Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 16–18 December 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 42.5% 40.7–44.4% 40.2–44.9% 39.7–45.3% 38.9–46.2%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.0% 26.4–29.8% 26.0–30.2% 25.6–30.7% 24.8–31.5%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.5% 6.6–8.6% 6.3–8.9% 6.1–9.1% 5.7–9.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.8–7.5% 4.4–8.0%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.0% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.2% 3.9–6.4% 3.6–6.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.3% 2.7–4.5% 2.6–4.7% 2.3–5.1%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.9–3.4% 1.8–3.6% 1.5–3.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 159–170 157–172 156–173 153–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 71–80 69–81 68–83 66–85
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 20 18–23 17–24 16–25 15–26
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–19 13–20 13–20 12–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 11–16 11–17 10–17 10–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–11 0–12 0–13 0–14
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0–8 0–9 0–9 0–10

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9% Majority
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.4% 99.8%  
154 0.6% 99.4%  
155 0.7% 98.8%  
156 1.4% 98%  
157 2% 97%  
158 4% 94% Last Result
159 3% 90%  
160 4% 87%  
161 11% 83%  
162 9% 73%  
163 7% 63%  
164 7% 57% Median
165 11% 50%  
166 9% 39%  
167 5% 30%  
168 5% 25%  
169 7% 20%  
170 5% 13%  
171 2% 8%  
172 2% 6%  
173 2% 4%  
174 1.1% 2%  
175 0.5% 1.1%  
176 0.2% 0.6%  
177 0.3% 0.4%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.7%  
67 0.8% 99.2%  
68 1.3% 98%  
69 2% 97%  
70 4% 95%  
71 6% 91%  
72 6% 86%  
73 8% 80%  
74 10% 72%  
75 12% 62% Median
76 9% 50%  
77 9% 41%  
78 8% 32%  
79 8% 24%  
80 7% 15%  
81 4% 9%  
82 2% 5%  
83 0.8% 3%  
84 0.9% 2%  
85 0.5% 0.9%  
86 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.5% 99.9%  
16 2% 99.4%  
17 6% 97%  
18 11% 92%  
19 15% 80%  
20 19% 66% Median
21 18% 46%  
22 13% 28% Last Result
23 8% 15%  
24 5% 7%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.7% 1.0%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 1.2% 99.7%  
13 4% 98%  
14 11% 94%  
15 19% 84% Last Result
16 20% 65% Median
17 19% 45%  
18 14% 26%  
19 7% 12%  
20 3% 5%  
21 1.4% 2%  
22 0.4% 0.5%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.4% 100%  
10 3% 99.6% Last Result
11 9% 97%  
12 16% 88%  
13 20% 72%  
14 23% 52% Median
15 15% 29%  
16 8% 14%  
17 4% 6%  
18 1.5% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100%  
1 0% 83%  
2 0% 83%  
3 0% 83%  
4 0% 83%  
5 0% 83%  
6 0% 83%  
7 0% 83%  
8 8% 83%  
9 21% 75% Last Result
10 26% 53% Median
11 19% 27%  
12 6% 9%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.5% 0.6%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 17%  
2 0% 17%  
3 0% 17%  
4 0% 17%  
5 0% 17%  
6 0% 17%  
7 0% 17%  
8 8% 17%  
9 7% 9%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 185 100% 179–191 177–193 176–194 173–197
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 99.9% 159–170 157–172 156–173 153–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 85 0% 77–90 75–90 74–92 72–94
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 0% 71–80 69–81 68–83 66–85

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
170 0% 100%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.4% 99.7%  
174 0.7% 99.3%  
175 0.9% 98.7%  
176 2% 98%  
177 2% 96%  
178 2% 94%  
179 5% 92%  
180 5% 87% Last Result
181 8% 82%  
182 8% 75%  
183 7% 67%  
184 8% 59% Median
185 10% 52%  
186 7% 41%  
187 8% 35%  
188 6% 27%  
189 4% 21%  
190 4% 17%  
191 4% 12%  
192 2% 8%  
193 3% 6%  
194 0.8% 3%  
195 1.0% 2%  
196 0.5% 1.1%  
197 0.3% 0.6%  
198 0.2% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0.1% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9% Majority
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.4% 99.8%  
154 0.6% 99.4%  
155 0.7% 98.8%  
156 1.4% 98%  
157 2% 97%  
158 4% 94% Last Result
159 3% 90%  
160 4% 87%  
161 11% 83%  
162 9% 73%  
163 7% 63%  
164 7% 57% Median
165 11% 50%  
166 9% 39%  
167 5% 30%  
168 5% 25%  
169 7% 20%  
170 5% 13%  
171 2% 8%  
172 2% 6%  
173 2% 4%  
174 1.1% 2%  
175 0.5% 1.1%  
176 0.2% 0.6%  
177 0.3% 0.4%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.4% 99.6%  
73 0.8% 99.2%  
74 1.0% 98%  
75 3% 97%  
76 2% 95%  
77 3% 92%  
78 4% 89%  
79 5% 85%  
80 6% 80%  
81 5% 74%  
82 5% 70%  
83 6% 65%  
84 8% 58%  
85 11% 51% Median
86 9% 40%  
87 8% 32%  
88 5% 24%  
89 8% 19%  
90 6% 10%  
91 2% 5%  
92 1.1% 3%  
93 0.8% 2%  
94 0.5% 0.9%  
95 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.7%  
67 0.8% 99.2%  
68 1.3% 98%  
69 2% 97%  
70 4% 95%  
71 6% 91%  
72 6% 86%  
73 8% 80%  
74 10% 72%  
75 12% 62% Median
76 9% 50%  
77 9% 41%  
78 8% 32%  
79 8% 24%  
80 7% 15%  
81 4% 9%  
82 2% 5%  
83 0.8% 3%  
84 0.9% 2%  
85 0.5% 0.9%  
86 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations