Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0.2% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.0–0.9% |
| 24 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.3% |
| 23–24 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
0.5% | 0.4–0.7% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% |
| 17–20 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0.1% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% |
| 17 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 13–15 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
0.7% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.4–1.3% |
| 10–13 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0.2% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
| 10 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
0.6% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.3–1.0% | 0.3–1.2% |
| 3 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0.4% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.1–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
0.4% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–1.0% |
| 26 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 19 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 13–15 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
0.2% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.0–0.7% |
| 6 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 August–1 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
0.7% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.4% |
| 22–25 August 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0.4% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.1–1.0% |
| 25 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% |
| 8–9 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0.9% | 0.7–1.3% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.5–1.8% |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 1.2% | 0.9–1.6% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.1% |
| 25–26 July 2025 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 4–5 July 2025 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0.8% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.4–1.5% |
| 21 June 2025 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 13–16 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 1.3% | 1.0–1.7% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–2.0% |
| 6–9 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0.7% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.4% |
| 6–7 June 2025 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 1.7% | 1.4–2.1% | 1.3–2.2% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% |
| 30–31 May 2025 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
1.5% | 1.2–2.0% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% |
| 9–12 May 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 1.2% | 1.0–1.6% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% |
| 25–28 April 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0.8% | 0.6–1.2% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% |
| 25–26 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 11–14 April 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 1.3% | 1.0–1.7% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% |
| 28–29 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% |
| 21–24 March 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
1.8% | 1.4–2.3% | 1.3–2.5% | 1.2–2.6% | 1.1–2.9% |
| 14–17 March 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 2.1% | 1.8–2.6% | 1.7–2.7% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.4–3.1% |
| 7–8 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.7–2.3% |
| 21–22 February 2025 | Peil.nl | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| 14–17 February 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 2.1% | 1.7–2.5% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.4–3.0% |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
2.2% | 1.8–2.7% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.4–3.3% |
| 24–25 January 2025 | Peil.nl | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| 17–20 January 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 1.9% | 1.6–2.3% | 1.5–2.4% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.3–2.8% |
| 24–28 December 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
1.8% | 1.4–2.3% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.8% |
| 13–14 December 2024 | Peil.nl | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 2.1% | 1.7–2.6% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.5–2.8% | 1.4–3.1% |
| 22–25 November 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2.2% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
| 22–23 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| 9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 2.3% | 1.9–2.8% | 1.8–2.9% | 1.7–3.0% | 1.5–3.3% |
| 8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| 25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2.8% | 2.2–3.3% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.9% |
| 18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 2.7% | 2.3–3.2% | 2.2–3.4% | 2.1–3.5% | 1.9–3.7% |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 4.4% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.7–5.2% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 4.7% | 4.3–5.1% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 3.9–5.5% |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
5.9% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.2% | 4.6–7.7% |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
7.3% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.8–9.1% | 5.4–9.6% |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | 5.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 84% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 0.5–1.5% | 16% | 16% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23–24 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17–20 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13–15 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10–13 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 October 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 3–6 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13–15 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 September 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 29 August–1 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22–25 August 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8–9 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25–26 July 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4–5 July 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 20–23 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 June 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13–16 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–9 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–7 June 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 5–6 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30–31 May 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9–12 May 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25–28 April 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25–26 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11–14 April 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28–29 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21–24 March 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14–17 March 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7–8 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21–22 February 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14–17 February 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24–25 January 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17–20 January 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24–28 December 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13–14 December 2024 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22–25 November 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22–23 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
|||||
| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Nieuw Sociaal Contract (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |