Opinion Poll by YouGov for B.T., 17–20 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 25.9% | 30.8% | 29.2–32.5% | 28.7–33.0% | 28.3–33.4% | 27.5–34.2% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6.6% | 17.0% | 15.7–18.4% | 15.3–18.8% | 15.0–19.2% | 14.4–19.9% |
| Venstre | 23.4% | 9.4% | 8.4–10.6% | 8.2–10.9% | 7.9–11.2% | 7.5–11.7% |
| Nye Borgerlige | 2.4% | 8.4% | 7.5–9.5% | 7.2–9.8% | 7.0–10.1% | 6.5–10.6% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% | 5.9–8.8% | 5.6–9.4% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.8% | 5.7–8.1% | 5.5–8.3% | 5.1–8.8% |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% | 5.4–8.1% | 5.0–8.6% |
| Moderaterne | N/A | 4.5% | 3.8–5.3% | 3.6–5.5% | 3.5–5.8% | 3.2–6.2% |
| Radikale Venstre | 8.6% | 4.4% | 3.7–5.2% | 3.5–5.5% | 3.4–5.7% | 3.1–6.1% |
| Liberal Alliance | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.2–3.3% |
| Kristendemokraterne | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.7–1.9% | 0.5–2.1% |
| Alternativet | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 48 | 55 | 53–60 | 53–61 | 51–61 | 48–62 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 12 | 31 | 29–34 | 27–34 | 27–34 | 26–35 |
| Venstre | 43 | 17 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 14–21 |
| Nye Borgerlige | 4 | 16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 14 | 13 | 12–14 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 13 | 12 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 16 | 12 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 |
| Moderaterne | N/A | 8 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–11 |
| Radikale Venstre | 16 | 8 | 7–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 5–11 |
| Liberal Alliance | 4 | 4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| Alternativet | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |