Opinion Poll by IMR/UNic for Reporter, 5–11 March 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0.0% | 24.1% | 22.2–26.1% | 21.6–26.7% | 21.2–27.2% | 20.3–28.2% |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 21.5% | 19.7–23.5% | 19.2–24.0% | 18.8–24.5% | 18.0–25.5% |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) | 0.0% | 16.5% | 14.9–18.3% | 14.4–18.8% | 14.0–19.2% | 13.3–20.1% |
| Οδυσσέας Μιχαηλίδης (*) | 0.0% | 13.9% | 12.5–15.6% | 12.0–16.1% | 11.7–16.5% | 11.0–17.4% |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) | 0.0% | 8.9% | 7.7–10.3% | 7.3–10.7% | 7.1–11.1% | 6.5–11.8% |
| Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 3.8% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.9–5.1% | 2.7–5.4% | 2.3–5.9% |
| Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 3.8% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.9–5.1% | 2.7–5.4% | 2.3–5.9% |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.6–3.9% | 1.4–4.3% |
| Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.7–2.3% | 0.5–2.7% |
| Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.7–2.3% | 0.5–2.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Οδυσσέας Μιχαηλίδης (*) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 19% | 100% | |
| 2 | 81% | 81% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 82% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 18% | 18% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Οδυσσέας Μιχαηλίδης (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Οδυσσέας Μιχαηλίδης (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.7% | 99.7% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.4% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 19% | 100% | |
| 2 | 81% | 81% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: IMR/UNic
- Commissioner(s): Reporter
- Fieldwork period: 5–11 March 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 790
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.55%