Opinion Poll by YouGov for B.T., 4–7 March 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 25.9% | 30.5% | 28.8–32.2% | 28.4–32.7% | 28.0–33.1% | 27.2–33.9% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6.6% | 16.6% | 15.3–18.1% | 15.0–18.5% | 14.7–18.8% | 14.1–19.5% |
| Nye Borgerlige | 2.4% | 9.1% | 8.2–10.3% | 7.9–10.6% | 7.6–10.9% | 7.2–11.4% |
| Venstre | 23.4% | 8.7% | 7.8–9.8% | 7.5–10.2% | 7.3–10.4% | 6.8–11.0% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0–9.0% | 6.8–9.3% | 6.5–9.6% | 6.1–10.1% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3–8.1% | 6.0–8.4% | 5.8–8.7% | 5.4–9.2% |
| Radikale Venstre | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.8–6.4% | 4.6–6.7% | 4.4–6.9% | 4.0–7.4% |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 8.7% | 5.0% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.3% | 3.6–6.8% |
| Moderaterne | N/A | 4.8% | 4.1–5.7% | 3.9–5.9% | 3.7–6.1% | 3.4–6.6% |
| Liberal Alliance | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.5–3.7% |
| Kristendemokraterne | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.3% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.4–1.8% |
| Alternativet | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% |
| Veganerpartiet | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% |
| Frie Grønne | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 48 | 55 | 52–61 | 52–61 | 52–61 | 48–62 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 12 | 28 | 23–32 | 23–33 | 23–35 | 23–36 |
| Nye Borgerlige | 4 | 16 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 13–20 | 12–21 |
| Venstre | 43 | 16 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 12–20 | 12–20 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 13 | 15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–19 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 14 | 13 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 10–16 |
| Radikale Venstre | 16 | 10 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 16 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–12 |
| Moderaterne | N/A | 9 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 6–12 |
| Liberal Alliance | 4 | 5 | 4–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 |
| Alternativet | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Veganerpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Frie Grønne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |