Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 1–9 June 2026
Areas included: Brussels, Wallonia
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parti Socialiste (S&D) | 0.0% | 27.8% | 26.2–29.5% | 25.7–29.9% | 25.3–30.4% | 24.5–31.2% |
| Mouvement Réformateur (RE) | 0.0% | 19.5% | 18.1–21.1% | 17.7–21.5% | 17.4–21.9% | 16.7–22.6% |
| Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 18.9% | 17.5–20.4% | 17.1–20.8% | 16.8–21.2% | 16.1–21.9% |
| Les Engagés (RE) | 0.0% | 18.6% | 17.2–20.1% | 16.8–20.6% | 16.5–20.9% | 15.9–21.7% |
| Ecolo (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 8.9% | 7.9–10.0% | 7.6–10.4% | 7.4–10.6% | 7.0–11.2% |
| DéFI (*) | 0.0% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.4–4.0% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.6% |
| Chez Nous (PfE) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.8–3.6% | 1.5–3.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parti Socialiste (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Mouvement Réformateur (RE) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Les Engagés (RE) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Ecolo (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| DéFI (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chez Nous (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Parti Socialiste (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Socialiste (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 45% | 100% | |
| 3 | 55% | 55% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Mouvement Réformateur (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mouvement Réformateur (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 16% | 100% | |
| 2 | 84% | 84% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 33% | 100% | |
| 2 | 67% | 67% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Les Engagés (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Engagés (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 42% | 100% | |
| 2 | 58% | 58% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Ecolo (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 63% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 37% | 37% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
DéFI (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Chez Nous (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chez Nous (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mouvement Réformateur (RE) – Les Engagés (RE) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Parti Socialiste (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Chez Nous (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mouvement Réformateur (RE) – Les Engagés (RE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 50% | 96% | |
| 4 | 46% | 46% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Parti Socialiste (S&D)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 45% | 100% | |
| 3 | 55% | 55% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE/NGL)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 33% | 100% | |
| 2 | 67% | 67% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Chez Nous (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
- Fieldwork period: 1–9 June 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1203
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.88%