Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 27 May–3 June 2025

Areas included: Brussels, Wallonia

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Parti Socialiste (S&D) 0.0% 25.2% 23.6–26.8% 23.2–27.3% 22.8–27.7% 22.1–28.5%
Mouvement Réformateur (RE) 0.0% 23.9% 22.3–25.5% 21.9–25.9% 21.6–26.3% 20.8–27.1%
Les Engagés (RE) 0.0% 17.5% 16.2–18.9% 15.8–19.4% 15.5–19.7% 14.8–20.4%
Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 17.2% 15.8–18.6% 15.5–19.0% 15.2–19.4% 14.5–20.1%
Ecolo (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.8% 7.9–10.0% 7.6–10.3% 7.4–10.5% 6.9–11.1%
Chez Nous (PfE) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.1% 1.8–3.3% 1.7–3.5% 1.5–3.8%
DéFI (*) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–2.9% 1.1–3.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Parti Socialiste (S&D) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Mouvement Réformateur (RE) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Les Engagés (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Ecolo (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Chez Nous (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
DéFI (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Parti Socialiste (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Socialiste (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 71% 100% Median
3 29% 29%  
4 0% 0%  

Mouvement Réformateur (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mouvement Réformateur (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 92% 100% Median
3 8% 8%  
4 0% 0%  

Les Engagés (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Engagés (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 43% 100%  
2 57% 57% Median
3 0% 0%  

Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 54% 100% Median
2 46% 46%  
3 0% 0%  

Ecolo (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100% Last Result
1 61% 61% Median
2 0% 0%  

Chez Nous (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chez Nous (PfE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

DéFI (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Mouvement Réformateur (RE) – Les Engagés (RE) 0 4 2% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Parti Socialiste (S&D) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Chez Nous (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Mouvement Réformateur (RE) – Les Engagés (RE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 38% 100%  
4 60% 62% Median
5 2% 2% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 71% 100% Median
3 29% 29%  
4 0% 0%  

Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 54% 100% Median
2 46% 46%  
3 0% 0%  

Chez Nous (PfE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations