Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll, 2–4 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 48.3% 46.3–50.2% 45.8–50.8% 45.3–51.2% 44.4–52.2%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.6% 24.9–28.3% 24.5–28.9% 24.1–29.3% 23.3–30.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 6.2% 5.3–7.2% 5.1–7.5% 4.9–7.8% 4.5–8.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.1% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.8% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–4.9% 2.8–5.1% 2.5–5.6%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.7% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.5–5.5%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.4% 1.4–3.8%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–2.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 178 172–185 171–186 170–188 167–191
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 66–76 65–77 63–78 62–81
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 17 14–19 14–20 13–21 12–22
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 14 12–16 11–17 10–17 10–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 8–12 0–13 0–14 0–15
Ελληνική Λύση 10 10 0–12 0–13 0–14 0–14
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0–8 0–9 0–9 0–10
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0.1% 100%  
165 0.1% 99.9%  
166 0.2% 99.8%  
167 0.4% 99.7%  
168 0.5% 99.3%  
169 1.0% 98.8%  
170 2% 98%  
171 4% 96%  
172 4% 93%  
173 4% 89%  
174 6% 85%  
175 6% 79%  
176 8% 73%  
177 11% 66%  
178 10% 55% Median
179 8% 45%  
180 7% 37%  
181 6% 30%  
182 5% 24%  
183 3% 19%  
184 4% 15%  
185 4% 11%  
186 3% 8%  
187 1.2% 5%  
188 1.4% 4%  
189 0.9% 2%  
190 0.6% 1.3%  
191 0.3% 0.7%  
192 0.2% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0.1% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.8%  
62 0.6% 99.6%  
63 2% 99.0%  
64 2% 97%  
65 3% 96%  
66 4% 92%  
67 7% 88%  
68 8% 81%  
69 10% 73%  
70 8% 62%  
71 13% 54% Median
72 9% 42%  
73 7% 33%  
74 9% 25%  
75 5% 16%  
76 4% 11%  
77 3% 7%  
78 1.3% 3%  
79 0.9% 2%  
80 0.4% 1.2%  
81 0.4% 0.8%  
82 0.3% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 1.1% 99.8%  
13 3% 98.6%  
14 8% 95%  
15 16% 88%  
16 16% 72%  
17 19% 56% Median
18 18% 37%  
19 10% 19%  
20 7% 9%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.7% 1.0% Last Result
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.4% 100%  
10 2% 99.6%  
11 6% 97%  
12 15% 91%  
13 21% 76%  
14 23% 54% Median
15 15% 32% Last Result
16 8% 16%  
17 6% 8%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.5% 0.7%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 7% 93%  
9 15% 87% Last Result
10 25% 72% Median
11 25% 47%  
12 14% 22%  
13 6% 9%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.7% 0.8%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100%  
1 0% 90%  
2 0% 90%  
3 0% 90%  
4 0% 90%  
5 0% 90%  
6 0% 90%  
7 0% 90%  
8 13% 90%  
9 16% 76%  
10 25% 60% Last Result, Median
11 14% 36%  
12 16% 22%  
13 3% 6%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.4% 0.5%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 14%  
2 0% 14%  
3 0% 14%  
4 0% 14%  
5 0% 14%  
6 0% 14%  
7 0% 14%  
8 8% 14%  
9 4% 5%  
10 1.0% 1.2%  
11 0.1% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0% 0.3%  
5 0% 0.3%  
6 0% 0.3%  
7 0% 0.3%  
8 0.2% 0.3%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 195 100% 189–202 187–204 186–206 183–209
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 178 100% 172–185 171–186 170–188 167–191
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 81 0% 75–86 74–87 72–89 69–91
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 0% 66–76 65–77 63–78 62–81

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0.1% 100% Last Result
181 0% 99.9%  
182 0.2% 99.9%  
183 0.2% 99.7%  
184 0.6% 99.5%  
185 0.8% 98.9%  
186 1.1% 98%  
187 2% 97%  
188 2% 95%  
189 5% 92%  
190 5% 88%  
191 6% 83%  
192 8% 77%  
193 10% 70%  
194 5% 60%  
195 11% 55% Median
196 7% 44%  
197 6% 37%  
198 7% 31%  
199 6% 24%  
200 5% 18%  
201 3% 13%  
202 4% 11%  
203 1.4% 7%  
204 2% 6%  
205 1.1% 4%  
206 1.0% 3%  
207 0.5% 2%  
208 0.6% 1.1%  
209 0.2% 0.5%  
210 0.2% 0.3%  
211 0.1% 0.2%  
212 0.1% 0.1%  
213 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0.1% 100%  
165 0.1% 99.9%  
166 0.2% 99.8%  
167 0.4% 99.7%  
168 0.5% 99.3%  
169 1.0% 98.8%  
170 2% 98%  
171 4% 96%  
172 4% 93%  
173 4% 89%  
174 6% 85%  
175 6% 79%  
176 8% 73%  
177 11% 66%  
178 10% 55% Median
179 8% 45%  
180 7% 37%  
181 6% 30%  
182 5% 24%  
183 3% 19%  
184 4% 15%  
185 4% 11%  
186 3% 8%  
187 1.2% 5%  
188 1.4% 4%  
189 0.9% 2%  
190 0.6% 1.3%  
191 0.3% 0.7%  
192 0.2% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0.1% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.7%  
69 0.5% 99.6%  
70 0.3% 99.1%  
71 1.1% 98.8%  
72 1.4% 98%  
73 1.1% 96%  
74 3% 95%  
75 4% 92%  
76 4% 89%  
77 8% 84%  
78 6% 77%  
79 8% 70%  
80 7% 62%  
81 9% 55% Median
82 11% 46%  
83 6% 34%  
84 10% 28%  
85 5% 18%  
86 5% 12%  
87 4% 8%  
88 1.5% 4%  
89 1.1% 3%  
90 0.7% 1.5%  
91 0.3% 0.8%  
92 0.3% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.8%  
62 0.6% 99.6%  
63 2% 99.0%  
64 2% 97%  
65 3% 96%  
66 4% 92%  
67 7% 88%  
68 8% 81%  
69 10% 73%  
70 8% 62%  
71 13% 54% Median
72 9% 42%  
73 7% 33%  
74 9% 25%  
75 5% 16%  
76 4% 11%  
77 3% 7%  
78 1.3% 3%  
79 0.9% 2%  
80 0.4% 1.2%  
81 0.4% 0.8%  
82 0.3% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations