Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 30 March–1 April 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 50.0% | 48.2–51.8% | 47.7–52.3% | 47.2–52.8% | 46.3–53.7% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 24.5% | 23.0–26.1% | 22.5–26.6% | 22.2–26.9% | 21.5–27.7% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.0% | 5.0–7.2% | 4.8–7.5% | 4.5–7.9% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8–6.4% | 4.6–6.7% | 4.4–6.9% | 4.0–7.4% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.9–6.4% | 3.6–6.9% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.0–4.5% |
| Χρυσή Αυγή | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 184 | 179–190 | 177–192 | 176–193 | 173–196 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 66 | 61–70 | 60–72 | 59–73 | 57–75 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 16 | 14–19 | 13–19 | 13–20 | 12–21 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 14 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 10–18 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 8 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| Χρυσή Αυγή | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 174 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 175 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 176 | 2% | 98% | |
| 177 | 2% | 96% | |
| 178 | 3% | 94% | |
| 179 | 4% | 91% | |
| 180 | 7% | 86% | |
| 181 | 7% | 80% | |
| 182 | 9% | 72% | |
| 183 | 8% | 63% | |
| 184 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 185 | 7% | 48% | |
| 186 | 9% | 41% | |
| 187 | 9% | 32% | |
| 188 | 6% | 24% | |
| 189 | 6% | 18% | |
| 190 | 3% | 12% | |
| 191 | 3% | 9% | |
| 192 | 3% | 5% | |
| 193 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 194 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 195 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 196 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 97% | |
| 61 | 5% | 94% | |
| 62 | 5% | 89% | |
| 63 | 9% | 84% | |
| 64 | 10% | 75% | |
| 65 | 12% | 66% | |
| 66 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 67 | 12% | 44% | |
| 68 | 10% | 32% | |
| 69 | 7% | 22% | |
| 70 | 6% | 15% | |
| 71 | 4% | 9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 5% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 4% | 98% | |
| 14 | 11% | 94% | |
| 15 | 17% | 83% | |
| 16 | 22% | 66% | Median |
| 17 | 18% | 44% | |
| 18 | 13% | 26% | |
| 19 | 9% | 13% | |
| 20 | 3% | 5% | |
| 21 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 6% | 98% | |
| 13 | 11% | 92% | |
| 14 | 20% | 81% | |
| 15 | 24% | 61% | Last Result, Median |
| 16 | 18% | 37% | |
| 17 | 10% | 19% | |
| 18 | 6% | 9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 11 | 7% | 98% | |
| 12 | 15% | 91% | |
| 13 | 21% | 76% | |
| 14 | 24% | 55% | Median |
| 15 | 16% | 31% | |
| 16 | 9% | 15% | |
| 17 | 4% | 5% | |
| 18 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 48% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 52% | |
| 2 | 0% | 52% | |
| 3 | 0% | 52% | |
| 4 | 0% | 52% | |
| 5 | 0% | 52% | |
| 6 | 0% | 52% | |
| 7 | 0% | 52% | |
| 8 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 9 | 22% | 39% | Last Result |
| 10 | 12% | 17% | |
| 11 | 3% | 4% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Χρυσή Αυγή
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 201 | 100% | 195–207 | 193–208 | 192–209 | 190–212 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 184 | 100% | 179–190 | 177–192 | 176–193 | 173–196 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 71 | 0% | 65–77 | 63–78 | 62–79 | 60–82 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 66 | 0% | 61–70 | 60–72 | 59–73 | 57–75 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 190 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 191 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 192 | 2% | 98% | |
| 193 | 3% | 96% | |
| 194 | 2% | 93% | |
| 195 | 3% | 91% | |
| 196 | 6% | 88% | |
| 197 | 9% | 82% | |
| 198 | 9% | 73% | |
| 199 | 8% | 64% | |
| 200 | 4% | 56% | Median |
| 201 | 5% | 51% | |
| 202 | 10% | 46% | |
| 203 | 12% | 36% | |
| 204 | 6% | 24% | |
| 205 | 3% | 18% | |
| 206 | 2% | 14% | |
| 207 | 4% | 12% | |
| 208 | 5% | 8% | |
| 209 | 2% | 4% | |
| 210 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 211 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 212 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 213 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 174 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 175 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 176 | 2% | 98% | |
| 177 | 2% | 96% | |
| 178 | 3% | 94% | |
| 179 | 4% | 91% | |
| 180 | 7% | 86% | |
| 181 | 7% | 80% | |
| 182 | 9% | 72% | |
| 183 | 8% | 63% | |
| 184 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 185 | 7% | 48% | |
| 186 | 9% | 41% | |
| 187 | 9% | 32% | |
| 188 | 6% | 24% | |
| 189 | 6% | 18% | |
| 190 | 3% | 12% | |
| 191 | 3% | 9% | |
| 192 | 3% | 5% | |
| 193 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 194 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 195 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 196 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 63 | 3% | 97% | |
| 64 | 3% | 93% | |
| 65 | 6% | 90% | |
| 66 | 4% | 85% | |
| 67 | 8% | 80% | |
| 68 | 6% | 72% | |
| 69 | 8% | 66% | |
| 70 | 7% | 58% | |
| 71 | 7% | 52% | |
| 72 | 7% | 44% | |
| 73 | 8% | 38% | |
| 74 | 7% | 29% | Median |
| 75 | 6% | 23% | |
| 76 | 7% | 17% | |
| 77 | 3% | 11% | |
| 78 | 3% | 7% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 97% | |
| 61 | 5% | 94% | |
| 62 | 5% | 89% | |
| 63 | 9% | 84% | |
| 64 | 10% | 75% | |
| 65 | 12% | 66% | |
| 66 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 67 | 12% | 44% | |
| 68 | 10% | 32% | |
| 69 | 7% | 22% | |
| 70 | 6% | 15% | |
| 71 | 4% | 9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 5% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Pulse RC
- Commissioner(s): ΣΚΑΪ
- Fieldwork period: 30 March–1 April 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1250
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.43%