Opinion Poll by Survation for Mail on Sunday, 3 June 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
| Conservative Party |
36.9% |
41.8% |
37.7–42.1% |
37.1–42.7% |
36.5–43.3% |
35.5–44.4% |
| Labour Party |
30.4% |
41.0% |
36.9–41.4% |
36.3–42.0% |
35.8–42.5% |
34.8–43.6% |
| Liberal Democrats |
7.9% |
8.0% |
6.5–8.9% |
6.2–9.3% |
6.0–9.6% |
5.5–10.3% |
| UK Independence Party |
12.6% |
4.8% |
3.8–5.7% |
3.6–6.0% |
3.4–6.3% |
3.0–6.9% |
| Scottish National Party |
4.7% |
3.8% |
2.9–4.6% |
2.7–4.9% |
2.5–5.2% |
2.2–5.7% |
| Plaid Cymru |
0.6% |
0.5% |
0.3–1.0% |
0.2–1.1% |
0.2–1.3% |
0.1–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
Conservative Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 252 |
0% |
100% |
| 253 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 254 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 255 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 256 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 257 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
| 258 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
| 259 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 260 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 261 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 262 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 263 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
| 264 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 265 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
| 266 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
| 267 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
| 268 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
| 269 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
| 270 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 271 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 272 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 273 |
0.4% |
98% |
| 274 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 275 |
0.5% |
97% |
| 276 |
1.2% |
96% |
| 277 |
1.3% |
95% |
| 278 |
0.7% |
94% |
| 279 |
0.6% |
93% |
| 280 |
0.4% |
92% |
| 281 |
0.6% |
92% |
| 282 |
0.7% |
91% |
| 283 |
0.7% |
91% |
| 284 |
0.8% |
90% |
| 285 |
0.7% |
89% |
| 286 |
0.8% |
88% |
| 287 |
0.8% |
88% |
| 288 |
1.3% |
87% |
| 289 |
1.1% |
85% |
| 290 |
1.1% |
84% |
| 291 |
1.4% |
83% |
| 292 |
1.3% |
82% |
| 293 |
1.1% |
81% |
| 294 |
1.4% |
79% |
| 295 |
0.7% |
78% |
| 296 |
1.0% |
77% |
| 297 |
1.4% |
76% |
| 298 |
2% |
75% |
| 299 |
2% |
73% |
| 300 |
2% |
71% |
| 301 |
2% |
69% |
| 302 |
2% |
67% |
| 303 |
2% |
65% |
| 304 |
2% |
63% |
| 305 |
3% |
61% |
| 306 |
2% |
59% |
| 307 |
1.3% |
56% |
| 308 |
3% |
55% |
| 309 |
1.2% |
52% |
| 310 |
3% |
51% |
| 311 |
2% |
48% |
| 312 |
3% |
46% |
| 313 |
4% |
44% |
| 314 |
3% |
40% |
| 315 |
4% |
37% |
| 316 |
4% |
33% |
| 317 |
5% |
28% |
| 318 |
2% |
23% |
| 319 |
3% |
21% |
| 320 |
3% |
18% |
| 321 |
2% |
15% |
| 322 |
1.2% |
13% |
| 323 |
1.0% |
12% |
| 324 |
1.3% |
11% |
| 325 |
2% |
9% |
| 326 |
1.3% |
8% |
| 327 |
1.2% |
6% |
| 328 |
0.6% |
5% |
| 329 |
0.6% |
4% |
| 330 |
0.4% |
4% |
| 331 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 332 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 333 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 334 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 335 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 336 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 337 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 338 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
| 339 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
| 340 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 341 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 342 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 343 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 344 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 345 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 346 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 347 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 348 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 349 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 350 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 351 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 352 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 353 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 354 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 355 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 220 |
0% |
100% |
| 221 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 222 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 223 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 224 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 225 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 226 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 227 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 228 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 229 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 230 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 231 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 232 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 233 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 234 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 235 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 236 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
| 237 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
| 238 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
| 239 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
| 240 |
0.2% |
98.5% |
| 241 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 242 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 243 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 244 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 245 |
0.3% |
97% |
| 246 |
0.5% |
97% |
| 247 |
0.6% |
97% |
| 248 |
0.5% |
96% |
| 249 |
1.1% |
96% |
| 250 |
1.0% |
94% |
| 251 |
1.0% |
93% |
| 252 |
1.3% |
92% |
| 253 |
2% |
91% |
| 254 |
1.3% |
89% |
| 255 |
2% |
88% |
| 256 |
1.5% |
87% |
| 257 |
2% |
85% |
| 258 |
1.1% |
83% |
| 259 |
1.5% |
82% |
| 260 |
2% |
80% |
| 261 |
2% |
78% |
| 262 |
2% |
76% |
| 263 |
2% |
75% |
| 264 |
2% |
73% |
| 265 |
2% |
72% |
| 266 |
1.0% |
70% |
| 267 |
2% |
69% |
| 268 |
2% |
67% |
| 269 |
2% |
65% |
| 270 |
2% |
63% |
| 271 |
2% |
61% |
| 272 |
2% |
60% |
| 273 |
1.3% |
58% |
| 274 |
2% |
57% |
| 275 |
1.0% |
55% |
| 276 |
2% |
54% |
| 277 |
2% |
52% |
| 278 |
0.8% |
51% |
| 279 |
1.2% |
50% |
| 280 |
1.2% |
49% |
| 281 |
2% |
47% |
| 282 |
2% |
46% |
| 283 |
2% |
44% |
| 284 |
2% |
42% |
| 285 |
2% |
40% |
| 286 |
2% |
38% |
| 287 |
2% |
36% |
| 288 |
1.2% |
35% |
| 289 |
1.1% |
33% |
| 290 |
1.3% |
32% |
| 291 |
2% |
31% |
| 292 |
2% |
29% |
| 293 |
2% |
28% |
| 294 |
1.0% |
26% |
| 295 |
1.2% |
25% |
| 296 |
1.4% |
24% |
| 297 |
1.4% |
22% |
| 298 |
0.8% |
21% |
| 299 |
1.1% |
20% |
| 300 |
1.5% |
19% |
| 301 |
0.7% |
17% |
| 302 |
1.1% |
17% |
| 303 |
0.8% |
16% |
| 304 |
1.0% |
15% |
| 305 |
0.7% |
14% |
| 306 |
0.8% |
13% |
| 307 |
0.8% |
13% |
| 308 |
0.5% |
12% |
| 309 |
0.7% |
11% |
| 310 |
0.5% |
10% |
| 311 |
0.5% |
10% |
| 312 |
0.7% |
9% |
| 313 |
0.5% |
9% |
| 314 |
0.7% |
8% |
| 315 |
0.3% |
8% |
| 316 |
0.5% |
7% |
| 317 |
0.7% |
7% |
| 318 |
0.4% |
6% |
| 319 |
0.8% |
6% |
| 320 |
0.4% |
5% |
| 321 |
0.5% |
5% |
| 322 |
0.3% |
4% |
| 323 |
0.4% |
4% |
| 324 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 325 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 326 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 327 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 328 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 329 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 330 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 331 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
| 332 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
| 333 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
| 334 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 335 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 336 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 337 |
0% |
0.5% |
| 338 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 339 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 340 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 341 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 342 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 343 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 344 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 345 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 346 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 347 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 348 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 349 |
0% |
0% |
Liberal Democrats
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 0 |
0.3% |
100% |
| 1 |
2% |
99.7% |
| 2 |
6% |
97% |
| 3 |
9% |
92% |
| 4 |
9% |
83% |
| 5 |
8% |
74% |
| 6 |
9% |
66% |
| 7 |
6% |
57% |
| 8 |
6% |
51% |
| 9 |
7% |
44% |
| 10 |
6% |
37% |
| 11 |
5% |
31% |
| 12 |
5% |
27% |
| 13 |
5% |
22% |
| 14 |
4% |
17% |
| 15 |
3% |
13% |
| 16 |
2% |
10% |
| 17 |
1.5% |
8% |
| 18 |
2% |
6% |
| 19 |
0.9% |
4% |
| 20 |
1.2% |
4% |
| 21 |
0.6% |
2% |
| 22 |
0.6% |
2% |
| 23 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
| 24 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
| 25 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
| 26 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| 27 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
| 28 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 29 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 30 |
0% |
0% |
UK Independence Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 0 |
100% |
100% |
| 1 |
0% |
0% |
Scottish National Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 0 |
0.2% |
100% |
| 1 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
| 2 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
| 3 |
2% |
98% |
| 4 |
2% |
96% |
| 5 |
2% |
95% |
| 6 |
2% |
93% |
| 7 |
2% |
91% |
| 8 |
2% |
89% |
| 9 |
2% |
87% |
| 10 |
1.1% |
86% |
| 11 |
2% |
85% |
| 12 |
1.4% |
83% |
| 13 |
1.0% |
81% |
| 14 |
1.5% |
80% |
| 15 |
0.9% |
79% |
| 16 |
1.1% |
78% |
| 17 |
2% |
77% |
| 18 |
1.0% |
76% |
| 19 |
1.4% |
75% |
| 20 |
1.1% |
73% |
| 21 |
1.4% |
72% |
| 22 |
1.0% |
71% |
| 23 |
1.2% |
70% |
| 24 |
1.3% |
68% |
| 25 |
1.1% |
67% |
| 26 |
1.3% |
66% |
| 27 |
1.0% |
65% |
| 28 |
2% |
64% |
| 29 |
1.2% |
62% |
| 30 |
2% |
61% |
| 31 |
1.4% |
59% |
| 32 |
1.2% |
58% |
| 33 |
1.4% |
56% |
| 34 |
2% |
55% |
| 35 |
2% |
53% |
| 36 |
2% |
51% |
| 37 |
0.7% |
49% |
| 38 |
1.3% |
48% |
| 39 |
2% |
47% |
| 40 |
2% |
45% |
| 41 |
1.3% |
44% |
| 42 |
1.1% |
42% |
| 43 |
0.8% |
41% |
| 44 |
1.1% |
41% |
| 45 |
2% |
39% |
| 46 |
1.2% |
38% |
| 47 |
2% |
36% |
| 48 |
3% |
34% |
| 49 |
4% |
31% |
| 50 |
5% |
28% |
| 51 |
6% |
22% |
| 52 |
4% |
16% |
| 53 |
2% |
12% |
| 54 |
3% |
10% |
| 55 |
3% |
6% |
| 56 |
1.5% |
4% |
| 57 |
1.2% |
2% |
| 58 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
| 59 |
0% |
0% |
Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 0 |
16% |
100% |
| 1 |
19% |
84% |
| 2 |
6% |
65% |
| 3 |
26% |
58% |
| 4 |
9% |
32% |
| 5 |
21% |
23% |
| 6 |
0.4% |
2% |
| 7 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
| 8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
| 9 |
0% |
0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
| Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
390 |
344 |
310–372 |
299–377 |
293–381 |
280–393 |
| Conservative Party – Scottish National Party |
387 |
341 |
307–369 |
297–374 |
290–379 |
278–390 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
299 |
321 |
307–348 |
303–354 |
298–358 |
287–369 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party |
296 |
318 |
304–345 |
300–352 |
295–356 |
284–367 |
| Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
291 |
314 |
298–338 |
294–346 |
289–350 |
278–360 |
| Labour Party – Scottish National Party |
288 |
311 |
295–336 |
291–343 |
286–347 |
275–358 |
| Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats |
339 |
317 |
293–333 |
285–337 |
281–342 |
271–353 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru |
243 |
290 |
262–324 |
257–334 |
252–341 |
241–353 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats |
240 |
287 |
259–321 |
254–332 |
250–338 |
238–351 |
| Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru |
334 |
313 |
286–327 |
279–331 |
275–336 |
264–347 |
| Conservative Party |
331 |
310 |
283–324 |
277–328 |
273–333 |
262–344 |
| Labour Party – Plaid Cymru |
235 |
281 |
256–313 |
252–322 |
248–329 |
236–340 |
| Labour Party |
232 |
278 |
253–310 |
249–320 |
244–326 |
233–337 |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 267 |
0% |
100% |
| 268 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 269 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 270 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 271 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 272 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 273 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 274 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 275 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 276 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 277 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 278 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 279 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 280 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 281 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 282 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 283 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 284 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
| 285 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
| 286 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
| 287 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
| 288 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
| 289 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 290 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 291 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 292 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 293 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 294 |
0.3% |
97% |
| 295 |
0.3% |
97% |
| 296 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 297 |
0.4% |
96% |
| 298 |
0.7% |
96% |
| 299 |
0.4% |
95% |
| 300 |
0.4% |
95% |
| 301 |
0.5% |
94% |
| 302 |
0.5% |
94% |
| 303 |
0.3% |
93% |
| 304 |
0.7% |
93% |
| 305 |
0.4% |
92% |
| 306 |
0.6% |
92% |
| 307 |
0.4% |
91% |
| 308 |
0.4% |
91% |
| 309 |
0.5% |
91% |
| 310 |
0.5% |
90% |
| 311 |
0.4% |
90% |
| 312 |
0.6% |
89% |
| 313 |
0.7% |
88% |
| 314 |
0.7% |
88% |
| 315 |
0.8% |
87% |
| 316 |
0.9% |
86% |
| 317 |
0.8% |
85% |
| 318 |
0.6% |
85% |
| 319 |
1.2% |
84% |
| 320 |
1.4% |
83% |
| 321 |
1.1% |
81% |
| 322 |
1.0% |
80% |
| 323 |
1.0% |
79% |
| 324 |
1.0% |
78% |
| 325 |
1.4% |
77% |
| 326 |
1.5% |
76% |
| 327 |
1.0% |
74% |
| 328 |
1.2% |
73% |
| 329 |
1.3% |
72% |
| 330 |
1.3% |
71% |
| 331 |
1.4% |
70% |
| 332 |
0.9% |
68% |
| 333 |
1.4% |
67% |
| 334 |
2% |
66% |
| 335 |
2% |
64% |
| 336 |
1.3% |
63% |
| 337 |
1.4% |
62% |
| 338 |
1.5% |
60% |
| 339 |
1.4% |
59% |
| 340 |
2% |
57% |
| 341 |
2% |
55% |
| 342 |
1.3% |
53% |
| 343 |
1.3% |
52% |
| 344 |
1.3% |
51% |
| 345 |
2% |
49% |
| 346 |
1.0% |
48% |
| 347 |
1.1% |
47% |
| 348 |
1.4% |
46% |
| 349 |
1.4% |
44% |
| 350 |
0.7% |
43% |
| 351 |
2% |
42% |
| 352 |
1.2% |
40% |
| 353 |
2% |
39% |
| 354 |
1.4% |
38% |
| 355 |
0.8% |
36% |
| 356 |
2% |
35% |
| 357 |
1.4% |
33% |
| 358 |
2% |
32% |
| 359 |
2% |
30% |
| 360 |
2% |
28% |
| 361 |
1.3% |
27% |
| 362 |
2% |
25% |
| 363 |
1.1% |
24% |
| 364 |
1.5% |
22% |
| 365 |
2% |
21% |
| 366 |
1.3% |
19% |
| 367 |
1.4% |
18% |
| 368 |
1.2% |
16% |
| 369 |
2% |
15% |
| 370 |
2% |
14% |
| 371 |
1.3% |
12% |
| 372 |
1.2% |
11% |
| 373 |
1.2% |
10% |
| 374 |
1.0% |
8% |
| 375 |
1.1% |
7% |
| 376 |
0.7% |
6% |
| 377 |
0.7% |
6% |
| 378 |
0.8% |
5% |
| 379 |
0.6% |
4% |
| 380 |
0.6% |
3% |
| 381 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 382 |
0.4% |
2% |
| 383 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 384 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 385 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 386 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
| 387 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
| 388 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
| 389 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
| 390 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 391 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 392 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 393 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 394 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 395 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 396 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 397 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 398 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 399 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 400 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 401 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 402 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 403 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 404 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 405 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 406 |
0% |
0% |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 264 |
0% |
100% |
| 265 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 266 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 267 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 268 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 269 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 270 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 271 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 272 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 273 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 274 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 275 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 276 |
0% |
99.6% |
| 277 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 278 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 279 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 280 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 281 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
| 282 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
| 283 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
| 284 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
| 285 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
| 286 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 287 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 288 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 289 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 290 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 291 |
0.3% |
97% |
| 292 |
0.3% |
97% |
| 293 |
0.3% |
97% |
| 294 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 295 |
0.4% |
96% |
| 296 |
0.6% |
96% |
| 297 |
0.7% |
95% |
| 298 |
0.3% |
95% |
| 299 |
0.3% |
94% |
| 300 |
0.5% |
94% |
| 301 |
0.5% |
93% |
| 302 |
0.6% |
93% |
| 303 |
0.5% |
92% |
| 304 |
0.5% |
92% |
| 305 |
0.6% |
91% |
| 306 |
0.4% |
91% |
| 307 |
0.4% |
90% |
| 308 |
0.3% |
90% |
| 309 |
0.5% |
89% |
| 310 |
0.7% |
89% |
| 311 |
0.8% |
88% |
| 312 |
0.7% |
87% |
| 313 |
0.8% |
87% |
| 314 |
0.9% |
86% |
| 315 |
0.9% |
85% |
| 316 |
1.0% |
84% |
| 317 |
1.2% |
83% |
| 318 |
1.1% |
82% |
| 319 |
0.9% |
81% |
| 320 |
1.1% |
80% |
| 321 |
1.2% |
79% |
| 322 |
1.0% |
78% |
| 323 |
2% |
76% |
| 324 |
0.9% |
75% |
| 325 |
1.0% |
74% |
| 326 |
2% |
73% |
| 327 |
1.3% |
72% |
| 328 |
1.5% |
70% |
| 329 |
1.4% |
69% |
| 330 |
1.0% |
67% |
| 331 |
1.4% |
66% |
| 332 |
1.2% |
65% |
| 333 |
1.5% |
64% |
| 334 |
2% |
62% |
| 335 |
2% |
61% |
| 336 |
1.1% |
59% |
| 337 |
1.5% |
58% |
| 338 |
2% |
57% |
| 339 |
1.3% |
55% |
| 340 |
2% |
53% |
| 341 |
2% |
51% |
| 342 |
1.5% |
50% |
| 343 |
1.3% |
48% |
| 344 |
1.1% |
47% |
| 345 |
1.5% |
46% |
| 346 |
1.1% |
45% |
| 347 |
1.2% |
43% |
| 348 |
2% |
42% |
| 349 |
1.0% |
41% |
| 350 |
2% |
40% |
| 351 |
1.1% |
38% |
| 352 |
1.2% |
37% |
| 353 |
2% |
36% |
| 354 |
2% |
34% |
| 355 |
2% |
33% |
| 356 |
2% |
30% |
| 357 |
1.3% |
28% |
| 358 |
2% |
27% |
| 359 |
2% |
25% |
| 360 |
1.0% |
24% |
| 361 |
2% |
23% |
| 362 |
2% |
21% |
| 363 |
1.2% |
19% |
| 364 |
1.4% |
18% |
| 365 |
1.4% |
17% |
| 366 |
2% |
15% |
| 367 |
2% |
14% |
| 368 |
1.3% |
12% |
| 369 |
1.1% |
11% |
| 370 |
1.0% |
10% |
| 371 |
1.4% |
9% |
| 372 |
1.1% |
7% |
| 373 |
0.7% |
6% |
| 374 |
0.7% |
5% |
| 375 |
0.6% |
5% |
| 376 |
0.7% |
4% |
| 377 |
0.6% |
3% |
| 378 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 379 |
0.5% |
3% |
| 380 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 381 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 382 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 383 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
| 384 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
| 385 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
| 386 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 387 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 388 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 389 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 390 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 391 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 392 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 393 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| 394 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 395 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 396 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 397 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 398 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 399 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 400 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 401 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 402 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 403 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 277 |
0% |
100% |
| 278 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 279 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 280 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 281 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 282 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 283 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 284 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 285 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 286 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 287 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 288 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 289 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 290 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
| 291 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
| 292 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
| 293 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
| 294 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
| 295 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 296 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 297 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 298 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 299 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 300 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 301 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 302 |
0.6% |
96% |
| 303 |
0.6% |
96% |
| 304 |
1.2% |
95% |
| 305 |
1.3% |
94% |
| 306 |
2% |
92% |
| 307 |
1.3% |
91% |
| 308 |
1.0% |
89% |
| 309 |
1.2% |
88% |
| 310 |
2% |
87% |
| 311 |
3% |
85% |
| 312 |
3% |
82% |
| 313 |
2% |
79% |
| 314 |
5% |
77% |
| 315 |
4% |
72% |
| 316 |
4% |
67% |
| 317 |
3% |
63% |
| 318 |
4% |
60% |
| 319 |
3% |
56% |
| 320 |
2% |
54% |
| 321 |
3% |
52% |
| 322 |
1.2% |
49% |
| 323 |
3% |
48% |
| 324 |
1.3% |
45% |
| 325 |
2% |
44% |
| 326 |
3% |
41% |
| 327 |
2% |
39% |
| 328 |
2% |
37% |
| 329 |
2% |
35% |
| 330 |
2% |
33% |
| 331 |
2% |
31% |
| 332 |
2% |
29% |
| 333 |
2% |
27% |
| 334 |
1.4% |
25% |
| 335 |
1.0% |
24% |
| 336 |
0.7% |
23% |
| 337 |
1.4% |
22% |
| 338 |
1.1% |
21% |
| 339 |
1.3% |
19% |
| 340 |
1.4% |
18% |
| 341 |
1.1% |
17% |
| 342 |
1.1% |
16% |
| 343 |
1.3% |
15% |
| 344 |
0.8% |
13% |
| 345 |
0.8% |
12% |
| 346 |
0.7% |
12% |
| 347 |
0.8% |
11% |
| 348 |
0.7% |
10% |
| 349 |
0.7% |
9% |
| 350 |
0.6% |
9% |
| 351 |
0.4% |
8% |
| 352 |
0.6% |
8% |
| 353 |
0.7% |
7% |
| 354 |
1.3% |
6% |
| 355 |
1.2% |
5% |
| 356 |
0.5% |
4% |
| 357 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 358 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 359 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 360 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 361 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 362 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 363 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
| 364 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
| 365 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
| 366 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 367 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 368 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
| 369 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 370 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 371 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 372 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 373 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| 374 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
| 375 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 376 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 377 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 378 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 379 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 380 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 274 |
0% |
100% |
| 275 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 276 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 277 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 278 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 279 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 280 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
| 281 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 282 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 283 |
0% |
99.6% |
| 284 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 285 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 286 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 287 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 288 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
| 289 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
| 290 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
| 291 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
| 292 |
0.2% |
98.5% |
| 293 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 294 |
0.4% |
98% |
| 295 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 296 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 297 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 298 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 299 |
0.5% |
96% |
| 300 |
0.8% |
96% |
| 301 |
1.3% |
95% |
| 302 |
2% |
94% |
| 303 |
1.2% |
92% |
| 304 |
1.4% |
91% |
| 305 |
1.3% |
89% |
| 306 |
2% |
88% |
| 307 |
1.4% |
86% |
| 308 |
2% |
85% |
| 309 |
3% |
83% |
| 310 |
3% |
80% |
| 311 |
5% |
77% |
| 312 |
3% |
73% |
| 313 |
4% |
69% |
| 314 |
4% |
65% |
| 315 |
4% |
61% |
| 316 |
4% |
58% |
| 317 |
1.3% |
54% |
| 318 |
3% |
53% |
| 319 |
1.3% |
50% |
| 320 |
3% |
49% |
| 321 |
1.3% |
46% |
| 322 |
3% |
45% |
| 323 |
1.5% |
42% |
| 324 |
2% |
40% |
| 325 |
2% |
38% |
| 326 |
2% |
36% |
| 327 |
2% |
35% |
| 328 |
3% |
32% |
| 329 |
2% |
30% |
| 330 |
2% |
28% |
| 331 |
1.5% |
25% |
| 332 |
0.9% |
24% |
| 333 |
0.8% |
23% |
| 334 |
0.9% |
22% |
| 335 |
1.0% |
21% |
| 336 |
1.4% |
20% |
| 337 |
1.3% |
19% |
| 338 |
0.7% |
18% |
| 339 |
1.2% |
17% |
| 340 |
1.0% |
16% |
| 341 |
1.2% |
15% |
| 342 |
2% |
13% |
| 343 |
0.8% |
12% |
| 344 |
0.7% |
11% |
| 345 |
0.5% |
10% |
| 346 |
0.7% |
10% |
| 347 |
0.5% |
9% |
| 348 |
0.5% |
8% |
| 349 |
0.7% |
8% |
| 350 |
0.7% |
7% |
| 351 |
1.0% |
6% |
| 352 |
0.7% |
6% |
| 353 |
0.6% |
5% |
| 354 |
1.0% |
4% |
| 355 |
0.5% |
3% |
| 356 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 357 |
0.4% |
2% |
| 358 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 359 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 360 |
0.2% |
1.5% |
| 361 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
| 362 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
| 363 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
| 364 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 365 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 366 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
| 367 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 368 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 369 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 370 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| 371 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 372 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 373 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 374 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 375 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 376 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 377 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 378 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 267 |
0% |
100% |
| 268 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 269 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 270 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 271 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 272 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 273 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 274 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 275 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 276 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 277 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 278 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 279 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 280 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 281 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 282 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
| 283 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
| 284 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
| 285 |
0.1% |
98.5% |
| 286 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 287 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 288 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 289 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 290 |
0.5% |
97% |
| 291 |
0.6% |
97% |
| 292 |
0.6% |
96% |
| 293 |
0.8% |
96% |
| 294 |
1.1% |
95% |
| 295 |
1.1% |
94% |
| 296 |
1.0% |
93% |
| 297 |
1.1% |
92% |
| 298 |
1.4% |
91% |
| 299 |
2% |
89% |
| 300 |
1.4% |
87% |
| 301 |
2% |
86% |
| 302 |
2% |
84% |
| 303 |
2% |
83% |
| 304 |
3% |
80% |
| 305 |
4% |
77% |
| 306 |
3% |
74% |
| 307 |
3% |
71% |
| 308 |
4% |
68% |
| 309 |
3% |
64% |
| 310 |
3% |
61% |
| 311 |
3% |
58% |
| 312 |
2% |
55% |
| 313 |
2% |
53% |
| 314 |
2% |
51% |
| 315 |
3% |
49% |
| 316 |
3% |
47% |
| 317 |
5% |
44% |
| 318 |
2% |
38% |
| 319 |
2% |
36% |
| 320 |
0.6% |
34% |
| 321 |
0.7% |
33% |
| 322 |
0.9% |
33% |
| 323 |
2% |
32% |
| 324 |
2% |
30% |
| 325 |
2% |
28% |
| 326 |
2% |
25% |
| 327 |
3% |
24% |
| 328 |
2% |
21% |
| 329 |
0.5% |
19% |
| 330 |
0.5% |
19% |
| 331 |
0.8% |
18% |
| 332 |
0.6% |
17% |
| 333 |
0.8% |
17% |
| 334 |
1.0% |
16% |
| 335 |
2% |
15% |
| 336 |
2% |
13% |
| 337 |
1.1% |
11% |
| 338 |
0.6% |
10% |
| 339 |
0.5% |
10% |
| 340 |
0.5% |
9% |
| 341 |
0.3% |
9% |
| 342 |
0.2% |
8% |
| 343 |
0.4% |
8% |
| 344 |
1.4% |
8% |
| 345 |
1.1% |
6% |
| 346 |
0.9% |
5% |
| 347 |
0.7% |
4% |
| 348 |
0.6% |
4% |
| 349 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 350 |
0.5% |
3% |
| 351 |
0.5% |
2% |
| 352 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 353 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
| 354 |
0% |
1.2% |
| 355 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
| 356 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
| 357 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 358 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 359 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 360 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 361 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 362 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| 363 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 364 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 365 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 366 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
| 367 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 368 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 369 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 264 |
0% |
100% |
| 265 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 266 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 267 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 268 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 269 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 270 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 271 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 272 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
| 273 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 274 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 275 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 276 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 277 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 278 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 279 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
| 280 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
| 281 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
| 282 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
| 283 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 284 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 285 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 286 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 287 |
0.5% |
97% |
| 288 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 289 |
0.5% |
97% |
| 290 |
0.8% |
96% |
| 291 |
1.1% |
95% |
| 292 |
1.0% |
94% |
| 293 |
0.9% |
93% |
| 294 |
1.3% |
92% |
| 295 |
2% |
91% |
| 296 |
2% |
89% |
| 297 |
1.2% |
88% |
| 298 |
2% |
86% |
| 299 |
2% |
85% |
| 300 |
3% |
83% |
| 301 |
2% |
80% |
| 302 |
3% |
78% |
| 303 |
3% |
75% |
| 304 |
3% |
72% |
| 305 |
3% |
69% |
| 306 |
3% |
65% |
| 307 |
4% |
63% |
| 308 |
3% |
59% |
| 309 |
3% |
56% |
| 310 |
2% |
53% |
| 311 |
2% |
51% |
| 312 |
3% |
49% |
| 313 |
2% |
46% |
| 314 |
3% |
44% |
| 315 |
2% |
41% |
| 316 |
3% |
39% |
| 317 |
1.3% |
36% |
| 318 |
2% |
35% |
| 319 |
1.1% |
33% |
| 320 |
2% |
32% |
| 321 |
2% |
30% |
| 322 |
2% |
28% |
| 323 |
2% |
26% |
| 324 |
2% |
24% |
| 325 |
2% |
22% |
| 326 |
0.7% |
20% |
| 327 |
1.3% |
20% |
| 328 |
0.6% |
18% |
| 329 |
0.7% |
18% |
| 330 |
0.8% |
17% |
| 331 |
0.9% |
16% |
| 332 |
1.2% |
15% |
| 333 |
1.1% |
14% |
| 334 |
1.3% |
13% |
| 335 |
1.3% |
12% |
| 336 |
1.0% |
10% |
| 337 |
0.5% |
9% |
| 338 |
0.4% |
9% |
| 339 |
0.6% |
8% |
| 340 |
0.6% |
8% |
| 341 |
0.8% |
7% |
| 342 |
0.7% |
6% |
| 343 |
1.0% |
6% |
| 344 |
0.6% |
5% |
| 345 |
0.7% |
4% |
| 346 |
0.7% |
3% |
| 347 |
0.5% |
3% |
| 348 |
0.4% |
2% |
| 349 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 350 |
0.2% |
1.5% |
| 351 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
| 352 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
| 353 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
| 354 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 355 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 356 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 357 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 358 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 359 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 360 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| 361 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| 362 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 363 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 364 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 365 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 366 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 367 |
0% |
0% |
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 263 |
0% |
100% |
| 264 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 265 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
| 266 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 267 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 268 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 269 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 270 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 271 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 272 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 273 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 274 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
| 275 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
| 276 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
| 277 |
0% |
98.9% |
| 278 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
| 279 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
| 280 |
0.5% |
98% |
| 281 |
0.5% |
98% |
| 282 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 283 |
0.6% |
97% |
| 284 |
0.7% |
96% |
| 285 |
0.9% |
96% |
| 286 |
1.1% |
95% |
| 287 |
1.4% |
94% |
| 288 |
0.4% |
92% |
| 289 |
0.2% |
92% |
| 290 |
0.3% |
92% |
| 291 |
0.5% |
91% |
| 292 |
0.5% |
91% |
| 293 |
0.6% |
90% |
| 294 |
1.1% |
90% |
| 295 |
2% |
89% |
| 296 |
2% |
87% |
| 297 |
1.0% |
85% |
| 298 |
0.8% |
84% |
| 299 |
0.6% |
83% |
| 300 |
0.8% |
83% |
| 301 |
0.5% |
82% |
| 302 |
0.5% |
81% |
| 303 |
2% |
81% |
| 304 |
3% |
79% |
| 305 |
2% |
76% |
| 306 |
2% |
75% |
| 307 |
2% |
72% |
| 308 |
2% |
70% |
| 309 |
0.9% |
68% |
| 310 |
0.7% |
67% |
| 311 |
0.6% |
67% |
| 312 |
2% |
66% |
| 313 |
2% |
64% |
| 314 |
5% |
62% |
| 315 |
3% |
56% |
| 316 |
3% |
53% |
| 317 |
2% |
51% |
| 318 |
2% |
49% |
| 319 |
2% |
47% |
| 320 |
3% |
45% |
| 321 |
3% |
42% |
| 322 |
3% |
39% |
| 323 |
4% |
36% |
| 324 |
3% |
32% |
| 325 |
3% |
29% |
| 326 |
4% |
26% |
| 327 |
3% |
23% |
| 328 |
2% |
20% |
| 329 |
2% |
17% |
| 330 |
2% |
16% |
| 331 |
1.4% |
14% |
| 332 |
2% |
13% |
| 333 |
1.4% |
11% |
| 334 |
1.1% |
9% |
| 335 |
1.0% |
8% |
| 336 |
1.1% |
7% |
| 337 |
1.1% |
6% |
| 338 |
0.8% |
5% |
| 339 |
0.6% |
4% |
| 340 |
0.6% |
4% |
| 341 |
0.5% |
3% |
| 342 |
0.2% |
3% |
| 343 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 344 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 345 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 346 |
0.1% |
2% |
| 347 |
0.2% |
1.5% |
| 348 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
| 349 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
| 350 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 351 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 352 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 353 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 354 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 355 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| 356 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 357 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 358 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 359 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 360 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 361 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 362 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 363 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 364 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 365 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 229 |
0% |
100% |
| 230 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 231 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 232 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 233 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 234 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 235 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 236 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 237 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 238 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 239 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 240 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 241 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 242 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 243 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 244 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
| 245 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
| 246 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
| 247 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
| 248 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
| 249 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
| 250 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 251 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 252 |
0.5% |
98% |
| 253 |
0.3% |
97% |
| 254 |
0.6% |
97% |
| 255 |
0.7% |
97% |
| 256 |
0.6% |
96% |
| 257 |
0.7% |
95% |
| 258 |
0.7% |
95% |
| 259 |
1.1% |
94% |
| 260 |
1.4% |
93% |
| 261 |
1.0% |
91% |
| 262 |
1.1% |
90% |
| 263 |
1.3% |
89% |
| 264 |
2% |
88% |
| 265 |
2% |
86% |
| 266 |
1.4% |
85% |
| 267 |
1.4% |
83% |
| 268 |
1.2% |
82% |
| 269 |
2% |
81% |
| 270 |
2% |
79% |
| 271 |
1.0% |
77% |
| 272 |
2% |
76% |
| 273 |
2% |
75% |
| 274 |
1.3% |
73% |
| 275 |
2% |
72% |
| 276 |
2% |
70% |
| 277 |
2% |
67% |
| 278 |
2% |
66% |
| 279 |
1.2% |
64% |
| 280 |
1.1% |
63% |
| 281 |
2% |
62% |
| 282 |
1.0% |
60% |
| 283 |
2% |
59% |
| 284 |
1.2% |
58% |
| 285 |
1.1% |
57% |
| 286 |
1.5% |
55% |
| 287 |
1.1% |
54% |
| 288 |
1.3% |
53% |
| 289 |
1.5% |
52% |
| 290 |
2% |
50% |
| 291 |
2% |
49% |
| 292 |
1.3% |
47% |
| 293 |
2% |
45% |
| 294 |
1.5% |
43% |
| 295 |
1.1% |
42% |
| 296 |
2% |
41% |
| 297 |
2% |
39% |
| 298 |
1.5% |
38% |
| 299 |
1.2% |
36% |
| 300 |
1.4% |
35% |
| 301 |
1.0% |
34% |
| 302 |
1.4% |
33% |
| 303 |
1.5% |
31% |
| 304 |
1.3% |
30% |
| 305 |
2% |
28% |
| 306 |
1.0% |
27% |
| 307 |
0.9% |
26% |
| 308 |
2% |
25% |
| 309 |
1.0% |
24% |
| 310 |
1.2% |
22% |
| 311 |
1.1% |
21% |
| 312 |
0.9% |
20% |
| 313 |
1.1% |
19% |
| 314 |
1.2% |
18% |
| 315 |
1.0% |
17% |
| 316 |
0.9% |
16% |
| 317 |
0.9% |
15% |
| 318 |
0.8% |
14% |
| 319 |
0.7% |
13% |
| 320 |
0.8% |
13% |
| 321 |
0.7% |
12% |
| 322 |
0.5% |
11% |
| 323 |
0.3% |
11% |
| 324 |
0.4% |
10% |
| 325 |
0.4% |
10% |
| 326 |
0.6% |
9% |
| 327 |
0.5% |
9% |
| 328 |
0.5% |
8% |
| 329 |
0.6% |
8% |
| 330 |
0.5% |
7% |
| 331 |
0.5% |
7% |
| 332 |
0.3% |
6% |
| 333 |
0.3% |
6% |
| 334 |
0.7% |
5% |
| 335 |
0.6% |
5% |
| 336 |
0.4% |
4% |
| 337 |
0.4% |
4% |
| 338 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 339 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 340 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 341 |
0.2% |
3% |
| 342 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 343 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 344 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 345 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 346 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 347 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
| 348 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
| 349 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
| 350 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 351 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 352 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 353 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 354 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 355 |
0% |
0.4% |
| 356 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 357 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 358 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 359 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 360 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 361 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 362 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 363 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 364 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 365 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 366 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 367 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 368 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 226 |
0% |
100% |
| 227 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 228 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 229 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 230 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 231 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 232 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 233 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 234 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 235 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 236 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 237 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 238 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 239 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 240 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 241 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 242 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
| 243 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
| 244 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
| 245 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
| 246 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
| 247 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 248 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 249 |
0.4% |
98% |
| 250 |
0.4% |
98% |
| 251 |
0.6% |
97% |
| 252 |
0.6% |
97% |
| 253 |
0.8% |
96% |
| 254 |
0.7% |
95% |
| 255 |
0.7% |
94% |
| 256 |
1.1% |
94% |
| 257 |
1.0% |
93% |
| 258 |
1.2% |
92% |
| 259 |
1.2% |
90% |
| 260 |
1.3% |
89% |
| 261 |
2% |
88% |
| 262 |
2% |
86% |
| 263 |
1.2% |
85% |
| 264 |
1.4% |
84% |
| 265 |
1.3% |
82% |
| 266 |
2% |
81% |
| 267 |
1.5% |
79% |
| 268 |
1.1% |
78% |
| 269 |
2% |
76% |
| 270 |
1.3% |
75% |
| 271 |
2% |
73% |
| 272 |
2% |
72% |
| 273 |
2% |
70% |
| 274 |
1.4% |
68% |
| 275 |
2% |
67% |
| 276 |
0.8% |
65% |
| 277 |
1.4% |
64% |
| 278 |
2% |
62% |
| 279 |
1.2% |
61% |
| 280 |
2% |
60% |
| 281 |
0.7% |
58% |
| 282 |
1.4% |
57% |
| 283 |
1.4% |
56% |
| 284 |
1.1% |
54% |
| 285 |
1.0% |
53% |
| 286 |
2% |
52% |
| 287 |
1.3% |
51% |
| 288 |
1.3% |
49% |
| 289 |
1.3% |
48% |
| 290 |
2% |
47% |
| 291 |
2% |
45% |
| 292 |
1.4% |
43% |
| 293 |
1.5% |
41% |
| 294 |
1.4% |
40% |
| 295 |
1.3% |
38% |
| 296 |
2% |
37% |
| 297 |
2% |
36% |
| 298 |
1.4% |
34% |
| 299 |
0.9% |
33% |
| 300 |
1.4% |
32% |
| 301 |
1.3% |
30% |
| 302 |
1.3% |
29% |
| 303 |
1.2% |
28% |
| 304 |
1.0% |
27% |
| 305 |
1.5% |
26% |
| 306 |
1.4% |
24% |
| 307 |
1.0% |
23% |
| 308 |
1.0% |
22% |
| 309 |
1.0% |
21% |
| 310 |
1.1% |
20% |
| 311 |
1.4% |
19% |
| 312 |
1.2% |
17% |
| 313 |
0.6% |
16% |
| 314 |
0.8% |
15% |
| 315 |
0.9% |
15% |
| 316 |
0.8% |
14% |
| 317 |
0.7% |
13% |
| 318 |
0.7% |
12% |
| 319 |
0.6% |
12% |
| 320 |
0.4% |
11% |
| 321 |
0.5% |
10% |
| 322 |
0.5% |
10% |
| 323 |
0.4% |
9% |
| 324 |
0.4% |
9% |
| 325 |
0.6% |
9% |
| 326 |
0.4% |
8% |
| 327 |
0.7% |
8% |
| 328 |
0.3% |
7% |
| 329 |
0.5% |
7% |
| 330 |
0.5% |
6% |
| 331 |
0.4% |
6% |
| 332 |
0.4% |
5% |
| 333 |
0.7% |
5% |
| 334 |
0.4% |
4% |
| 335 |
0.4% |
4% |
| 336 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 337 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 338 |
0.2% |
3% |
| 339 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 340 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 341 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 342 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 343 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 344 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
| 345 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
| 346 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
| 347 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
| 348 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 349 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 350 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 351 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 352 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 353 |
0% |
0.4% |
| 354 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| 355 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 356 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 357 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 358 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 359 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 360 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 361 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 362 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 363 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 364 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 365 |
0% |
0% |
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 254 |
0% |
100% |
| 255 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 256 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 257 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 258 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 259 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 260 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 261 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 262 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 263 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 264 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 265 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
| 266 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 267 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
| 268 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
| 269 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
| 270 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
| 271 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
| 272 |
0.2% |
98.5% |
| 273 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 274 |
0.4% |
98% |
| 275 |
0.4% |
98% |
| 276 |
0.5% |
97% |
| 277 |
1.0% |
97% |
| 278 |
0.6% |
96% |
| 279 |
0.7% |
95% |
| 280 |
1.0% |
94% |
| 281 |
0.7% |
94% |
| 282 |
0.7% |
93% |
| 283 |
0.5% |
92% |
| 284 |
0.5% |
92% |
| 285 |
0.7% |
91% |
| 286 |
0.5% |
90% |
| 287 |
0.7% |
90% |
| 288 |
0.8% |
89% |
| 289 |
2% |
88% |
| 290 |
1.2% |
87% |
| 291 |
1.0% |
85% |
| 292 |
1.2% |
84% |
| 293 |
0.7% |
83% |
| 294 |
1.3% |
82% |
| 295 |
1.4% |
81% |
| 296 |
1.0% |
80% |
| 297 |
0.9% |
79% |
| 298 |
0.8% |
78% |
| 299 |
0.9% |
77% |
| 300 |
1.5% |
76% |
| 301 |
2% |
75% |
| 302 |
2% |
72% |
| 303 |
3% |
70% |
| 304 |
2% |
68% |
| 305 |
2% |
65% |
| 306 |
2% |
64% |
| 307 |
2% |
62% |
| 308 |
1.5% |
60% |
| 309 |
3% |
58% |
| 310 |
1.3% |
55% |
| 311 |
3% |
54% |
| 312 |
1.3% |
51% |
| 313 |
3% |
50% |
| 314 |
1.3% |
47% |
| 315 |
4% |
46% |
| 316 |
4% |
42% |
| 317 |
4% |
39% |
| 318 |
4% |
35% |
| 319 |
3% |
31% |
| 320 |
5% |
27% |
| 321 |
3% |
23% |
| 322 |
3% |
20% |
| 323 |
2% |
17% |
| 324 |
1.4% |
15% |
| 325 |
2% |
14% |
| 326 |
1.3% |
12% |
| 327 |
1.4% |
11% |
| 328 |
1.2% |
9% |
| 329 |
2% |
8% |
| 330 |
1.3% |
6% |
| 331 |
0.8% |
5% |
| 332 |
0.5% |
4% |
| 333 |
0.4% |
4% |
| 334 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 335 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 336 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 337 |
0.4% |
2% |
| 338 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 339 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 340 |
0.1% |
1.5% |
| 341 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
| 342 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
| 343 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
| 344 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 345 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 346 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 347 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 348 |
0% |
0.4% |
| 349 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 350 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| 351 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| 352 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 353 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 354 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 355 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 356 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 357 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 358 |
0% |
0% |
Conservative Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 252 |
0% |
100% |
| 253 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 254 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 255 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 256 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 257 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
| 258 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
| 259 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 260 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 261 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 262 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 263 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
| 264 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 265 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
| 266 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
| 267 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
| 268 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
| 269 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
| 270 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 271 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 272 |
0.3% |
98% |
| 273 |
0.4% |
98% |
| 274 |
0.4% |
97% |
| 275 |
0.5% |
97% |
| 276 |
1.2% |
96% |
| 277 |
1.3% |
95% |
| 278 |
0.7% |
94% |
| 279 |
0.6% |
93% |
| 280 |
0.4% |
92% |
| 281 |
0.6% |
92% |
| 282 |
0.7% |
91% |
| 283 |
0.7% |
91% |
| 284 |
0.8% |
90% |
| 285 |
0.7% |
89% |
| 286 |
0.8% |
88% |
| 287 |
0.8% |
88% |
| 288 |
1.3% |
87% |
| 289 |
1.1% |
85% |
| 290 |
1.1% |
84% |
| 291 |
1.4% |
83% |
| 292 |
1.3% |
82% |
| 293 |
1.1% |
81% |
| 294 |
1.4% |
79% |
| 295 |
0.7% |
78% |
| 296 |
1.0% |
77% |
| 297 |
1.4% |
76% |
| 298 |
2% |
75% |
| 299 |
2% |
73% |
| 300 |
2% |
71% |
| 301 |
2% |
69% |
| 302 |
2% |
67% |
| 303 |
2% |
65% |
| 304 |
2% |
63% |
| 305 |
3% |
61% |
| 306 |
2% |
59% |
| 307 |
1.3% |
56% |
| 308 |
3% |
55% |
| 309 |
1.2% |
52% |
| 310 |
3% |
51% |
| 311 |
2% |
48% |
| 312 |
3% |
46% |
| 313 |
4% |
44% |
| 314 |
3% |
40% |
| 315 |
4% |
37% |
| 316 |
4% |
33% |
| 317 |
5% |
28% |
| 318 |
2% |
23% |
| 319 |
3% |
21% |
| 320 |
3% |
18% |
| 321 |
2% |
15% |
| 322 |
1.2% |
13% |
| 323 |
1.0% |
12% |
| 324 |
1.3% |
11% |
| 325 |
2% |
9% |
| 326 |
1.3% |
8% |
| 327 |
1.2% |
6% |
| 328 |
0.6% |
5% |
| 329 |
0.6% |
4% |
| 330 |
0.4% |
4% |
| 331 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 332 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 333 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 334 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 335 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 336 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 337 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 338 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
| 339 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
| 340 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 341 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
| 342 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 343 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 344 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 345 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 346 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 347 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 348 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 349 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 350 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 351 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 352 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 353 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 354 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 355 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 224 |
0% |
100% |
| 225 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 226 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 227 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 228 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 229 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 230 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 231 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 232 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 233 |
0% |
99.7% |
| 234 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 235 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 236 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 237 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 238 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 239 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
| 240 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
| 241 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
| 242 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
| 243 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 244 |
0.1% |
98% |
| 245 |
0.1% |
98% |
| 246 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 247 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 248 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 249 |
0.7% |
97% |
| 250 |
1.0% |
97% |
| 251 |
0.5% |
96% |
| 252 |
0.7% |
95% |
| 253 |
1.0% |
94% |
| 254 |
1.4% |
93% |
| 255 |
1.0% |
92% |
| 256 |
1.4% |
91% |
| 257 |
2% |
90% |
| 258 |
2% |
87% |
| 259 |
1.0% |
86% |
| 260 |
2% |
85% |
| 261 |
2% |
83% |
| 262 |
1.3% |
81% |
| 263 |
2% |
80% |
| 264 |
1.5% |
78% |
| 265 |
1.0% |
76% |
| 266 |
2% |
75% |
| 267 |
2% |
73% |
| 268 |
2% |
72% |
| 269 |
2% |
69% |
| 270 |
2% |
67% |
| 271 |
1.3% |
65% |
| 272 |
2% |
64% |
| 273 |
1.3% |
62% |
| 274 |
1.5% |
61% |
| 275 |
2% |
60% |
| 276 |
1.4% |
58% |
| 277 |
2% |
56% |
| 278 |
0.9% |
54% |
| 279 |
1.4% |
53% |
| 280 |
1.1% |
52% |
| 281 |
2% |
51% |
| 282 |
2% |
49% |
| 283 |
1.0% |
48% |
| 284 |
2% |
47% |
| 285 |
2% |
45% |
| 286 |
2% |
43% |
| 287 |
2% |
41% |
| 288 |
2% |
39% |
| 289 |
2% |
37% |
| 290 |
0.8% |
35% |
| 291 |
1.0% |
34% |
| 292 |
1.3% |
33% |
| 293 |
2% |
32% |
| 294 |
2% |
30% |
| 295 |
1.3% |
28% |
| 296 |
2% |
27% |
| 297 |
1.0% |
25% |
| 298 |
1.2% |
24% |
| 299 |
1.2% |
23% |
| 300 |
1.2% |
22% |
| 301 |
1.3% |
21% |
| 302 |
1.0% |
19% |
| 303 |
1.5% |
18% |
| 304 |
0.8% |
17% |
| 305 |
0.8% |
16% |
| 306 |
0.5% |
15% |
| 307 |
1.1% |
15% |
| 308 |
0.9% |
14% |
| 309 |
0.7% |
13% |
| 310 |
0.7% |
12% |
| 311 |
0.5% |
11% |
| 312 |
0.7% |
11% |
| 313 |
0.5% |
10% |
| 314 |
0.7% |
10% |
| 315 |
0.5% |
9% |
| 316 |
0.4% |
9% |
| 317 |
0.5% |
8% |
| 318 |
0.6% |
8% |
| 319 |
0.3% |
7% |
| 320 |
1.0% |
7% |
| 321 |
0.7% |
6% |
| 322 |
0.4% |
5% |
| 323 |
0.3% |
5% |
| 324 |
0.4% |
4% |
| 325 |
0.3% |
4% |
| 326 |
0.4% |
4% |
| 327 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 328 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 329 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 330 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 331 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 332 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 333 |
0.2% |
1.5% |
| 334 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
| 335 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
| 336 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 337 |
0% |
0.7% |
| 338 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 339 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 340 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 341 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 342 |
0% |
0.4% |
| 343 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 344 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 345 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 346 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
| 347 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 348 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 349 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 350 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 351 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 352 |
0% |
0% |
Labour Party
| Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
| 220 |
0% |
100% |
| 221 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 222 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 223 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 224 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 225 |
0% |
99.9% |
| 226 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 227 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 228 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 229 |
0% |
99.8% |
| 230 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 231 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
| 232 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
| 233 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
| 234 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
| 235 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
| 236 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
| 237 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
| 238 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
| 239 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
| 240 |
0.2% |
98.5% |
| 241 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 242 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 243 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 244 |
0.2% |
98% |
| 245 |
0.3% |
97% |
| 246 |
0.5% |
97% |
| 247 |
0.6% |
97% |
| 248 |
0.5% |
96% |
| 249 |
1.1% |
96% |
| 250 |
1.0% |
94% |
| 251 |
1.0% |
93% |
| 252 |
1.3% |
92% |
| 253 |
2% |
91% |
| 254 |
1.3% |
89% |
| 255 |
2% |
88% |
| 256 |
1.5% |
87% |
| 257 |
2% |
85% |
| 258 |
1.1% |
83% |
| 259 |
1.5% |
82% |
| 260 |
2% |
80% |
| 261 |
2% |
78% |
| 262 |
2% |
76% |
| 263 |
2% |
75% |
| 264 |
2% |
73% |
| 265 |
2% |
72% |
| 266 |
1.0% |
70% |
| 267 |
2% |
69% |
| 268 |
2% |
67% |
| 269 |
2% |
65% |
| 270 |
2% |
63% |
| 271 |
2% |
61% |
| 272 |
2% |
60% |
| 273 |
1.3% |
58% |
| 274 |
2% |
57% |
| 275 |
1.0% |
55% |
| 276 |
2% |
54% |
| 277 |
2% |
52% |
| 278 |
0.8% |
51% |
| 279 |
1.2% |
50% |
| 280 |
1.2% |
49% |
| 281 |
2% |
47% |
| 282 |
2% |
46% |
| 283 |
2% |
44% |
| 284 |
2% |
42% |
| 285 |
2% |
40% |
| 286 |
2% |
38% |
| 287 |
2% |
36% |
| 288 |
1.2% |
35% |
| 289 |
1.1% |
33% |
| 290 |
1.3% |
32% |
| 291 |
2% |
31% |
| 292 |
2% |
29% |
| 293 |
2% |
28% |
| 294 |
1.0% |
26% |
| 295 |
1.2% |
25% |
| 296 |
1.4% |
24% |
| 297 |
1.4% |
22% |
| 298 |
0.8% |
21% |
| 299 |
1.1% |
20% |
| 300 |
1.5% |
19% |
| 301 |
0.7% |
17% |
| 302 |
1.1% |
17% |
| 303 |
0.8% |
16% |
| 304 |
1.0% |
15% |
| 305 |
0.7% |
14% |
| 306 |
0.8% |
13% |
| 307 |
0.8% |
13% |
| 308 |
0.5% |
12% |
| 309 |
0.7% |
11% |
| 310 |
0.5% |
10% |
| 311 |
0.5% |
10% |
| 312 |
0.7% |
9% |
| 313 |
0.5% |
9% |
| 314 |
0.7% |
8% |
| 315 |
0.3% |
8% |
| 316 |
0.5% |
7% |
| 317 |
0.7% |
7% |
| 318 |
0.4% |
6% |
| 319 |
0.8% |
6% |
| 320 |
0.4% |
5% |
| 321 |
0.5% |
5% |
| 322 |
0.3% |
4% |
| 323 |
0.4% |
4% |
| 324 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 325 |
0.4% |
3% |
| 326 |
0.3% |
3% |
| 327 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 328 |
0.3% |
2% |
| 329 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 330 |
0.2% |
2% |
| 331 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
| 332 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
| 333 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
| 334 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
| 335 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
| 336 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
| 337 |
0% |
0.5% |
| 338 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 339 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 340 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 341 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 342 |
0% |
0.3% |
| 343 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 344 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 345 |
0% |
0.2% |
| 346 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 347 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 348 |
0% |
0.1% |
| 349 |
0% |
0% |
Opinion Poll
- Pollster: Survation
- Media: Mail on Sunday
- Fieldwork period: 3 June 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 765
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.31%