% |
| 183 |
2% |
53% |
| 184 |
2% |
51% |
| 185 |
3% |
49% |
| 186 |
3% |
45% |
| 187 |
1.4% |
42% |
| 188 |
2% |
41% |
| 189 |
3% |
39% |
| 190 |
3% |
36% |
| 191 |
3% |
33% |
| 192 |
1.1% |
31% |
| 193 |
2% |
30% |
| 194 |
2% |
28% |
| 195 |
1.4% |
26% |
| 196 |
1.5% |
25% |
| 197 |
2% |
23% |
| 198 |
1.2% |
21% |
| 199 |
1.0% |
20% |
| 200 |
2% |
19% |
| 201 |
1.1% |
17% |
| 202 |
1.0% |
16% |
| 203 |
0.9% |
15% |
| 204 |
0.5% |
14% |
| 205 |
1.3% |
14% |
| 206 |
1.0% |
12% |
| 207 |
1.3% |
11% |
| 208 |
0.5% |
10% |
| 209 |
0.6% |
9% |
| 210 |
0.7% |
9% |
| 211 |
0.5% |
8% |
| 212 |
0.5% |
8% |
| 213 |
0.9% |
7% |
| 214 |
0.5% |
6% |
| 215 |
0.4% |
6% |
| 216 |
0.4% |
5% |
| 217 |
0.4% |
5% |
| 218 |
0.6% |
5% |
| 219 |
0.7% |
4% |
| 220 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 221 |
0.2% |
3% |
| 222 |
0.1% |
3% |
| 223 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 224 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 225 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 226 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 227 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 228 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 229 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 230 |
0% |
1.3% |
| 231 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
| 232 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
| 233 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
| 234 |
0% |
1.0% |
| 235 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 236 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 237 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 238 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
| 239 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 240 |
0% |
0.5% |
| 241 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 242 |
0% |
0.4% |
| 243 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 244 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 245 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 246 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 247 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 248 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 249 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 250 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 251 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 252 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 253 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 254 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 255 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 256 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 257 |
0% |
0% |
Liberal Democrats
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 0 |
1.4% |
100% |
| 1 |
2% |
98.6% |
| 2 |
2% |
97% |
| 3 |
6% |
95% |
| 4 |
9% |
89% |
| 5 |
6% |
80% |
| 6 |
8% |
74% |
| 7 |
7% |
66% |
| 8 |
10% |
59% |
| 9 |
4% |
49% |
| 10 |
7% |
45% |
| 11 |
5% |
38% |
| 12 |
5% |
33% |
| 13 |
6% |
28% |
| 14 |
6% |
22% |
| 15 |
3% |
16% |
| 16 |
5% |
13% |
| 17 |
2% |
9% |
| 18 |
2% |
7% |
| 19 |
1.5% |
5% |
| 20 |
1.0% |
4% |
| 21 |
0.7% |
3% |
| 22 |
0.5% |
2% |
| 23 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
| 24 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
| 25 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 26 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
| 27 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 28 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
| 29 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
| 30 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 31 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 32 |
0% |
0% |
UK Independence Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 0 |
100% |
100% |
| 1 |
0% |
0% |
Green Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 0 |
1.2% |
100% |
| 1 |
64% |
98.8% |
| 2 |
35% |
35% |
| 3 |
0% |
0% |
Scottish National Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 2 |
0.2% |
100% |
| 3 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
| 4 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
| 5 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
| 6 |
0% |
98.9% |
| 7 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
| 8 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
| 9 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
| 10 |
0% |
98% |
| 11 |
0% |
98% |
| 12 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 13 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 14 |
0.1% |
98% |
| 15 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 16 |
0.3% |
97% |
| 17 |
0.2% |
97% |
| 18 |
0.2% |
97% |
| 19 |
0.2% |
97% |
| 20 |
0.3% |
96% |
| 21 |
0.2% |
96% |
| 22 |
0.6% |
96% |
| 23 |
0.2% |
95% |
| 24 |
0.2% |
95% |
| 25 |
0.3% |
95% |
| 26 |
0.8% |
95% |
| 27 |
0.3% |
94% |
| 28 |
0.6% |
93% |
| 29 |
0.2% |
93% |
| 30 |
0.4% |
93% |
| 31 |
0.3% |
92% |
| 32 |
0.2% |
92% |
| 33 |
1.0% |
92% |
| 34 |
0.5% |
91% |
| 35 |
1.5% |
90% |
| 36 |
1.5% |
89% |
| 37 |
1.2% |
87% |
| 38 |
2% |
86% |
| 39 |
3% |
84% |
| 40 |
2% |
81% |
| 41 |
3% |
79% |
| 42 |
3% |
77% |
| 43 |
2% |
73% |
| 44 |
3% |
71% |
| 45 |
5% |
68% |
| 46 |
3% |
63% |
| 47 |
4% |
60% |
| 48 |
3% |
56% |
| 49 |
5% |
53% |
| 50 |
5% |
48% |
| 51 |
5% |
43% |
| 52 |
5% |
38% |
| 53 |
6% |
34% |
| 54 |
6% |
27% |
| 55 |
11% |
21% |
| 56 |
6% |
11% |
| 57 |
4% |
5% |
| 58 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
| 59 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
| 60 |
0% |
0% |
Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 0 |
0.9% |
100% |
| 1 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
| 2 |
0.2% |
98.5% |
| 3 |
6% |
98% |
| 4 |
16% |
93% |
| 5 |
19% |
77% |
| 6 |
4% |
58% |
| 7 |
25% |
54% |
| 8 |
13% |
29% |
| 9 |
2% |
15% |
| 10 |
3% |
13% |
| 11 |
6% |
11% |
| 12 |
2% |
4% |
| 13 |
0.9% |
2% |
| 14 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
| 15 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
| 16 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 17 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
| 18 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
| 20 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 21 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 22 |
0% |
0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
| Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
390 |
438 |
413–459 |
404–466 |
396–472 |
378–480 |
| Conservative Party – Scottish National Party |
387 |
432 |
408–452 |
398–458 |
390–465 |
372–472 |
| Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats |
339 |
393 |
371–415 |
365–423 |
359–429 |
352–438 |
| Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru |
334 |
390 |
369–413 |
362–419 |
358–424 |
349–433 |
| Conservative Party |
331 |
383 |
363–406 |
356–412 |
352–416 |
344–425 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
299 |
247 |
224–268 |
219–275 |
214–279 |
206–287 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party |
296 |
241 |
217–262 |
211–268 |
207–273 |
197–281 |
| Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
291 |
238 |
215–260 |
207–265 |
202–272 |
192–279 |
| Labour Party – Scottish National Party |
288 |
231 |
208–253 |
200–259 |
195–266 |
184–273 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru |
243 |
199 |
178–223 |
172–232 |
166–240 |
158–258 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats |
240 |
192 |
171–218 |
164–227 |
159–235 |
151–253 |
| Labour Party – Plaid Cymru |
235 |
190 |
168–214 |
162–222 |
158–228 |
149–245 |
| Labour Party |
232 |
184 |
161–207 |
155–216 |
150–223 |
142–240 |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 361 |
0% |
100% |
| 362 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 363 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 364 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 365 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 366 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 367 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 368 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 369 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 370 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 371 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 372 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 373 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 374 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 375 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 376 |
0% |
99.6% |
| 377 |
0% |
99.6% |
| 378 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 379 |
0% |
99.4% |
| 380 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
| 381 |
0% |
99.2% |
| 382 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
| 383 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
| 384 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
| 385 |
0% |
99.0% |
| 386 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
| 387 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
| 388 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
| 389 |
0.2% |
98.5% |
| 390 |
0.1% |
98% |
| 391 |
0.1% |
98% |
| 392 |
0.1% |
98% |
| 393 |
0.1% |
98% |
| 394 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 395 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 396 |
0.4% |
98% |
| 397 |
0.1% |
97% |
| 398 |
0.3% |
97% |
| 399 |
0.2% |
97% |
| 400 |
0.2% |
96% |
| 401 |
0.4% |
96% |
| 402 |
0.3% |
96% |
| 403 |
0.2% |
96% |
| 404 |
0.7% |
95% |
| 405 |
0.5% |
95% |
| 406 |
0.5% |
94% |
| 407 |
0.4% |
94% |
| 408 |
0.4% |
93% |
| 409 |
0.5% |
93% |
| 410 |
0.5% |
92% |
| 411 |
0.8% |
92% |
| 412 |
0.5% |
91% |
| 413 |
0.8% |
91% |
| 414 |
0.8% |
90% |
| 415 |
1.0% |
89% |
| 416 |
1.2% |
88% |
| 417 |
1.4% |
87% |
| 418 |
2% |
85% |
| 419 |
1.2% |
84% |
| 420 |
0.7% |
83% |
| 421 |
2% |
82% |
| 422 |
1.1% |
80% |
| 423 |
0.7% |
79% |
| 424 |
2% |
78% |
| 425 |
2% |
77% |
| 426 |
1.3% |
75% |
| 427 |
1.2% |
74% |
| 428 |
2% |
72% |
| 429 |
2% |
70% |
| 430 |
1.3% |
68% |
| 431 |
2% |
67% |
| 432 |
2% |
65% |
| 433 |
2% |
63% |
| 434 |
2% |
61% |
| 435 |
2% |
58% |
| 436 |
2% |
57% |
| 437 |
3% |
54% |
| 438 |
2% |
51% |
| 439 |
3% |
49% |
| 440 |
5% |
46% |
| 441 |
3% |
41% |
| 442 |
2% |
38% |
| 443 |
3% |
36% |
| 444 |
2% |
33% |
| 445 |
1.1% |
31% |
| 446 |
1.2% |
30% |
| 447 |
2% |
29% |
| 448 |
2% |
27% |
| 449 |
2% |
25% |
| 450 |
1.5% |
23% |
| 451 |
1.3% |
22% |
| 452 |
2% |
20% |
| 453 |
1.1% |
18% |
| 454 |
0.7% |
17% |
| 455 |
1.2% |
17% |
| 456 |
2% |
15% |
| 457 |
0.9% |
13% |
| 458 |
0.7% |
12% |
| 459 |
2% |
12% |
| 460 |
0.8% |
10% |
| 461 |
0.7% |
9% |
| 462 |
1.2% |
8% |
| 463 |
0.8% |
7% |
| 464 |
0.3% |
7% |
| 465 |
0.5% |
6% |
| 466 |
0.8% |
6% |
| 467 |
0.6% |
5% |
| 468 |
0.4% |
4% |
| 469 |
0.5% |
4% |
| 470 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 471 |
0.5% |
3% |
| 472 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 473 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 474 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 475 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 476 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
| 477 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
| 478 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
| 479 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 480 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 481 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 482 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 483 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| 484 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 485 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 486 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 487 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 488 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 489 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 490 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 491 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 492 |
0% |
0% |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 356 |
0% |
100% |
| 357 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 358 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 359 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 360 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 361 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 362 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 363 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 364 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 365 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 366 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 367 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 368 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 369 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 370 |
0% |
99.6% |
| 371 |
0% |
99.6% |
| 372 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 373 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 374 |
0% |
99.4% |
| 375 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 376 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
| 377 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
| 378 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
| 379 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
| 380 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
| 381 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
| 382 |
0.1% |
98.6% |
| 383 |
0.1% |
98% |
| 384 |
0% |
98% |
| 385 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 386 |
0.1% |
98% |
| 387 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 388 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 389 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 390 |
0% |
98% |
| 391 |
0.5% |
97% |
| 392 |
0.2% |
97% |
| 393 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 394 |
0.3% |
96% |
| 395 |
0.2% |
96% |
| 396 |
0.4% |
96% |
| 397 |
0.3% |
96% |
| 398 |
0.3% |
95% |
| 399 |
0.4% |
95% |
| 400 |
0.5% |
94% |
| 401 |
0.6% |
94% |
| 402 |
0.5% |
93% |
| 403 |
0.4% |
93% |
| 404 |
0.5% |
93% |
| 405 |
0.4% |
92% |
| 406 |
0.5% |
92% |
| 407 |
0.9% |
91% |
| 408 |
0.9% |
90% |
| 409 |
1.0% |
89% |
| 410 |
2% |
88% |
| 411 |
1.4% |
86% |
| 412 |
1.3% |
85% |
| 413 |
1.0% |
84% |
| 414 |
2% |
83% |
| 415 |
0.8% |
81% |
| 416 |
1.0% |
80% |
| 417 |
2% |
79% |
| 418 |
2% |
77% |
| 419 |
0.6% |
75% |
| 420 |
2% |
74% |
| 421 |
0.8% |
73% |
| 422 |
1.2% |
72% |
| 423 |
3% |
71% |
| 424 |
1.1% |
68% |
| 425 |
1.5% |
67% |
| 426 |
3% |
65% |
| 427 |
3% |
62% |
| 428 |
2% |
59% |
| 429 |
3% |
58% |
| 430 |
1.2% |
55% |
| 431 |
2% |
54% |
| 432 |
5% |
52% |
| 433 |
5% |
46% |
| 434 |
3% |
42% |
| 435 |
2% |
39% |
| 436 |
2% |
36% |
| 437 |
3% |
34% |
| 438 |
1.2% |
31% |
| 439 |
2% |
30% |
| 440 |
1.3% |
28% |
| 441 |
1.1% |
26% |
| 442 |
1.4% |
25% |
| 443 |
2% |
24% |
| 444 |
2% |
22% |
| 445 |
0.9% |
20% |
| 446 |
2% |
19% |
| 447 |
1.1% |
18% |
| 448 |
0.9% |
17% |
| 449 |
2% |
16% |
| 450 |
1.1% |
14% |
| 451 |
1.1% |
13% |
| 452 |
2% |
11% |
| 453 |
0.4% |
10% |
| 454 |
0.9% |
9% |
| 455 |
0.8% |
8% |
| 456 |
0.8% |
8% |
| 457 |
0.4% |
7% |
| 458 |
1.3% |
6% |
| 459 |
0.4% |
5% |
| 460 |
0.7% |
5% |
| 461 |
0.5% |
4% |
| 462 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 463 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 464 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 465 |
0.2% |
3% |
| 466 |
0.5% |
2% |
| 467 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 468 |
0.4% |
2% |
| 469 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
| 470 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
| 471 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
| 472 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
| 473 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 474 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| 475 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
| 476 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 477 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 478 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 479 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 480 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 481 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 482 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 483 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 484 |
0% |
0% |
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 339 |
0% |
100% |
| 340 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 341 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 342 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 343 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 344 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 345 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 346 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 347 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 348 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 349 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 350 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 351 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 352 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 353 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 354 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
| 355 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
| 356 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
| 357 |
0.1% |
98% |
| 358 |
0.5% |
98% |
| 359 |
0.4% |
98% |
| 360 |
0.2% |
97% |
| 361 |
1.0% |
97% |
| 362 |
0.4% |
96% |
| 363 |
0.4% |
96% |
| 364 |
0.2% |
95% |
| 365 |
0.2% |
95% |
| 366 |
0.5% |
95% |
| 367 |
0.6% |
95% |
| 368 |
0.5% |
94% |
| 369 |
2% |
93% |
| 370 |
1.2% |
92% |
| 371 |
1.1% |
90% |
| 372 |
1.1% |
89% |
| 373 |
0.8% |
88% |
| 374 |
2% |
88% |
| 375 |
1.4% |
86% |
| 376 |
0.5% |
84% |
| 377 |
0.7% |
84% |
| 378 |
2% |
83% |
| 379 |
2% |
82% |
| 380 |
2% |
80% |
| 381 |
2% |
78% |
| 382 |
1.3% |
77% |
| 383 |
2% |
75% |
| 384 |
3% |
74% |
| 385 |
3% |
70% |
| 386 |
2% |
68% |
| 387 |
3% |
66% |
| 388 |
1.4% |
63% |
| 389 |
4% |
61% |
| 390 |
3% |
57% |
| 391 |
2% |
55% |
| 392 |
2% |
53% |
| 393 |
2% |
51% |
| 394 |
2% |
48% |
| 395 |
3% |
46% |
| 396 |
2% |
42% |
| 397 |
3% |
40% |
| 398 |
4% |
37% |
| 399 |
2% |
34% |
| 400 |
1.4% |
32% |
| 401 |
2% |
31% |
| 402 |
2% |
29% |
| 403 |
2% |
27% |
| 404 |
2% |
25% |
| 405 |
0.9% |
23% |
| 406 |
1.5% |
22% |
| 407 |
1.2% |
21% |
| 408 |
2% |
20% |
| 409 |
0.6% |
18% |
| 410 |
2% |
18% |
| 411 |
2% |
16% |
| 412 |
1.1% |
14% |
| 413 |
1.5% |
13% |
| 414 |
0.3% |
12% |
| 415 |
1.4% |
11% |
| 416 |
0.7% |
10% |
| 417 |
0.5% |
9% |
| 418 |
1.0% |
9% |
| 419 |
0.6% |
8% |
| 420 |
1.0% |
7% |
| 421 |
0.4% |
6% |
| 422 |
0.5% |
6% |
| 423 |
0.3% |
5% |
| 424 |
0.3% |
5% |
| 425 |
0.7% |
5% |
| 426 |
0.3% |
4% |
| 427 |
1.0% |
4% |
| 428 |
0.2% |
3% |
| 429 |
0.6% |
3% |
| 430 |
0.5% |
2% |
| 431 |
0.2% |
1.5% |
| 432 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
| 433 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
| 434 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
| 435 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 436 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 437 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 438 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 439 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 440 |
0% |
0.4% |
| 441 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| 442 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 443 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 444 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 445 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
| 446 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 447 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 448 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 449 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 450 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 451 |
0% |
0% |
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 336 |
0% |
100% |
| 337 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 338 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 339 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 340 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 341 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 342 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 343 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 344 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 345 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 346 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 347 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 348 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 349 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 350 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 351 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 352 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 353 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
| 354 |
0.3% |
98.8% |
| 355 |
0.3% |
98.5% |
| 356 |
0.4% |
98% |
| 357 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 358 |
0.5% |
98% |
| 359 |
0.7% |
97% |
| 360 |
0.6% |
96% |
| 361 |
0.5% |
96% |
| 362 |
0.3% |
95% |
| 363 |
0.7% |
95% |
| 364 |
0.5% |
94% |
| 365 |
0.4% |
94% |
| 366 |
0.7% |
93% |
| 367 |
0.9% |
93% |
| 368 |
1.1% |
92% |
| 369 |
1.0% |
91% |
| 370 |
2% |
90% |
| 371 |
0.8% |
88% |
| 372 |
2% |
87% |
| 373 |
0.8% |
85% |
| 374 |
0.9% |
84% |
| 375 |
1.0% |
83% |
| 376 |
3% |
82% |
| 377 |
1.4% |
80% |
| 378 |
1.3% |
78% |
| 379 |
1.4% |
77% |
| 380 |
2% |
76% |
| 381 |
2% |
74% |
| 382 |
2% |
72% |
| 383 |
2% |
70% |
| 384 |
2% |
68% |
| 385 |
3% |
66% |
| 386 |
2% |
63% |
| 387 |
4% |
61% |
| 388 |
3% |
58% |
| 389 |
2% |
54% |
| 390 |
3% |
52% |
| 391 |
2% |
49% |
| 392 |
2% |
46% |
| 393 |
2% |
44% |
| 394 |
4% |
42% |
| 395 |
4% |
38% |
| 396 |
2% |
34% |
| 397 |
1.2% |
31% |
| 398 |
2% |
30% |
| 399 |
2% |
28% |
| 400 |
0.8% |
26% |
| 401 |
1.4% |
25% |
| 402 |
1.3% |
23% |
| 403 |
1.3% |
22% |
| 404 |
2% |
21% |
| 405 |
1.3% |
19% |
| 406 |
1.2% |
18% |
| 407 |
2% |
17% |
| 408 |
0.9% |
14% |
| 409 |
0.4% |
14% |
| 410 |
0.8% |
13% |
| 411 |
1.3% |
12% |
| 412 |
0.9% |
11% |
| 413 |
0.3% |
10% |
| 414 |
0.9% |
10% |
| 415 |
0.7% |
9% |
| 416 |
1.3% |
8% |
| 417 |
0.8% |
7% |
| 418 |
0.6% |
6% |
| 419 |
1.1% |
6% |
| 420 |
0.5% |
4% |
| 421 |
0.6% |
4% |
| 422 |
0.5% |
3% |
| 423 |
0.2% |
3% |
| 424 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 425 |
0.4% |
2% |
| 426 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 427 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 428 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
| 429 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
| 430 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
| 431 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 432 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 433 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 434 |
0% |
0.4% |
| 435 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 436 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| 437 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| 438 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 439 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 440 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 441 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 442 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 443 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 444 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 445 |
0% |
0% |
Conservative Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 330 |
0% |
100% |
| 331 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 332 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 333 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 334 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 335 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 336 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 337 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 338 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 339 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 340 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 341 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 342 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 343 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 344 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 345 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 346 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 347 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
| 348 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
| 349 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
| 350 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 351 |
0.5% |
98% |
| 352 |
0.5% |
98% |
| 353 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 354 |
0.7% |
97% |
| 355 |
0.6% |
96% |
| 356 |
0.5% |
95% |
| 357 |
0.4% |
95% |
| 358 |
1.0% |
95% |
| 359 |
0.4% |
94% |
| 360 |
0.2% |
93% |
| 361 |
0.6% |
93% |
| 362 |
2% |
92% |
| 363 |
1.0% |
91% |
| 364 |
1.0% |
90% |
| 365 |
3% |
89% |
| 366 |
1.2% |
86% |
| 367 |
0.7% |
85% |
| 368 |
1.2% |
84% |
| 369 |
2% |
83% |
| 370 |
1.4% |
81% |
| 371 |
2% |
80% |
| 372 |
1.5% |
78% |
| 373 |
1.0% |
76% |
| 374 |
1.4% |
75% |
| 375 |
1.1% |
74% |
| 376 |
3% |
73% |
| 377 |
2% |
70% |
| 378 |
3% |
68% |
| 379 |
2% |
65% |
| 380 |
3% |
63% |
| 381 |
3% |
60% |
| 382 |
4% |
57% |
| 383 |
4% |
53% |
| 384 |
3% |
49% |
| 385 |
2% |
46% |
| 386 |
2% |
44% |
| 387 |
1.5% |
41% |
| 388 |
5% |
40% |
| 389 |
3% |
34% |
| 390 |
2% |
31% |
| 391 |
2% |
29% |
| 392 |
0.9% |
28% |
| 393 |
1.3% |
27% |
| 394 |
2% |
26% |
| 395 |
2% |
24% |
| 396 |
2% |
22% |
| 397 |
0.7% |
20% |
| 398 |
1.2% |
19% |
| 399 |
2% |
18% |
| 400 |
2% |
16% |
| 401 |
0.7% |
15% |
| 402 |
0.5% |
14% |
| 403 |
2% |
14% |
| 404 |
0.7% |
12% |
| 405 |
1.0% |
12% |
| 406 |
0.7% |
11% |
| 407 |
1.2% |
10% |
| 408 |
1.1% |
9% |
| 409 |
0.8% |
8% |
| 410 |
0.8% |
7% |
| 411 |
0.6% |
6% |
| 412 |
1.1% |
5% |
| 413 |
0.4% |
4% |
| 414 |
0.6% |
4% |
| 415 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 416 |
0.5% |
3% |
| 417 |
0.4% |
2% |
| 418 |
0.5% |
2% |
| 419 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 420 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
| 421 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
| 422 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
| 423 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
| 424 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 425 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 426 |
0% |
0.4% |
| 427 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 428 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 429 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 430 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
| 431 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 432 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 433 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 434 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 435 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 436 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 437 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 195 |
0% |
100% |
| 196 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 197 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 198 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 199 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 200 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 201 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
| 202 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 203 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 204 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 205 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 206 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 207 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
| 208 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
| 209 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
| 210 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
| 211 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
| 212 |
0.4% |
98.5% |
| 213 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 214 |
0.6% |
98% |
| 215 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 216 |
0.5% |
97% |
| 217 |
0.5% |
96% |
| 218 |
0.7% |
96% |
| 219 |
0.7% |
95% |
| 220 |
1.0% |
94% |
| 221 |
0.7% |
93% |
| 222 |
0.7% |
93% |
| 223 |
2% |
92% |
| 224 |
0.5% |
90% |
| 225 |
0.9% |
90% |
| 226 |
1.0% |
89% |
| 227 |
1.3% |
88% |
| 228 |
0.6% |
87% |
| 229 |
0.6% |
86% |
| 230 |
1.2% |
86% |
| 231 |
1.3% |
84% |
| 232 |
2% |
83% |
| 233 |
1.1% |
81% |
| 234 |
1.5% |
80% |
| 235 |
1.4% |
79% |
| 236 |
1.4% |
78% |
| 237 |
2% |
76% |
| 238 |
0.9% |
74% |
| 239 |
1.4% |
73% |
| 240 |
1.3% |
72% |
| 241 |
3% |
70% |
| 242 |
3% |
67% |
| 243 |
5% |
64% |
| 244 |
2% |
60% |
| 245 |
2% |
58% |
| 246 |
3% |
56% |
| 247 |
4% |
53% |
| 248 |
3% |
49% |
| 249 |
4% |
46% |
| 250 |
4% |
43% |
| 251 |
2% |
39% |
| 252 |
2% |
36% |
| 253 |
3% |
34% |
| 254 |
2% |
31% |
| 255 |
2% |
29% |
| 256 |
2% |
27% |
| 257 |
1.0% |
25% |
| 258 |
1.1% |
24% |
| 259 |
1.3% |
23% |
| 260 |
2% |
22% |
| 261 |
2% |
20% |
| 262 |
1.4% |
18% |
| 263 |
1.2% |
17% |
| 264 |
1.0% |
16% |
| 265 |
1.2% |
15% |
| 266 |
2% |
13% |
| 267 |
0.9% |
11% |
| 268 |
1.1% |
10% |
| 269 |
1.4% |
9% |
| 270 |
0.6% |
8% |
| 271 |
0.2% |
7% |
| 272 |
0.4% |
7% |
| 273 |
1.0% |
6% |
| 274 |
0.4% |
5% |
| 275 |
0.4% |
5% |
| 276 |
0.7% |
5% |
| 277 |
0.6% |
4% |
| 278 |
0.5% |
3% |
| 279 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 280 |
0.5% |
2% |
| 281 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 282 |
0.4% |
2% |
| 283 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
| 284 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
| 285 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 286 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 287 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 288 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 289 |
0% |
0.4% |
| 290 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 291 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 292 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 293 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 294 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 295 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 296 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 297 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 298 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 299 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 300 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 301 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 302 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 186 |
0% |
100% |
| 187 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 188 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 189 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 190 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 191 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 192 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 193 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
| 194 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
| 195 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 196 |
0% |
99.6% |
| 197 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 198 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 199 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 200 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 201 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
| 202 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
| 203 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
| 204 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 205 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 206 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 207 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 208 |
0.5% |
97% |
| 209 |
0.2% |
97% |
| 210 |
0.7% |
97% |
| 211 |
0.9% |
96% |
| 212 |
0.6% |
95% |
| 213 |
0.5% |
94% |
| 214 |
1.4% |
94% |
| 215 |
0.8% |
92% |
| 216 |
0.9% |
92% |
| 217 |
0.8% |
91% |
| 218 |
0.5% |
90% |
| 219 |
1.4% |
89% |
| 220 |
0.7% |
88% |
| 221 |
0.7% |
87% |
| 222 |
0.8% |
87% |
| 223 |
1.2% |
86% |
| 224 |
2% |
85% |
| 225 |
1.3% |
83% |
| 226 |
1.3% |
82% |
| 227 |
2% |
80% |
| 228 |
1.3% |
78% |
| 229 |
1.1% |
77% |
| 230 |
1.3% |
76% |
| 231 |
1.0% |
75% |
| 232 |
2% |
74% |
| 233 |
2% |
72% |
| 234 |
2% |
69% |
| 235 |
1.1% |
67% |
| 236 |
6% |
66% |
| 237 |
3% |
60% |
| 238 |
1.5% |
57% |
| 239 |
3% |
56% |
| 240 |
2% |
53% |
| 241 |
3% |
51% |
| 242 |
3% |
48% |
| 243 |
4% |
45% |
| 244 |
2% |
40% |
| 245 |
2% |
38% |
| 246 |
3% |
37% |
| 247 |
2% |
33% |
| 248 |
1.4% |
31% |
| 249 |
2% |
30% |
| 250 |
2% |
27% |
| 251 |
0.9% |
25% |
| 252 |
1.4% |
24% |
| 253 |
1.5% |
23% |
| 254 |
1.3% |
21% |
| 255 |
2% |
20% |
| 256 |
1.0% |
17% |
| 257 |
0.9% |
16% |
| 258 |
0.9% |
16% |
| 259 |
2% |
15% |
| 260 |
1.2% |
13% |
| 261 |
1.4% |
11% |
| 262 |
0.9% |
10% |
| 263 |
0.9% |
9% |
| 264 |
1.1% |
8% |
| 265 |
0.6% |
7% |
| 266 |
0.4% |
7% |
| 267 |
0.5% |
6% |
| 268 |
0.7% |
6% |
| 269 |
0.3% |
5% |
| 270 |
0.5% |
5% |
| 271 |
0.7% |
4% |
| 272 |
0.7% |
3% |
| 273 |
0.5% |
3% |
| 274 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 275 |
0.4% |
2% |
| 276 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 277 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
| 278 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
| 279 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 280 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 281 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 282 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 283 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 284 |
0% |
0.4% |
| 285 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 286 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 287 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 288 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 289 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 290 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 291 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 292 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 293 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 294 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 295 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 296 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 180 |
0% |
100% |
| 181 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 182 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 183 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 184 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 185 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
| 186 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 187 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 188 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 189 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
| 190 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 191 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 192 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 193 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 194 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 195 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
| 196 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
| 197 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
| 198 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
| 199 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
| 200 |
0.5% |
98.6% |
| 201 |
0.5% |
98% |
| 202 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 203 |
0.3% |
97% |
| 204 |
0.9% |
97% |
| 205 |
0.4% |
96% |
| 206 |
0.6% |
96% |
| 207 |
0.3% |
95% |
| 208 |
0.6% |
95% |
| 209 |
0.3% |
94% |
| 210 |
0.7% |
94% |
| 211 |
0.7% |
93% |
| 212 |
0.8% |
93% |
| 213 |
0.6% |
92% |
| 214 |
0.6% |
91% |
| 215 |
2% |
91% |
| 216 |
0.6% |
89% |
| 217 |
0.9% |
88% |
| 218 |
1.1% |
88% |
| 219 |
2% |
87% |
| 220 |
0.8% |
84% |
| 221 |
1.3% |
84% |
| 222 |
0.9% |
82% |
| 223 |
2% |
81% |
| 224 |
1.1% |
80% |
| 225 |
1.5% |
79% |
| 226 |
0.9% |
77% |
| 227 |
2% |
76% |
| 228 |
2% |
74% |
| 229 |
1.4% |
72% |
| 230 |
2% |
71% |
| 231 |
2% |
69% |
| 232 |
2% |
67% |
| 233 |
4% |
66% |
| 234 |
3% |
61% |
| 235 |
1.5% |
59% |
| 236 |
4% |
57% |
| 237 |
2% |
54% |
| 238 |
3% |
51% |
| 239 |
2% |
48% |
| 240 |
3% |
46% |
| 241 |
2% |
44% |
| 242 |
4% |
42% |
| 243 |
1.3% |
38% |
| 244 |
4% |
37% |
| 245 |
2% |
33% |
| 246 |
2% |
31% |
| 247 |
3% |
29% |
| 248 |
1.3% |
25% |
| 249 |
1.4% |
24% |
| 250 |
1.4% |
23% |
| 251 |
1.2% |
21% |
| 252 |
2% |
20% |
| 253 |
2% |
18% |
| 254 |
0.6% |
17% |
| 255 |
0.6% |
16% |
| 256 |
2% |
15% |
| 257 |
1.4% |
14% |
| 258 |
0.7% |
12% |
| 259 |
1.1% |
12% |
| 260 |
1.2% |
11% |
| 261 |
1.2% |
9% |
| 262 |
2% |
8% |
| 263 |
0.5% |
6% |
| 264 |
0.7% |
6% |
| 265 |
0.4% |
5% |
| 266 |
0.2% |
5% |
| 267 |
0.3% |
5% |
| 268 |
0.4% |
4% |
| 269 |
0.3% |
4% |
| 270 |
1.0% |
4% |
| 271 |
0.2% |
3% |
| 272 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 273 |
0.5% |
2% |
| 274 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 275 |
0.4% |
1.5% |
| 276 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
| 277 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
| 278 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 279 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 280 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 281 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 282 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| 283 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 284 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 285 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 286 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 287 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 288 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 289 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 290 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 291 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 292 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 293 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 173 |
0% |
100% |
| 174 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 175 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 176 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 177 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 178 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 179 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 180 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
| 181 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 182 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 183 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 184 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 185 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 186 |
0% |
99.4% |
| 187 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 188 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
| 189 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
| 190 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
| 191 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
| 192 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
| 193 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 194 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 195 |
0.5% |
98% |
| 196 |
0.5% |
97% |
| 197 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 198 |
0.4% |
96% |
| 199 |
0.8% |
96% |
| 200 |
0.2% |
95% |
| 201 |
0.4% |
95% |
| 202 |
0.5% |
95% |
| 203 |
0.6% |
94% |
| 204 |
0.8% |
93% |
| 205 |
1.2% |
93% |
| 206 |
0.6% |
91% |
| 207 |
0.7% |
91% |
| 208 |
0.5% |
90% |
| 209 |
0.9% |
90% |
| 210 |
0.7% |
89% |
| 211 |
2% |
88% |
| 212 |
1.0% |
86% |
| 213 |
0.9% |
85% |
| 214 |
1.1% |
84% |
| 215 |
2% |
83% |
| 216 |
1.0% |
81% |
| 217 |
2% |
80% |
| 218 |
1.2% |
79% |
| 219 |
1.1% |
77% |
| 220 |
2% |
76% |
| 221 |
2% |
75% |
| 222 |
1.5% |
72% |
| 223 |
2% |
71% |
| 224 |
1.3% |
69% |
| 225 |
1.0% |
67% |
| 226 |
3% |
66% |
| 227 |
2% |
63% |
| 228 |
4% |
61% |
| 229 |
4% |
57% |
| 230 |
2% |
53% |
| 231 |
2% |
52% |
| 232 |
2% |
49% |
| 233 |
3% |
48% |
| 234 |
3% |
44% |
| 235 |
3% |
42% |
| 236 |
1.4% |
39% |
| 237 |
2% |
38% |
| 238 |
2% |
36% |
| 239 |
3% |
34% |
| 240 |
3% |
31% |
| 241 |
3% |
28% |
| 242 |
1.2% |
25% |
| 243 |
1.4% |
24% |
| 244 |
2% |
22% |
| 245 |
1.0% |
21% |
| 246 |
2% |
20% |
| 247 |
1.3% |
18% |
| 248 |
0.9% |
16% |
| 249 |
0.9% |
16% |
| 250 |
0.9% |
15% |
| 251 |
1.5% |
14% |
| 252 |
2% |
12% |
| 253 |
0.9% |
11% |
| 254 |
0.5% |
10% |
| 255 |
0.9% |
9% |
| 256 |
2% |
8% |
| 257 |
0.6% |
7% |
| 258 |
0.5% |
6% |
| 259 |
0.7% |
6% |
| 260 |
0.3% |
5% |
| 261 |
0.3% |
5% |
| 262 |
0.4% |
4% |
| 263 |
0.3% |
4% |
| 264 |
0.3% |
4% |
| 265 |
0.7% |
3% |
| 266 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 267 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 268 |
0.4% |
2% |
| 269 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 270 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
| 271 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
| 272 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 273 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 274 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 275 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 276 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 277 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 278 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 279 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 280 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
| 281 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 282 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 283 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 284 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 285 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 286 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 287 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 288 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 147 |
0% |
100% |
| 148 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 149 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 150 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 151 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 152 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 153 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 154 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 155 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 156 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
| 157 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 158 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
| 159 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 160 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
| 161 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
| 162 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
| 163 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
| 164 |
0.5% |
98% |
| 165 |
0.4% |
98% |
| 166 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 167 |
0.3% |
97% |
| 168 |
0.3% |
97% |
| 169 |
0.5% |
97% |
| 170 |
0.8% |
96% |
| 171 |
0.5% |
96% |
| 172 |
1.0% |
95% |
| 173 |
0.6% |
94% |
| 174 |
0.7% |
93% |
| 175 |
0.7% |
93% |
| 176 |
0.9% |
92% |
| 177 |
0.6% |
91% |
| 178 |
1.1% |
91% |
| 179 |
1.4% |
90% |
| 180 |
1.3% |
88% |
| 181 |
1.4% |
87% |
| 182 |
1.5% |
85% |
| 183 |
0.9% |
84% |
| 184 |
1.3% |
83% |
| 185 |
2% |
82% |
| 186 |
1.0% |
80% |
| 187 |
3% |
79% |
| 188 |
0.8% |
77% |
| 189 |
1.4% |
76% |
| 190 |
1.1% |
74% |
| 191 |
2% |
73% |
| 192 |
2% |
72% |
| 193 |
1.4% |
70% |
| 194 |
3% |
68% |
| 195 |
3% |
66% |
| 196 |
3% |
63% |
| 197 |
3% |
60% |
| 198 |
5% |
57% |
| 199 |
5% |
52% |
| 200 |
2% |
47% |
| 201 |
0.9% |
45% |
| 202 |
3% |
44% |
| 203 |
2% |
42% |
| 204 |
2% |
39% |
| 205 |
3% |
37% |
| 206 |
1.4% |
34% |
| 207 |
1.1% |
33% |
| 208 |
2% |
31% |
| 209 |
1.2% |
29% |
| 210 |
1.5% |
28% |
| 211 |
0.9% |
26% |
| 212 |
1.2% |
25% |
| 213 |
2% |
24% |
| 214 |
2% |
22% |
| 215 |
0.6% |
21% |
| 216 |
1.1% |
20% |
| 217 |
2% |
19% |
| 218 |
0.6% |
17% |
| 219 |
1.4% |
16% |
| 220 |
2% |
15% |
| 221 |
2% |
13% |
| 222 |
0.8% |
11% |
| 223 |
1.0% |
11% |
| 224 |
1.0% |
10% |
| 225 |
0.4% |
9% |
| 226 |
0.4% |
8% |
| 227 |
0.5% |
8% |
| 228 |
0.4% |
7% |
| 229 |
0.5% |
7% |
| 230 |
0.6% |
7% |
| 231 |
0.5% |
6% |
| 232 |
0.5% |
5% |
| 233 |
0.2% |
5% |
| 234 |
0.3% |
5% |
| 235 |
0.5% |
4% |
| 236 |
0.2% |
4% |
| 237 |
0.3% |
4% |
| 238 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 239 |
0.2% |
3% |
| 240 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 241 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 242 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 243 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 244 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 245 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 246 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 247 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 248 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 249 |
0.1% |
1.5% |
| 250 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
| 251 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
| 252 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
| 253 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
| 254 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
| 255 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 256 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 257 |
0% |
0.7% |
| 258 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 259 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 260 |
0% |
0.4% |
| 261 |
0% |
0.4% |
| 262 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 263 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 264 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 265 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 266 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 267 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 268 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 269 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 270 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 271 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 272 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 273 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 274 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 275 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 276 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 139 |
0% |
100% |
| 140 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 141 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 142 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 143 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 144 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 145 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 146 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 147 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
| 148 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 149 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 150 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 151 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 152 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
| 153 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
| 154 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
| 155 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
| 156 |
0.3% |
98.5% |
| 157 |
0.4% |
98% |
| 158 |
0.4% |
98% |
| 159 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 160 |
0.5% |
97% |
| 161 |
0.6% |
97% |
| 162 |
0.3% |
96% |
| 163 |
0.5% |
96% |
| 164 |
0.6% |
95% |
| 165 |
0.6% |
95% |
| 166 |
0.5% |
94% |
| 167 |
0.4% |
94% |
| 168 |
1.4% |
93% |
| 169 |
0.4% |
92% |
| 170 |
0.8% |
91% |
| 171 |
1.1% |
91% |
| 172 |
1.4% |
89% |
| 173 |
0.8% |
88% |
| 174 |
2% |
87% |
| 175 |
2% |
86% |
| 176 |
0.7% |
84% |
| 177 |
1.0% |
83% |
| 178 |
1.1% |
82% |
| 179 |
2% |
81% |
| 180 |
1.4% |
79% |
| 181 |
2% |
78% |
| 182 |
3% |
76% |
| 183 |
1.2% |
74% |
| 184 |
2% |
73% |
| 185 |
1.0% |
71% |
| 186 |
2% |
70% |
| 187 |
2% |
68% |
| 188 |
3% |
66% |
| 189 |
2% |
63% |
| 190 |
3% |
61% |
| 191 |
5% |
58% |
| 192 |
4% |
53% |
| 193 |
1.2% |
50% |
| 194 |
4% |
48% |
| 195 |
2% |
44% |
| 196 |
1.3% |
43% |
| 197 |
2% |
41% |
| 198 |
3% |
39% |
| 199 |
2% |
36% |
| 200 |
2% |
35% |
| 201 |
1.5% |
33% |
| 202 |
2% |
31% |
| 203 |
2% |
29% |
| 204 |
1.3% |
27% |
| 205 |
2% |
26% |
| 206 |
2% |
25% |
| 207 |
1.1% |
23% |
| 208 |
0.7% |
22% |
| 209 |
2% |
21% |
| 210 |
1.5% |
19% |
| 211 |
0.7% |
18% |
| 212 |
1.3% |
17% |
| 213 |
2% |
16% |
| 214 |
1.0% |
14% |
| 215 |
1.1% |
13% |
| 216 |
1.2% |
12% |
| 217 |
0.6% |
11% |
| 218 |
0.8% |
10% |
| 219 |
0.5% |
9% |
| 220 |
0.9% |
9% |
| 221 |
0.6% |
8% |
| 222 |
0.5% |
7% |
| 223 |
0.4% |
7% |
| 224 |
0.3% |
7% |
| 225 |
0.6% |
6% |
| 226 |
0.5% |
6% |
| 227 |
0.6% |
5% |
| 228 |
0.2% |
5% |
| 229 |
0.3% |
4% |
| 230 |
0.3% |
4% |
| 231 |
0.3% |
4% |
| 232 |
0.2% |
3% |
| 233 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 234 |
0.1% |
3% |
| 235 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 236 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 237 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 238 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 239 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 240 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 241 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 242 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 243 |
0.1% |
1.5% |
| 244 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
| 245 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
| 246 |
0% |
1.1% |
| 247 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
| 248 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
| 249 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 250 |
0% |
0.8% |
| 251 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
| 252 |
0% |
0.6% |
| 253 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
| 254 |
0% |
0.4% |
| 255 |
0% |
0.4% |
| 256 |
0% |
0.4% |
| 257 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 258 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 259 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 260 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 261 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 262 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 263 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 264 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 265 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 266 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 267 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 268 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 269 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 270 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 271 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 138 |
0% |
100% |
| 139 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 140 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 141 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 142 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 143 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 144 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 145 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 146 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
| 147 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
| 148 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 149 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 150 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 151 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
| 152 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
| 153 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
| 154 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
| 155 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
| 156 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 157 |
0.4% |
98% |
| 158 |
0.5% |
98% |
| 159 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 160 |
0.6% |
97% |
| 161 |
0.4% |
96% |
| 162 |
0.9% |
96% |
| 163 |
0.5% |
95% |
| 164 |
1.0% |
94% |
| 165 |
1.0% |
93% |
| 166 |
0.6% |
92% |
| 167 |
1.1% |
92% |
| 168 |
1.0% |
91% |
| 169 |
1.2% |
90% |
| 170 |
1.1% |
89% |
| 171 |
0.8% |
88% |
| 172 |
1.2% |
87% |
| 173 |
0.8% |
86% |
| 174 |
1.3% |
85% |
| 175 |
0.6% |
83% |
| 176 |
2% |
83% |
| 177 |
1.0% |
81% |
| 178 |
0.4% |
80% |
| 179 |
1.2% |
79% |
| 180 |
2% |
78% |
| 181 |
2% |
77% |
| 182 |
2% |
75% |
| 183 |
2% |
73% |
| 184 |
2% |
71% |
| 185 |
3% |
69% |
| 186 |
3% |
66% |
| 187 |
3% |
63% |
| 188 |
4% |
60% |
| 189 |
5% |
56% |
| 190 |
3% |
52% |
| 191 |
3% |
49% |
| 192 |
3% |
46% |
| 193 |
3% |
43% |
| 194 |
2% |
40% |
| 195 |
2% |
38% |
| 196 |
3% |
37% |
| 197 |
3% |
33% |
| 198 |
1.3% |
31% |
| 199 |
0.5% |
29% |
| 200 |
2% |
29% |
| 201 |
2% |
27% |
| 202 |
2% |
25% |
| 203 |
1.2% |
24% |
| 204 |
2% |
22% |
| 205 |
0.9% |
21% |
| 206 |
1.2% |
20% |
| 207 |
3% |
19% |
| 208 |
1.1% |
16% |
| 209 |
0.8% |
15% |
| 210 |
1.2% |
14% |
| 211 |
0.3% |
13% |
| 212 |
2% |
13% |
| 213 |
0.5% |
11% |
| 214 |
1.0% |
10% |
| 215 |
0.7% |
9% |
| 216 |
0.3% |
9% |
| 217 |
0.7% |
8% |
| 218 |
0.8% |
8% |
| 219 |
0.6% |
7% |
| 220 |
0.7% |
6% |
| 221 |
0.5% |
6% |
| 222 |
0.5% |
5% |
| 223 |
0.3% |
5% |
| 224 |
0.7% |
4% |
| 225 |
0.3% |
4% |
| 226 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 227 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 228 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 229 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 230 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 231 |
0.4% |
2% |
| 232 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 233 |
0% |
2% |
| 234 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 235 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 236 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
| 237 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
| 238 |
0% |
1.1% |
| 239 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
| 240 |
0% |
0.9% |
| 241 |
0% |
0.9% |
| 242 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 243 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
| 244 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 245 |
0% |
0.5% |
| 246 |
0% |
0.5% |
| 247 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 248 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 249 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 250 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 251 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 252 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 253 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 254 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 255 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 256 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 257 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 258 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 259 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 260 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 261 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 262 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 131 |
0% |
100% |
| 132 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 133 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 134 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 135 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 136 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 137 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 138 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
| 139 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 140 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 141 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 142 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 143 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 144 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
| 145 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
| 146 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
| 147 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
| 148 |
0.1% |
98% |
| 149 |
0.4% |
98% |
| 150 |
0.5% |
98% |
| 151 |
0.6% |
97% |
| 152 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 153 |
0.4% |
96% |
| 154 |
0.4% |
96% |
| 155 |
1.1% |
96% |
| 156 |
0.4% |
95% |
| 157 |
0.8% |
94% |
| 158 |
0.5% |
93% |
| 159 |
1.1% |
93% |
| 160 |
1.2% |
92% |
| 161 |
0.9% |
90% |
| 162 |
0.5% |
90% |
| 163 |
0.6% |
89% |
| 164 |
2% |
89% |
| 165 |
1.0% |
87% |
| 166 |
1.4% |
86% |
| 167 |
1.1% |
85% |
| 168 |
1.0% |
83% |
| 169 |
1.4% |
82% |
| 170 |
0.6% |
81% |
| 171 |
0.9% |
80% |
| 172 |
1.4% |
80% |
| 173 |
1.5% |
78% |
| 174 |
1.3% |
77% |
| 175 |
3% |
75% |
| 176 |
2% |
73% |
| 177 |
2% |
71% |
| 178 |
3% |
69% |
| 179 |
3% |
66% |
| 180 |
3% |
64% |
| 181 |
5% |
61% |
| 182 |
3% |
56% |
| 183 |
2% |
53% |
| 184 |
2% |
51% |
| 185 |
3% |
49% |
| 186 |
3% |
45% |
| 187 |
1.4% |
42% |
| 188 |
2% |
41% |
| 189 |
3% |
39% |
| 190 |
3% |
36% |
| 191 |
3% |
33% |
| 192 |
1.1% |
31% |
| 193 |
2% |
30% |
| 194 |
2% |
28% |
| 195 |
1.4% |
26% |
| 196 |
1.5% |
25% |
| 197 |
2% |
23% |
| 198 |
1.2% |
21% |
| 199 |
1.0% |
20% |
| 200 |
2% |
19% |
| 201 |
1.1% |
17% |
| 202 |
1.0% |
16% |
| 203 |
0.9% |
15% |
| 204 |
0.5% |
14% |
| 205 |
1.3% |
14% |
| 206 |
1.0% |
12% |
| 207 |
1.3% |
11% |
| 208 |
0.5% |
10% |
| 209 |
0.6% |
9% |
| 210 |
0.7% |
9% |
| 211 |
0.5% |
8% |
| 212 |
0.5% |
8% |
| 213 |
0.9% |
7% |
| 214 |
0.5% |
6% |
| 215 |
0.4% |
6% |
| 216 |
0.4% |
5% |
| 217 |
0.4% |
5% |
| 218 |
0.6% |
5% |
| 219 |
0.7% |
4% |
| 220 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 221 |
0.2% |
3% |
| 222 |
0.1% |
3% |
| 223 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 224 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 225 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 226 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 227 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 228 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 229 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 230 |
0% |
1.3% |
| 231 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
| 232 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
| 233 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
| 234 |
0% |
1.0% |
| 235 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 236 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 237 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 238 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
| 239 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 240 |
0% |
0.5% |
| 241 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 242 |
0% |
0.4% |
| 243 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 244 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 245 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 246 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 247 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 248 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 249 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 250 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 251 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 252 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 253 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 254 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 255 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 256 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 257 |
0% |
0% |
Opinion Poll
- Pollster: Kantar Public
- Media: —
- Fieldwork period: 11–15 May 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 605
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.71%