Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 18–20 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 43.7% 41.9–45.5% 41.4–46.0% 40.9–46.5% 40.0–47.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.6% 26.0–29.3% 25.5–29.8% 25.1–30.2% 24.4–31.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 6.9% 6.1–8.0% 5.8–8.3% 5.6–8.5% 5.2–9.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.3% 5.5–7.3% 5.2–7.5% 5.0–7.8% 4.7–8.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.6% 3.9–5.5% 3.7–5.7% 3.6–6.0% 3.3–6.4%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.0% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.2% 2.7–5.6%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 167 162–172 161–173 160–175 157–177
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 74 70–78 68–80 67–81 65–83
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 19 16–21 16–22 15–23 14–24
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–19 14–20 13–21 13–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 10–15 10–15 9–16 9–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–13 8–13 0–14 0–15
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0.1% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.3% 99.8%  
158 0.6% 99.4% Last Result
159 1.1% 98.9%  
160 2% 98%  
161 3% 96%  
162 4% 93%  
163 6% 89%  
164 7% 83%  
165 10% 76%  
166 9% 66%  
167 11% 57% Median
168 9% 46%  
169 10% 37%  
170 9% 27%  
171 6% 18%  
172 4% 12%  
173 3% 8%  
174 2% 5%  
175 1.3% 3%  
176 0.6% 1.4%  
177 0.3% 0.8%  
178 0.2% 0.4%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0.1% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.4% 99.8%  
66 0.8% 99.4%  
67 1.4% 98.6%  
68 3% 97%  
69 4% 94%  
70 7% 90%  
71 8% 83%  
72 11% 75%  
73 10% 64%  
74 12% 54% Median
75 10% 42%  
76 9% 32%  
77 8% 23%  
78 6% 15%  
79 4% 9%  
80 2% 6%  
81 1.4% 3%  
82 0.8% 2%  
83 0.5% 0.9%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.9% 99.8%  
15 3% 99.0%  
16 9% 96%  
17 13% 87%  
18 20% 74%  
19 19% 54% Median
20 16% 35%  
21 10% 18%  
22 5% 9% Last Result
23 2% 3%  
24 0.8% 1.1%  
25 0.3% 0.3%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.4% 99.9%  
13 2% 99.6%  
14 6% 97%  
15 13% 91% Last Result
16 19% 78%  
17 20% 59% Median
18 17% 38%  
19 11% 21%  
20 6% 10%  
21 2% 4%  
22 0.9% 1.2%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0.2% 99.9%  
9 2% 99.7%  
10 8% 97% Last Result
11 19% 89%  
12 17% 71%  
13 22% 54% Median
14 19% 32%  
15 10% 14%  
16 3% 4%  
17 0.8% 1.1%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 3% 97%  
9 14% 95% Last Result
10 22% 81%  
11 27% 59% Median
12 18% 31%  
13 9% 14%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.9% 1.2%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 186 100% 181–191 180–192 178–193 176–196
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 167 100% 162–172 161–173 160–175 157–177
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 85 0% 80–89 78–91 77–92 74–94
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 74 0% 70–78 68–80 67–81 65–83

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0.1% 100%  
175 0.2% 99.9%  
176 0.4% 99.7%  
177 0.7% 99.3%  
178 1.3% 98.7%  
179 2% 97%  
180 3% 95% Last Result
181 4% 92%  
182 7% 88%  
183 8% 81%  
184 8% 73%  
185 11% 65%  
186 11% 54% Median
187 10% 43%  
188 9% 34%  
189 7% 24%  
190 6% 17%  
191 4% 11%  
192 3% 7%  
193 2% 4%  
194 1.0% 2%  
195 0.7% 1.4%  
196 0.3% 0.8%  
197 0.2% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0.1% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0.1% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.3% 99.8%  
158 0.6% 99.4% Last Result
159 1.1% 98.9%  
160 2% 98%  
161 3% 96%  
162 4% 93%  
163 6% 89%  
164 7% 83%  
165 10% 76%  
166 9% 66%  
167 11% 57% Median
168 9% 46%  
169 10% 37%  
170 9% 27%  
171 6% 18%  
172 4% 12%  
173 3% 8%  
174 2% 5%  
175 1.3% 3%  
176 0.6% 1.4%  
177 0.3% 0.8%  
178 0.2% 0.4%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0.1% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.3% 99.6%  
75 0.5% 99.3%  
76 1.0% 98.8%  
77 1.1% 98%  
78 3% 97%  
79 3% 94%  
80 4% 91%  
81 8% 87%  
82 7% 79%  
83 11% 72%  
84 9% 61%  
85 11% 51% Median
86 10% 40%  
87 8% 30%  
88 8% 22%  
89 5% 14%  
90 3% 9%  
91 2% 5%  
92 1.3% 3%  
93 0.7% 1.5%  
94 0.4% 0.8%  
95 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.4% 99.8%  
66 0.8% 99.4%  
67 1.4% 98.6%  
68 3% 97%  
69 4% 94%  
70 7% 90%  
71 8% 83%  
72 11% 75%  
73 10% 64%  
74 12% 54% Median
75 10% 42%  
76 9% 32%  
77 8% 23%  
78 6% 15%  
79 4% 9%  
80 2% 6%  
81 1.4% 3%  
82 0.8% 2%  
83 0.5% 0.9%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations