Opinion Poll by Μetron Analysis for Το Βήμα, 18–20 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 45.4% 43.5–47.2% 43.0–47.8% 42.6–48.2% 41.7–49.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.7% 24.1–27.4% 23.7–27.8% 23.3–28.2% 22.6–29.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.5% 6.6–8.6% 6.3–8.9% 6.1–9.1% 5.7–9.6%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.8% 5.0–6.8% 4.8–7.1% 4.6–7.3% 4.3–7.8%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.1% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.2% 4.0–6.5% 3.6–6.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.6% 3.9–5.4% 3.7–5.7% 3.5–5.9% 3.2–6.4%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 1.7% 1.3–2.2% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.6% 0.9–2.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 170 166–175 164–176 163–178 161–180
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 68 64–72 63–74 62–75 60–77
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 20 17–23 17–23 16–24 15–26
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 13–18 13–19 12–19 11–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 11–16 11–17 11–17 10–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 10–14 10–15 9–16 9–17
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0.2% 99.8%  
161 0.5% 99.6%  
162 0.8% 99.1%  
163 2% 98%  
164 3% 97%  
165 4% 94%  
166 6% 90%  
167 7% 84%  
168 9% 77%  
169 11% 68%  
170 10% 57% Median
171 11% 47%  
172 9% 36%  
173 8% 27%  
174 7% 19%  
175 5% 13%  
176 3% 8%  
177 2% 4%  
178 1.4% 3%  
179 0.8% 1.3%  
180 0.3% 0.6%  
181 0.2% 0.3%  
182 0.1% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 0.5% 99.6%  
61 1.1% 99.1%  
62 2% 98%  
63 3% 96%  
64 5% 92%  
65 8% 87%  
66 10% 79%  
67 11% 69%  
68 11% 58% Median
69 13% 47%  
70 11% 34%  
71 8% 23%  
72 6% 16%  
73 4% 10%  
74 3% 5%  
75 1.5% 3%  
76 0.8% 2%  
77 0.4% 0.7%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.7% 99.8%  
16 3% 99.1%  
17 7% 96%  
18 13% 90%  
19 17% 77%  
20 21% 60% Median
21 17% 39%  
22 11% 22% Last Result
23 7% 11%  
24 3% 5%  
25 1.2% 2%  
26 0.4% 0.5%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.3%  
13 8% 96%  
14 15% 88%  
15 20% 73% Last Result
16 23% 52% Median
17 16% 30%  
18 8% 14%  
19 4% 6%  
20 1.4% 2%  
21 0.4% 0.6%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 2% 99.6% Last Result
11 8% 98%  
12 16% 90%  
13 22% 74%  
14 22% 51% Median
15 16% 29%  
16 8% 14%  
17 4% 5%  
18 1.1% 1.5%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0.4% 99.9%  
9 3% 99.5% Last Result
10 9% 97%  
11 19% 88%  
12 25% 69% Median
13 22% 44%  
14 13% 23%  
15 6% 9%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.6% 0.8%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0% 0.2%  
5 0% 0.2%  
6 0% 0.2%  
7 0% 0.2%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 190 100% 186–195 184–196 183–198 181–200
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 170 100% 166–175 164–176 163–178 161–180
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 80 0% 76–85 75–86 74–87 72–90
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 68 0% 64–72 63–74 62–75 60–77

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
178 0.1% 100%  
179 0.1% 99.9%  
180 0.3% 99.8% Last Result
181 0.5% 99.6%  
182 1.0% 99.1%  
183 2% 98%  
184 2% 97%  
185 4% 94%  
186 5% 90%  
187 6% 85%  
188 10% 79%  
189 11% 68%  
190 11% 57% Median
191 9% 46%  
192 9% 37%  
193 8% 28%  
194 7% 20%  
195 5% 13%  
196 3% 8%  
197 2% 4%  
198 1.3% 3%  
199 0.6% 1.2%  
200 0.4% 0.7%  
201 0.2% 0.3%  
202 0.1% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0.2% 99.8%  
161 0.5% 99.6%  
162 0.8% 99.1%  
163 2% 98%  
164 3% 97%  
165 4% 94%  
166 6% 90%  
167 7% 84%  
168 9% 77%  
169 11% 68%  
170 10% 57% Median
171 11% 47%  
172 9% 36%  
173 8% 27%  
174 7% 19%  
175 5% 13%  
176 3% 8%  
177 2% 4%  
178 1.4% 3%  
179 0.8% 1.3%  
180 0.3% 0.6%  
181 0.2% 0.3%  
182 0.1% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.8%  
72 0.7% 99.5%  
73 1.1% 98.9%  
74 3% 98%  
75 2% 95%  
76 6% 93%  
77 5% 87%  
78 10% 81%  
79 9% 72%  
80 13% 62% Median
81 11% 50%  
82 11% 39%  
83 9% 28%  
84 7% 19%  
85 5% 12%  
86 3% 7%  
87 2% 4%  
88 1.1% 2%  
89 0.7% 1.2%  
90 0.3% 0.5%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 0.5% 99.6%  
61 1.1% 99.1%  
62 2% 98%  
63 3% 96%  
64 5% 92%  
65 8% 87%  
66 10% 79%  
67 11% 69%  
68 11% 58% Median
69 13% 47%  
70 11% 34%  
71 8% 23%  
72 6% 16%  
73 4% 10%  
74 3% 5%  
75 1.5% 3%  
76 0.8% 2%  
77 0.4% 0.7%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations