Opinion Poll by Symmetron for 2Dots, 25 September–5 October 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0.0% | 28.8% | 26.6–31.3% | 25.9–32.0% | 25.3–32.6% | 24.3–33.8% |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 25.0% | 22.8–27.4% | 22.2–28.0% | 21.7–28.6% | 20.7–29.8% |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) | 0.0% | 14.2% | 12.5–16.1% | 12.0–16.7% | 11.6–17.2% | 10.8–18.2% |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) | 0.0% | 10.8% | 9.4–12.6% | 8.9–13.1% | 8.6–13.6% | 7.9–14.5% |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) | 0.0% | 4.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.2–6.0% | 3.0–6.3% | 2.6–6.9% |
| Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 3.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.6–5.2% | 2.4–5.5% | 2.1–6.1% |
| Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) | 0.0% | 3.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.3–4.8% | 2.2–5.1% | 1.8–5.7% |
| Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 3.2% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.2–4.6% | 2.0–4.9% | 1.7–5.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 99.3% | 99.3% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 28% | 100% | |
| 2 | 72% | 72% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.7% | 99.7% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.3% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 99.3% | 99.3% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Symmetron
- Commissioner(s): 2Dots
- Fieldwork period: 25 September–5 October 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 600
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.10%