Opinion Poll by MRB for Star, 13–17 January 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 43.5% 41.9–45.2% 41.4–45.7% 41.0–46.1% 40.2–46.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.4% 24.9–27.9% 24.5–28.4% 24.2–28.7% 23.5–29.5%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.5% 6.7–8.5% 6.5–8.8% 6.3–9.0% 5.9–9.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.2% 5.4–7.1% 5.2–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.7–8.0%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.3% 4.6–6.1% 4.4–6.4% 4.2–6.6% 3.9–7.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.1% 3.5–4.9% 3.3–5.1% 3.2–5.3% 2.9–5.7%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 1.7% 1.3–2.2% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 167 162–171 161–172 160–173 158–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 67–75 66–76 65–77 63–79
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 20 18–23 17–23 17–24 16–25
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–19 14–20 14–20 13–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–16 12–17 11–18 11–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–13 9–14 9–14 0–15
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.2% 99.9%  
158 0.5% 99.6% Last Result
159 1.0% 99.2%  
160 2% 98%  
161 3% 96%  
162 5% 93%  
163 7% 89%  
164 8% 82%  
165 10% 74%  
166 12% 63%  
167 10% 51% Median
168 12% 41%  
169 9% 29%  
170 7% 20%  
171 6% 13%  
172 3% 8%  
173 2% 4%  
174 1.3% 2%  
175 0.6% 1.2%  
176 0.3% 0.6%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.5% 99.7%  
64 1.3% 99.2%  
65 2% 98%  
66 4% 96%  
67 6% 92%  
68 9% 86%  
69 12% 77%  
70 12% 65%  
71 13% 54% Median
72 11% 41%  
73 11% 30%  
74 7% 19%  
75 6% 12%  
76 3% 6%  
77 2% 3%  
78 0.9% 2%  
79 0.4% 0.7%  
80 0.2% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100%  
16 1.2% 99.7%  
17 5% 98%  
18 10% 94%  
19 18% 83%  
20 20% 65% Median
21 20% 46%  
22 14% 26% Last Result
23 7% 12%  
24 3% 5%  
25 1.1% 2%  
26 0.3% 0.4%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 2% 99.7%  
14 6% 98%  
15 14% 92% Last Result
16 23% 77%  
17 21% 54% Median
18 18% 33%  
19 9% 16%  
20 4% 6%  
21 1.3% 2%  
22 0.4% 0.5%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100% Last Result
11 3% 99.6%  
12 9% 97%  
13 19% 88%  
14 25% 69% Median
15 23% 44%  
16 12% 21%  
17 6% 9%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.6% 0.7%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100%  
1 0% 99.2%  
2 0% 99.2%  
3 0% 99.2%  
4 0% 99.2%  
5 0% 99.2%  
6 0% 99.2%  
7 0% 99.2%  
8 1.2% 99.2%  
9 8% 98% Last Result
10 22% 90%  
11 29% 68% Median
12 21% 39%  
13 12% 17%  
14 4% 6%  
15 1.0% 1.3%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 187 100% 182–191 181–193 180–194 178–196
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 167 100% 162–171 161–172 160–173 158–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 82 0% 78–86 76–87 76–88 73–90
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 0% 67–75 66–76 65–77 63–79

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
176 0.1% 100%  
177 0.2% 99.9%  
178 0.4% 99.7%  
179 0.9% 99.3%  
180 1.4% 98% Last Result
181 3% 97%  
182 4% 94%  
183 6% 90%  
184 8% 84%  
185 11% 76%  
186 9% 65%  
187 13% 56% Median
188 10% 43%  
189 10% 33%  
190 7% 23%  
191 6% 15%  
192 4% 9%  
193 2% 5%  
194 1.2% 3%  
195 0.8% 2%  
196 0.4% 0.8%  
197 0.2% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.2% 99.9%  
158 0.5% 99.6% Last Result
159 1.0% 99.2%  
160 2% 98%  
161 3% 96%  
162 5% 93%  
163 7% 89%  
164 8% 82%  
165 10% 74%  
166 12% 63%  
167 10% 51% Median
168 12% 41%  
169 9% 29%  
170 7% 20%  
171 6% 13%  
172 3% 8%  
173 2% 4%  
174 1.3% 2%  
175 0.6% 1.2%  
176 0.3% 0.6%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.8%  
73 0.3% 99.6%  
74 0.6% 99.3%  
75 1.2% 98.7%  
76 3% 98%  
77 4% 95%  
78 6% 91%  
79 9% 86%  
80 9% 76%  
81 12% 67%  
82 11% 55% Median
83 11% 44%  
84 10% 32%  
85 8% 22%  
86 6% 14%  
87 4% 8%  
88 2% 4%  
89 1.4% 2%  
90 0.5% 1.0%  
91 0.3% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.5% 99.7%  
64 1.3% 99.2%  
65 2% 98%  
66 4% 96%  
67 6% 92%  
68 9% 86%  
69 12% 77%  
70 12% 65%  
71 13% 54% Median
72 11% 41%  
73 11% 30%  
74 7% 19%  
75 6% 12%  
76 3% 6%  
77 2% 3%  
78 0.9% 2%  
79 0.4% 0.7%  
80 0.2% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations