Opinion Poll by RAI Consultants for Alpha TV, 21 October–1 November 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0.0% | 27.9% | 26.1–29.8% | 25.6–30.3% | 25.2–30.7% | 24.4–31.7% |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 25.8% | 24.1–27.6% | 23.6–28.2% | 23.2–28.6% | 22.4–29.5% |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) | 0.0% | 14.5% | 13.2–16.1% | 12.8–16.5% | 12.5–16.9% | 11.9–17.6% |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) | 0.0% | 11.4% | 10.2–12.7% | 9.8–13.1% | 9.5–13.5% | 9.0–14.2% |
| Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 5.7% | 4.8–6.7% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.0–7.8% |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) | 0.0% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| Φειδίας Παναγιώτου (*) | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
| Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.7% |
| Κόμμα για τα Ζώα Κύπρου (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Φειδίας Παναγιώτου (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Κόμμα για τα Ζώα Κύπρου (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 99.9% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 97% | 97% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Φειδίας Παναγιώτου (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φειδίας Παναγιώτου (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Κόμμα για τα Ζώα Κύπρου (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κόμμα για τα Ζώα Κύπρου (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) – Κόμμα για τα Ζώα Κύπρου (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 99.9% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) – Κόμμα για τα Ζώα Κύπρου (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 97% | 97% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: RAI Consultants
- Commissioner(s): Alpha TV
- Fieldwork period: 21 October–1 November 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1004
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.15%