Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 11–18 May 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 25.9% | 25.5% | 24.3–26.8% | 23.9–27.2% | 23.6–27.5% | 23.0–28.1% |
| Venstre | 23.4% | 15.9% | 14.9–17.0% | 14.6–17.3% | 14.4–17.6% | 13.9–18.1% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6.6% | 14.2% | 13.2–15.3% | 13.0–15.5% | 12.7–15.8% | 12.3–16.3% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0–8.5% | 6.8–8.8% | 6.6–9.0% | 6.3–9.4% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2–7.7% | 6.0–7.9% | 5.9–8.1% | 5.5–8.5% |
| Nye Borgerlige | 2.4% | 6.8% | 6.1–7.6% | 5.9–7.8% | 5.8–8.0% | 5.4–8.4% |
| Radikale Venstre | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.8–7.3% | 5.6–7.5% | 5.5–7.7% | 5.2–8.0% |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 8.7% | 5.2% | 4.6–5.9% | 4.5–6.1% | 4.3–6.3% | 4.1–6.6% |
| Liberal Alliance | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.3–5.1% | 3.1–5.4% |
| Moderaterne | N/A | 2.4% | 2.0–2.9% | 1.9–3.0% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% |
| Alternativet | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2–2.0% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.1–2.2% | 0.9–2.4% |
| Kristendemokraterne | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7–1.3% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% |
| Frie Grønne | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.4–1.5% |
| Veganerpartiet | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 48 | 47 | 45–48 | 43–50 | 43–50 | 43–50 |
| Venstre | 43 | 28 | 28–31 | 28–31 | 27–31 | 27–33 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 12 | 25 | 25–27 | 24–27 | 24–28 | 23–29 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 14 | 13 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 13 | 13 | 12–13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 11–15 |
| Nye Borgerlige | 4 | 13 | 13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–15 |
| Radikale Venstre | 16 | 10 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 16 | 10 | 10–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 8–12 |
| Liberal Alliance | 4 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–10 |
| Moderaterne | N/A | 5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| Alternativet | 5 | 4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Frie Grønne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Veganerpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |