Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 21–22 January 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 43.0% 41.2–44.8% 40.6–45.3% 40.2–45.8% 39.3–46.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.0% 27.4–30.7% 26.9–31.2% 26.5–31.6% 25.7–32.5%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.5% 6.6–8.6% 6.4–8.9% 6.2–9.2% 5.8–9.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.5% 4.8–6.5% 4.6–6.8% 4.4–7.0% 4.0–7.5%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.0% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.2% 3.9–6.4% 3.6–6.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.3% 2.7–4.5% 2.6–4.7% 2.3–5.1%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 1.5% 1.1–2.0% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.3% 0.8–2.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 165 160–170 159–172 157–173 155–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 78 73–82 72–84 71–85 69–88
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 20 18–23 17–24 17–25 15–26
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 13–17 12–18 12–19 11–20
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 11–16 11–17 11–17 10–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–13
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.2% 99.9%  
155 0.4% 99.7%  
156 0.6% 99.3%  
157 2% 98.7%  
158 2% 97% Last Result
159 3% 95%  
160 5% 92%  
161 7% 87%  
162 7% 80%  
163 10% 73%  
164 8% 62%  
165 8% 54% Median
166 12% 46%  
167 9% 35%  
168 6% 26%  
169 7% 19%  
170 4% 13%  
171 3% 9%  
172 2% 6%  
173 1.4% 4%  
174 1.1% 2%  
175 0.6% 1.3%  
176 0.4% 0.7%  
177 0.2% 0.4%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.8%  
69 0.6% 99.6%  
70 1.0% 99.0%  
71 2% 98%  
72 3% 96%  
73 4% 94%  
74 6% 90%  
75 9% 84%  
76 10% 75%  
77 13% 65%  
78 12% 52% Median
79 12% 40%  
80 9% 28%  
81 7% 19%  
82 4% 12%  
83 3% 8%  
84 2% 5%  
85 1.3% 3%  
86 0.7% 2% Last Result
87 0.5% 1.1%  
88 0.3% 0.6%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.5% 99.9%  
16 2% 99.4%  
17 6% 98%  
18 10% 92%  
19 16% 82%  
20 21% 65% Median
21 16% 45%  
22 14% 29% Last Result
23 8% 14%  
24 3% 6%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.6% 0.9%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 1.3% 99.7%  
12 4% 98%  
13 11% 94%  
14 24% 84%  
15 25% 60% Last Result, Median
16 18% 35%  
17 8% 17%  
18 5% 9%  
19 2% 4%  
20 0.8% 1.0%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 2% 99.6% Last Result
11 9% 98%  
12 15% 89%  
13 24% 74% Median
14 19% 50%  
15 17% 30%  
16 7% 13%  
17 4% 6%  
18 1.2% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100%  
1 0% 85%  
2 0% 85%  
3 0% 85%  
4 0% 85%  
5 0% 85%  
6 0% 85%  
7 0% 85%  
8 10% 85%  
9 28% 74% Last Result, Median
10 24% 47%  
11 14% 23%  
12 6% 8%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.4% 0.5%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 185 100% 180–191 179–192 178–194 175–197
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 165 100% 160–170 159–172 157–173 155–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 87 0% 80–91 78–92 77–94 74–96
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 78 0% 73–82 72–84 71–85 69–88

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
173 0.1% 100%  
174 0.2% 99.9%  
175 0.3% 99.7%  
176 0.8% 99.4%  
177 1.0% 98.6%  
178 2% 98%  
179 3% 96%  
180 4% 93% Last Result
181 5% 88%  
182 9% 83%  
183 8% 74%  
184 8% 66%  
185 11% 58% Median
186 9% 47%  
187 8% 37%  
188 8% 29%  
189 6% 21%  
190 4% 15%  
191 3% 11%  
192 3% 8%  
193 1.2% 5%  
194 2% 4%  
195 0.9% 2%  
196 0.4% 1.1%  
197 0.4% 0.7%  
198 0.2% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.2% 99.9%  
155 0.4% 99.7%  
156 0.6% 99.3%  
157 2% 98.7%  
158 2% 97% Last Result
159 3% 95%  
160 5% 92%  
161 7% 87%  
162 7% 80%  
163 10% 73%  
164 8% 62%  
165 8% 54% Median
166 12% 46%  
167 9% 35%  
168 6% 26%  
169 7% 19%  
170 4% 13%  
171 3% 9%  
172 2% 6%  
173 1.4% 4%  
174 1.1% 2%  
175 0.6% 1.3%  
176 0.4% 0.7%  
177 0.2% 0.4%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.2% 99.6%  
75 0.6% 99.4%  
76 0.7% 98.7%  
77 1.4% 98%  
78 2% 97%  
79 3% 95%  
80 3% 92%  
81 4% 90%  
82 5% 86%  
83 5% 81%  
84 8% 76%  
85 9% 68%  
86 9% 59%  
87 11% 50% Median
88 11% 39%  
89 8% 28%  
90 7% 19%  
91 5% 12%  
92 3% 7%  
93 2% 4%  
94 1.1% 3%  
95 0.7% 1.5% Last Result
96 0.4% 0.7%  
97 0.2% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.8%  
69 0.6% 99.6%  
70 1.0% 99.0%  
71 2% 98%  
72 3% 96%  
73 4% 94%  
74 6% 90%  
75 9% 84%  
76 10% 75%  
77 13% 65%  
78 12% 52% Median
79 12% 40%  
80 9% 28%  
81 7% 19%  
82 4% 12%  
83 3% 8%  
84 2% 5%  
85 1.3% 3%  
86 0.7% 2% Last Result
87 0.5% 1.1%  
88 0.3% 0.6%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations