Opinion Poll by Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB for De Standaard, RTBF and VRT, 3–24 March 2025

Areas included: Brussels, Wallonia

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Mouvement Réformateur (RE) 0.0% 24.1% 23.0–25.2% 22.7–25.5% 22.4–25.8% 21.9–26.4%
Parti Socialiste (S&D) 0.0% 23.7% 22.6–24.9% 22.3–25.2% 22.1–25.5% 21.6–26.0%
Les Engagés (RE) 0.0% 18.7% 17.7–19.7% 17.4–20.0% 17.1–20.3% 16.7–20.8%
Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 17.3% 16.3–18.3% 16.0–18.6% 15.8–18.9% 15.4–19.4%
Ecolo (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 7.7% 7.0–8.5% 6.9–8.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.4–9.2%
DéFI (*) 0.0% 3.0% 2.6–3.5% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0%
Chez Nous (PfE) 0.0% 2.8% 2.4–3.3% 2.3–3.5% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Mouvement Réformateur (RE) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Parti Socialiste (S&D) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Les Engagés (RE) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Ecolo (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
DéFI (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chez Nous (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Mouvement Réformateur (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mouvement Réformateur (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 92% 100% Median
3 8% 8%  
4 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Socialiste (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 92% 100% Median
3 8% 8%  
4 0% 0%  

Les Engagés (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Engagés (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.4% 100%  
2 98.6% 98.6% Median
3 0% 0%  

Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 22% 100%  
2 78% 78% Median
3 0% 0%  

Ecolo (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 7% 7%  
2 0% 0%  

DéFI (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Chez Nous (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chez Nous (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Mouvement Réformateur (RE) – Les Engagés (RE) 0 4 8% 4 4–5 4–5 3–5
Parti Socialiste (S&D) 0 2 0% 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Chez Nous (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Mouvement Réformateur (RE) – Les Engagés (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.9% 100%  
4 91% 99.1% Median
5 8% 8% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 92% 100% Median
3 8% 8%  
4 0% 0%  

Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 22% 100%  
2 78% 78% Median
3 0% 0%  

Chez Nous (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations