Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 18–21 November 2024

Areas included: Brussels, Wallonia

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Mouvement Réformateur (RE) 0.0% 26.6% 25.0–28.2% 24.5–28.7% 24.1–29.1% 23.4–29.9%
Parti Socialiste (S&D) 0.0% 24.6% 23.0–26.2% 22.6–26.7% 22.2–27.1% 21.5–27.9%
Les Engagés (RE) 0.0% 18.4% 17.1–19.9% 16.7–20.3% 16.3–20.7% 15.7–21.5%
Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 14.6% 13.4–16.0% 13.0–16.4% 12.7–16.7% 12.1–17.4%
Ecolo (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 9.2% 8.2–10.4% 7.9–10.7% 7.7–11.0% 7.3–11.6%
DéFI (*) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–3.8% 2.4–4.0% 2.2–4.2% 2.0–4.6%
Chez Nous (PfE) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.9–3.4% 1.8–3.5% 1.5–3.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Mouvement Réformateur (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Parti Socialiste (S&D) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Les Engagés (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Ecolo (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
DéFI (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chez Nous (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Mouvement Réformateur (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mouvement Réformateur (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 52% 100% Median
3 48% 48%  
4 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Socialiste (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 91% 100% Median
3 9% 9%  
4 0% 0%  

Les Engagés (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Engagés (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 26% 100%  
2 74% 74% Median
3 0% 0%  

Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.5% 100% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Ecolo (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 31% 100% Last Result
1 69% 69% Median
2 0% 0%  

DéFI (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Chez Nous (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chez Nous (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Mouvement Réformateur (RE) – Les Engagés (RE) 0 4 25% 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–5
Parti Socialiste (S&D) 0 2 0% 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Chez Nous (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Mouvement Réformateur (RE) – Les Engagés (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 72% 97% Median
5 25% 25% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 91% 100% Median
3 9% 9%  
4 0% 0%  

Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.5% 100% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Chez Nous (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations