Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 3–4 March 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 43.5% 41.7–45.3% 41.2–45.8% 40.8–46.2% 39.9–47.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.0% 26.4–29.6% 25.9–30.1% 25.6–30.5% 24.8–31.3%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.5% 6.6–8.5% 6.4–8.8% 6.1–9.1% 5.7–9.6%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 6.0% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2% 4.8–7.4% 4.4–7.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.5% 4.7–6.4% 4.5–6.7% 4.4–6.9% 4.0–7.4%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.2–4.1% 2.0–4.5%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.1–2.2% 1.0–2.3% 0.8–2.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 167 162–173 161–175 159–176 157–178
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 71–80 70–82 69–83 67–85
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 20 18–23 17–24 17–25 16–26
Ελληνική Λύση 10 16 14–19 13–19 13–20 12–21
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 13–17 12–18 12–19 11–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 8 0–10 0–11 0–11 0–12
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0% 100%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.2% 99.9%  
157 0.3% 99.7%  
158 0.7% 99.4% Last Result
159 1.4% 98.7%  
160 2% 97%  
161 3% 95%  
162 4% 92%  
163 6% 88%  
164 7% 82%  
165 8% 75%  
166 9% 67%  
167 9% 58% Median
168 8% 49%  
169 9% 41%  
170 6% 32%  
171 8% 26%  
172 4% 18%  
173 5% 14%  
174 3% 9%  
175 3% 6%  
176 0.9% 3%  
177 1.1% 2%  
178 0.4% 0.8%  
179 0.2% 0.4%  
180 0.1% 0.2%  
181 0.1% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.3% 99.9%  
67 0.6% 99.6%  
68 1.2% 99.0%  
69 1.5% 98%  
70 3% 96%  
71 4% 93%  
72 7% 89%  
73 9% 82%  
74 9% 73%  
75 12% 64%  
76 14% 52% Median
77 8% 39%  
78 8% 30%  
79 6% 22%  
80 5% 15%  
81 4% 10%  
82 2% 6%  
83 2% 4%  
84 1.1% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.8%  
86 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.4% 99.9%  
16 2% 99.5%  
17 5% 98%  
18 10% 92%  
19 18% 83%  
20 18% 65% Median
21 21% 46%  
22 11% 26% Last Result
23 8% 14%  
24 4% 7%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.7% 0.9%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0.2% 100%  
12 1.3% 99.8%  
13 4% 98.5%  
14 9% 94%  
15 20% 85%  
16 19% 65% Median
17 20% 45%  
18 13% 25%  
19 7% 12%  
20 3% 5%  
21 1.0% 1.5%  
22 0.3% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 1.3% 99.7%  
12 6% 98%  
13 14% 93%  
14 17% 79%  
15 24% 61% Last Result, Median
16 17% 38%  
17 12% 21%  
18 6% 9%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.8% 1.0%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100%  
1 0% 54%  
2 0% 54%  
3 0% 54%  
4 0% 54%  
5 0% 54%  
6 0% 54%  
7 0% 54%  
8 10% 54% Median
9 26% 44% Last Result
10 13% 18%  
11 4% 5%  
12 0.9% 1.1%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 188 100% 182–194 181–195 179–197 177–199
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 167 100% 162–173 161–175 159–176 157–178
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 81 0% 74–87 73–88 72–89 70–92
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 0% 71–80 70–82 69–83 67–85

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0% 100%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.3% 99.7%  
178 0.6% 99.4%  
179 1.4% 98.8%  
180 2% 97% Last Result
181 3% 95%  
182 4% 93%  
183 6% 89%  
184 8% 83%  
185 7% 75%  
186 9% 68%  
187 7% 59% Median
188 8% 52%  
189 7% 44%  
190 8% 37%  
191 5% 28%  
192 5% 23%  
193 5% 18%  
194 5% 13%  
195 4% 8%  
196 2% 4%  
197 1.1% 3%  
198 0.7% 1.4%  
199 0.4% 0.7%  
200 0.2% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0% 100%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.2% 99.9%  
157 0.3% 99.7%  
158 0.7% 99.4% Last Result
159 1.4% 98.7%  
160 2% 97%  
161 3% 95%  
162 4% 92%  
163 6% 88%  
164 7% 82%  
165 8% 75%  
166 9% 67%  
167 9% 58% Median
168 8% 49%  
169 9% 41%  
170 6% 32%  
171 8% 26%  
172 4% 18%  
173 5% 14%  
174 3% 9%  
175 3% 6%  
176 0.9% 3%  
177 1.1% 2%  
178 0.4% 0.8%  
179 0.2% 0.4%  
180 0.1% 0.2%  
181 0.1% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.6% 99.6%  
71 0.8% 99.0%  
72 1.2% 98%  
73 3% 97%  
74 4% 93%  
75 5% 90%  
76 7% 85%  
77 4% 78%  
78 6% 73%  
79 7% 68%  
80 8% 61%  
81 9% 53%  
82 6% 45%  
83 7% 39%  
84 9% 32% Median
85 7% 23%  
86 5% 16%  
87 4% 11%  
88 3% 7%  
89 1.5% 4%  
90 1.3% 2%  
91 0.6% 1.1%  
92 0.3% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.3% 99.9%  
67 0.6% 99.6%  
68 1.2% 99.0%  
69 1.5% 98%  
70 3% 96%  
71 4% 93%  
72 7% 89%  
73 9% 82%  
74 9% 73%  
75 12% 64%  
76 14% 52% Median
77 8% 39%  
78 8% 30%  
79 6% 22%  
80 5% 15%  
81 4% 10%  
82 2% 6%  
83 2% 4%  
84 1.1% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.8%  
86 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations