Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 2–9 March 2026

Areas included: Brussels, Wallonia

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Parti Socialiste (S&D) 0.0% 26.8% 25.2–28.4% 24.7–28.9% 24.3–29.3% 23.6–30.1%
Mouvement Réformateur (RE) 0.0% 20.6% 19.2–22.2% 18.8–22.6% 18.4–23.0% 17.8–23.8%
Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 19.0% 17.6–20.5% 17.2–20.9% 16.9–21.3% 16.2–22.0%
Les Engagés (RE) 0.0% 18.5% 17.1–20.0% 16.7–20.4% 16.4–20.8% 15.7–21.5%
Ecolo (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.2% 7.3–9.3% 7.0–9.6% 6.8–9.9% 6.4–10.4%
DéFI (*) 0.0% 2.8% 2.3–3.5% 2.1–3.7% 2.0–3.9% 1.8–4.3%
Chez Nous (PfE) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.9–3.4% 1.7–3.5% 1.5–3.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Parti Socialiste (S&D) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Mouvement Réformateur (RE) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Les Engagés (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Ecolo (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
DéFI (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chez Nous (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Parti Socialiste (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Socialiste (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 59% 100% Median
3 41% 41%  
4 0% 0%  

Mouvement Réformateur (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mouvement Réformateur (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 98% 98% Median
3 0% 0%  

Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 21% 100%  
2 79% 79% Median
3 0% 0%  

Les Engagés (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Engagés (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 34% 100%  
2 66% 66% Median
3 0% 0%  

Ecolo (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 16% 16%  
2 0% 0%  

DéFI (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Chez Nous (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chez Nous (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Mouvement Réformateur (RE) – Les Engagés (RE) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Parti Socialiste (S&D) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Chez Nous (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Mouvement Réformateur (RE) – Les Engagés (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.2% 100%  
3 35% 99.8%  
4 65% 65% Median
5 0% 0% Majority

Parti Socialiste (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 59% 100% Median
3 41% 41%  
4 0% 0%  

Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 21% 100%  
2 79% 79% Median
3 0% 0%  

Chez Nous (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations