Opinion Poll by MRB for Star, 14–16 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 44.4% 42.4–46.4% 41.9–47.0% 41.4–47.5% 40.4–48.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.7% 24.9–28.5% 24.5–29.0% 24.0–29.5% 23.2–30.4%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.8% 6.9–9.0% 6.6–9.4% 6.3–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.9% 5.0–6.9% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.8% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 168 163–173 161–175 160–177 158–179
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 66–76 65–77 65–78 62–81
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 21 18–24 18–25 17–26 16–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 13–18 13–19 12–20 11–21
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 14 12–16 11–17 11–18 10–19
Ελληνική Λύση 10 10 8–12 0–13 0–14 0–15

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0.1% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.3% 99.8%  
158 0.5% 99.5% Last Result
159 0.8% 99.0%  
160 1.4% 98%  
161 2% 97%  
162 3% 95%  
163 5% 91%  
164 6% 87%  
165 8% 81%  
166 9% 73%  
167 9% 64%  
168 9% 55% Median
169 10% 46%  
170 8% 36%  
171 8% 28%  
172 6% 20%  
173 4% 14%  
174 3% 10%  
175 2% 6%  
176 2% 4%  
177 1.1% 3%  
178 0.6% 1.5%  
179 0.4% 0.8%  
180 0.2% 0.5%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0.1% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 1.1% 99.7%  
63 0.8% 98.6%  
64 0.3% 98%  
65 3% 98%  
66 9% 94%  
67 4% 86%  
68 2% 81%  
69 12% 80%  
70 21% 68% Median
71 4% 47%  
72 4% 43%  
73 14% 39%  
74 12% 26%  
75 2% 13%  
76 2% 11%  
77 5% 9%  
78 2% 4%  
79 0.4% 2%  
80 0.6% 1.4%  
81 0.5% 0.8%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.3% 99.9%  
16 1.1% 99.6%  
17 3% 98%  
18 7% 95%  
19 12% 88%  
20 17% 76%  
21 17% 59% Median
22 16% 41% Last Result
23 12% 25%  
24 7% 14%  
25 4% 7%  
26 2% 3%  
27 0.8% 1.2%  
28 0.3% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.2%  
13 7% 96%  
14 13% 89%  
15 19% 75% Last Result
16 21% 56% Median
17 15% 36%  
18 11% 20%  
19 6% 9%  
20 2% 4%  
21 1.0% 1.4%  
22 0.3% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100% Last Result
10 2% 99.7%  
11 6% 98%  
12 13% 92%  
13 19% 79%  
14 22% 60% Median
15 17% 38%  
16 12% 21%  
17 6% 10%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.9% 1.2%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0% 94%  
6 0% 94%  
7 0% 94%  
8 5% 94%  
9 19% 89%  
10 26% 70% Last Result, Median
11 21% 44%  
12 13% 23%  
13 6% 10%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.7% 1.0%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 189 100% 184–195 182–196 181–198 179–201
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 168 100% 163–173 161–175 160–177 158–179
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 85 0% 80–90 79–92 78–93 75–95
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 0% 66–76 65–77 65–78 62–81

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
176 0.1% 100%  
177 0.1% 99.9%  
178 0.3% 99.8%  
179 0.4% 99.5%  
180 0.9% 99.1% Last Result
181 1.3% 98%  
182 2% 97%  
183 3% 95%  
184 5% 91%  
185 5% 87%  
186 9% 82%  
187 7% 72%  
188 11% 65%  
189 10% 55% Median
190 9% 45%  
191 8% 37%  
192 8% 29%  
193 5% 21%  
194 6% 16%  
195 3% 10%  
196 3% 7%  
197 2% 4%  
198 1.0% 3%  
199 0.7% 2%  
200 0.5% 1.0%  
201 0.2% 0.6%  
202 0.1% 0.3%  
203 0.1% 0.2%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0.1% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.3% 99.8%  
158 0.5% 99.5% Last Result
159 0.8% 99.0%  
160 1.4% 98%  
161 2% 97%  
162 3% 95%  
163 5% 91%  
164 6% 87%  
165 8% 81%  
166 9% 73%  
167 9% 64%  
168 9% 55% Median
169 10% 46%  
170 8% 36%  
171 8% 28%  
172 6% 20%  
173 4% 14%  
174 3% 10%  
175 2% 6%  
176 2% 4%  
177 1.1% 3%  
178 0.6% 1.5%  
179 0.4% 0.8%  
180 0.2% 0.5%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0.1% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.3% 99.7%  
76 0.6% 99.4%  
77 1.1% 98.7%  
78 2% 98%  
79 3% 96%  
80 5% 92%  
81 6% 88%  
82 8% 81%  
83 9% 74%  
84 10% 65% Median
85 10% 55%  
86 11% 46%  
87 10% 35%  
88 7% 26%  
89 6% 18%  
90 4% 12%  
91 3% 8%  
92 2% 5%  
93 1.3% 3%  
94 0.8% 2%  
95 0.5% 1.0% Last Result
96 0.3% 0.5%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 1.1% 99.7%  
63 0.8% 98.6%  
64 0.3% 98%  
65 3% 98%  
66 9% 94%  
67 4% 86%  
68 2% 81%  
69 12% 80%  
70 21% 68% Median
71 4% 47%  
72 4% 43%  
73 14% 39%  
74 12% 26%  
75 2% 13%  
76 2% 11%  
77 5% 9%  
78 2% 4%  
79 0.4% 2%  
80 0.6% 1.4%  
81 0.5% 0.8%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations