Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2.7% | 1.9–4.3% | 1.7–4.5% | 1.6–4.7% | 1.4–5.1% |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 4.4% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.7–5.2% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 4.7% | 4.3–5.1% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 3.9–5.5% |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
6.0% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.2% | 4.6–7.7% |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
7.3% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.8–9.1% | 5.4–9.6% |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | 5.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 38% | 98% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 30% | 59% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 25% | 29% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
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| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 69% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 31% | 31% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |