Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 4–11 March 2025

Areas included: Brussels, Wallonia

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Parti Socialiste (S&D) 0.0% 25.4% 23.8–27.0% 23.4–27.5% 23.0–27.9% 22.3–28.7%
Mouvement Réformateur (RE) 0.0% 24.9% 23.3–26.5% 22.9–27.0% 22.5–27.4% 21.8–28.2%
Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 17.8% 16.5–19.3% 16.1–19.7% 15.8–20.1% 15.1–20.8%
Les Engagés (RE) 0.0% 17.2% 15.9–18.7% 15.5–19.1% 15.2–19.5% 14.6–20.2%
Ecolo (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.5% 7.5–9.6% 7.2–9.9% 7.0–10.2% 6.6–10.7%
DéFI (*) 0.0% 3.2% 2.7–4.0% 2.5–4.2% 2.4–4.4% 2.1–4.8%
Chez Nous (PfE) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.9–3.4% 1.7–3.5% 1.5–3.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Parti Socialiste (S&D) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Mouvement Réformateur (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Les Engagés (RE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Ecolo (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
DéFI (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chez Nous (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Parti Socialiste (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Socialiste (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 70% 100% Median
3 30% 30%  
4 0% 0%  

Mouvement Réformateur (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mouvement Réformateur (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 80% 100% Median
3 20% 20%  
4 0% 0%  

Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 37% 100%  
2 63% 63% Median
3 0% 0%  

Les Engagés (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Engagés (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 54% 100% Median
2 46% 46%  
3 0% 0%  

Ecolo (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Last Result, Median
1 40% 40%  
2 0% 0%  

DéFI (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Chez Nous (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chez Nous (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Mouvement Réformateur (RE) – Les Engagés (RE) 0 4 4% 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
Parti Socialiste (S&D) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Chez Nous (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Mouvement Réformateur (RE) – Les Engagés (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 38% 100% Median
4 58% 62%  
5 4% 4% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 70% 100% Median
3 30% 30%  
4 0% 0%  

Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 37% 100%  
2 63% 63% Median
3 0% 0%  

Chez Nous (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations