Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 14–22 April 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 49.8% | 47.8–51.8% | 47.2–52.4% | 46.7–52.9% | 45.7–53.9% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 25.8% | 24.1–27.6% | 23.6–28.2% | 23.2–28.6% | 22.4–29.5% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.8–9.1% | 5.4–9.7% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 180 | 175–187 | 173–188 | 172–190 | 169–192 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 68 | 63–73 | 62–74 | 60–75 | 58–78 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 19 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 15–24 | 14–25 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 15 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 10–20 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 13 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 8 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 170 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 171 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 172 | 2% | 98% | |
| 173 | 2% | 96% | |
| 174 | 3% | 94% | |
| 175 | 4% | 90% | |
| 176 | 5% | 86% | |
| 177 | 7% | 80% | |
| 178 | 7% | 73% | |
| 179 | 10% | 66% | |
| 180 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 181 | 9% | 49% | |
| 182 | 8% | 40% | |
| 183 | 6% | 32% | |
| 184 | 6% | 26% | |
| 185 | 5% | 19% | |
| 186 | 4% | 15% | |
| 187 | 4% | 11% | |
| 188 | 2% | 7% | |
| 189 | 2% | 5% | |
| 190 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 191 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 192 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 2% | 97% | |
| 62 | 3% | 95% | |
| 63 | 5% | 92% | |
| 64 | 7% | 87% | |
| 65 | 8% | 79% | |
| 66 | 10% | 71% | |
| 67 | 9% | 61% | |
| 68 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 69 | 10% | 41% | |
| 70 | 9% | 31% | |
| 71 | 7% | 22% | |
| 72 | 5% | 16% | |
| 73 | 4% | 10% | |
| 74 | 3% | 7% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 16 | 6% | 97% | |
| 17 | 10% | 90% | |
| 18 | 16% | 80% | |
| 19 | 18% | 64% | Median |
| 20 | 17% | 46% | |
| 21 | 12% | 29% | |
| 22 | 9% | 17% | Last Result |
| 23 | 4% | 8% | |
| 24 | 2% | 4% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 12 | 9% | 96% | |
| 13 | 15% | 87% | |
| 14 | 21% | 72% | |
| 15 | 20% | 51% | Last Result, Median |
| 16 | 15% | 31% | |
| 17 | 9% | 16% | |
| 18 | 5% | 7% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 5% | 98% | Last Result |
| 11 | 13% | 93% | |
| 12 | 20% | 80% | |
| 13 | 21% | 60% | Median |
| 14 | 19% | 39% | |
| 15 | 11% | 21% | |
| 16 | 6% | 10% | |
| 17 | 2% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 46% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 54% | |
| 2 | 0% | 54% | |
| 3 | 0% | 54% | |
| 4 | 0% | 54% | |
| 5 | 0% | 54% | |
| 6 | 0% | 54% | |
| 7 | 0% | 54% | |
| 8 | 19% | 54% | Median |
| 9 | 20% | 34% | Last Result |
| 10 | 9% | 14% | |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 200 | 100% | 194–206 | 192–208 | 191–209 | 188–212 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 180 | 100% | 175–187 | 173–188 | 172–190 | 169–192 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 73 | 0% | 66–79 | 64–80 | 63–82 | 61–84 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 68 | 0% | 63–73 | 62–74 | 60–75 | 58–78 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 189 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 190 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 191 | 2% | 98% | |
| 192 | 2% | 96% | |
| 193 | 3% | 94% | |
| 194 | 5% | 91% | |
| 195 | 5% | 86% | |
| 196 | 7% | 81% | |
| 197 | 7% | 74% | |
| 198 | 7% | 67% | |
| 199 | 9% | 60% | Median |
| 200 | 8% | 51% | |
| 201 | 8% | 44% | |
| 202 | 7% | 36% | |
| 203 | 7% | 29% | |
| 204 | 5% | 22% | |
| 205 | 5% | 17% | |
| 206 | 4% | 12% | |
| 207 | 3% | 8% | |
| 208 | 2% | 6% | |
| 209 | 2% | 4% | |
| 210 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 211 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 212 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 213 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 170 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 171 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 172 | 2% | 98% | |
| 173 | 2% | 96% | |
| 174 | 3% | 94% | |
| 175 | 4% | 90% | |
| 176 | 5% | 86% | |
| 177 | 7% | 80% | |
| 178 | 7% | 73% | |
| 179 | 10% | 66% | |
| 180 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 181 | 9% | 49% | |
| 182 | 8% | 40% | |
| 183 | 6% | 32% | |
| 184 | 6% | 26% | |
| 185 | 5% | 19% | |
| 186 | 4% | 15% | |
| 187 | 4% | 11% | |
| 188 | 2% | 7% | |
| 189 | 2% | 5% | |
| 190 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 191 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 192 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 3% | 95% | |
| 66 | 4% | 92% | |
| 67 | 5% | 88% | |
| 68 | 5% | 83% | |
| 69 | 6% | 78% | |
| 70 | 7% | 72% | |
| 71 | 7% | 65% | |
| 72 | 8% | 59% | |
| 73 | 7% | 51% | |
| 74 | 8% | 44% | |
| 75 | 6% | 35% | |
| 76 | 7% | 29% | Median |
| 77 | 6% | 22% | |
| 78 | 6% | 17% | |
| 79 | 4% | 11% | |
| 80 | 3% | 7% | |
| 81 | 2% | 5% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 2% | 97% | |
| 62 | 3% | 95% | |
| 63 | 5% | 92% | |
| 64 | 7% | 87% | |
| 65 | 8% | 79% | |
| 66 | 10% | 71% | |
| 67 | 9% | 61% | |
| 68 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 69 | 10% | 41% | |
| 70 | 9% | 31% | |
| 71 | 7% | 22% | |
| 72 | 5% | 16% | |
| 73 | 4% | 10% | |
| 74 | 3% | 7% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Παραπολιτικά
- Fieldwork period: 14–22 April 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.81%