Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 17–18 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 44.5% 42.6–46.4% 42.1–47.0% 41.6–47.4% 40.7–48.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.5% 27.7–31.3% 27.3–31.8% 26.8–32.2% 26.0–33.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.9–8.4% 5.7–8.7% 5.3–9.2%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.5% 3.6–7.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.5% 3.8–5.4% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–5.9% 3.1–6.4%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.5% 2.9–4.3% 2.7–4.6% 2.6–4.8% 2.3–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 168 163–174 162–176 160–177 158–180
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 78 74–83 72–85 71–86 69–89
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 19 16–22 16–22 15–23 14–25
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 14 11–16 11–17 10–17 9–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 10–14 10–15 9–16 8–17
Ελληνική Λύση 10 9 0–11 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.2% 99.9%  
158 0.4% 99.7% Last Result
159 0.7% 99.3%  
160 1.3% 98.6%  
161 2% 97%  
162 3% 95%  
163 4% 92%  
164 6% 88%  
165 8% 82%  
166 8% 75%  
167 9% 67%  
168 10% 58% Median
169 10% 48%  
170 8% 38%  
171 7% 30%  
172 6% 22%  
173 5% 16%  
174 3% 11%  
175 2% 8%  
176 2% 5%  
177 1.2% 3%  
178 0.8% 2%  
179 0.5% 1.2%  
180 0.3% 0.7%  
181 0.2% 0.4%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0.1% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.5% 99.8%  
70 0.5% 99.3%  
71 2% 98.7%  
72 2% 97%  
73 3% 95%  
74 5% 91%  
75 8% 86%  
76 9% 78%  
77 8% 69%  
78 14% 61% Median
79 8% 47%  
80 10% 39%  
81 7% 29%  
82 9% 22%  
83 3% 13%  
84 4% 10%  
85 2% 6%  
86 1.3% 3% Last Result
87 0.7% 2%  
88 0.6% 1.2%  
89 0.3% 0.6%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 0.9% 99.8%  
15 3% 98.9%  
16 8% 96%  
17 14% 88%  
18 18% 74%  
19 19% 56% Median
20 16% 38%  
21 11% 22%  
22 6% 11% Last Result
23 3% 5%  
24 1.2% 2%  
25 0.4% 0.6%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.5% 100%  
10 2% 99.4%  
11 8% 97%  
12 16% 89%  
13 21% 73%  
14 22% 52% Median
15 15% 30% Last Result
16 9% 15%  
17 4% 6%  
18 1.5% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.6%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0.5% 99.7%  
9 4% 99.3% Last Result
10 11% 96%  
11 19% 84%  
12 23% 65% Median
13 21% 42%  
14 13% 22%  
15 6% 9%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.7% 0.9%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100%  
1 0% 85%  
2 0% 85%  
3 0% 85%  
4 0% 85%  
5 0% 85%  
6 0% 85%  
7 0% 85%  
8 10% 85%  
9 27% 75% Median
10 25% 48% Last Result
11 14% 24%  
12 6% 9%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.6% 0.7%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 187 100% 182–193 180–195 179–196 177–199
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 168 100% 163–174 162–176 160–177 158–180
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 91 0% 86–96 84–97 83–99 81–101
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 78 0% 74–83 72–85 71–86 69–89

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0% 100%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0.2% 99.8%  
177 0.4% 99.6%  
178 0.8% 99.2%  
179 1.3% 98%  
180 2% 97% Last Result
181 3% 95%  
182 5% 92%  
183 6% 87%  
184 7% 81%  
185 9% 74%  
186 10% 65%  
187 10% 56% Median
188 9% 46%  
189 8% 37%  
190 7% 29%  
191 6% 22%  
192 5% 16%  
193 3% 11%  
194 2% 8%  
195 2% 5%  
196 1.4% 4%  
197 0.9% 2%  
198 0.5% 1.4%  
199 0.4% 0.9%  
200 0.2% 0.5%  
201 0.2% 0.3%  
202 0.1% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.2% 99.9%  
158 0.4% 99.7% Last Result
159 0.7% 99.3%  
160 1.3% 98.6%  
161 2% 97%  
162 3% 95%  
163 4% 92%  
164 6% 88%  
165 8% 82%  
166 8% 75%  
167 9% 67%  
168 10% 58% Median
169 10% 48%  
170 8% 38%  
171 7% 30%  
172 6% 22%  
173 5% 16%  
174 3% 11%  
175 2% 8%  
176 2% 5%  
177 1.2% 3%  
178 0.8% 2%  
179 0.5% 1.2%  
180 0.3% 0.7%  
181 0.2% 0.4%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0.1% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8%  
81 0.4% 99.6%  
82 0.9% 99.1%  
83 2% 98%  
84 2% 97%  
85 4% 95%  
86 6% 91%  
87 6% 85%  
88 8% 79%  
89 11% 71%  
90 9% 60% Median
91 11% 51%  
92 9% 40%  
93 7% 31%  
94 7% 24%  
95 6% 17% Last Result
96 3% 11%  
97 3% 7%  
98 2% 4%  
99 1.0% 3%  
100 0.7% 2%  
101 0.5% 0.9%  
102 0.2% 0.4%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.5% 99.8%  
70 0.5% 99.3%  
71 2% 98.7%  
72 2% 97%  
73 3% 95%  
74 5% 91%  
75 8% 86%  
76 9% 78%  
77 8% 69%  
78 14% 61% Median
79 8% 47%  
80 10% 39%  
81 7% 29%  
82 9% 22%  
83 3% 13%  
84 4% 10%  
85 2% 6%  
86 1.3% 3% Last Result
87 0.7% 2%  
88 0.6% 1.2%  
89 0.3% 0.6%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations