Opinion Poll by Prorata, 24–29 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 46.0% 44.7–47.3% 44.4–47.6% 44.0–48.0% 43.4–48.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.0% 26.9–29.2% 26.6–29.5% 26.3–29.8% 25.7–30.4%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 6.0% 5.4–6.7% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.0% 5.4–6.7% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.0% 4.5–5.6% 4.3–5.8% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.0% 2.6–3.5% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.2–4.0%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 174 169–178 169–179 167–180 166–182
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 72–79 71–80 70–81 69–83
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 16 15–18 14–19 14–19 13–20
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 15–18 14–18 14–19 13–20
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–15 12–16 11–16 11–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 8 0–9 0–10 0–10 0–11
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0.1% 100%  
165 0.3% 99.9%  
166 0.6% 99.6%  
167 2% 99.1%  
168 2% 97%  
169 6% 95%  
170 6% 89%  
171 8% 83%  
172 8% 74%  
173 10% 66%  
174 11% 56% Median
175 9% 45%  
176 11% 36%  
177 9% 24%  
178 7% 15%  
179 4% 9%  
180 3% 5%  
181 1.3% 2%  
182 0.6% 0.9%  
183 0.2% 0.3%  
184 0.1% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 0.8% 99.6%  
70 2% 98.8%  
71 3% 97%  
72 8% 93%  
73 9% 85%  
74 13% 76%  
75 13% 64%  
76 15% 51% Median
77 13% 35%  
78 9% 23%  
79 6% 13%  
80 4% 7%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.8% 1.3%  
83 0.4% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 1.1% 99.9%  
14 7% 98.8%  
15 18% 92%  
16 32% 73% Median
17 24% 42%  
18 12% 18%  
19 4% 5%  
20 0.8% 0.9%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0% Last Result

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 2% 99.9%  
14 8% 98%  
15 16% 91% Last Result
16 33% 75% Median
17 26% 42%  
18 12% 16%  
19 3% 5%  
20 1.1% 1.2%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100% Last Result
11 3% 99.7%  
12 16% 97%  
13 30% 81%  
14 28% 50% Median
15 17% 23%  
16 4% 6%  
17 1.0% 1.1%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100%  
1 0% 50%  
2 0% 50%  
3 0% 50%  
4 0% 50%  
5 0% 50%  
6 0% 50%  
7 0% 50%  
8 21% 50% Median
9 23% 29% Last Result
10 6% 6%  
11 0.6% 0.7%  
12 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 190 100% 185–195 184–196 184–197 182–199
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 174 100% 169–178 169–179 167–180 166–182
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 80 0% 75–85 74–86 73–87 71–89
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 0% 72–79 71–80 70–81 69–83

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0.1% 100% Last Result
181 0.3% 99.9%  
182 0.6% 99.6%  
183 1.5% 99.0%  
184 3% 98%  
185 5% 95%  
186 5% 90%  
187 10% 84%  
188 8% 75%  
189 9% 67%  
190 9% 58% Median
191 9% 49%  
192 9% 40%  
193 13% 31%  
194 5% 18%  
195 6% 13%  
196 3% 7%  
197 2% 3%  
198 0.9% 2%  
199 0.3% 0.6%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0.1% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0.1% 100%  
165 0.3% 99.9%  
166 0.6% 99.6%  
167 2% 99.1%  
168 2% 97%  
169 6% 95%  
170 6% 89%  
171 8% 83%  
172 8% 74%  
173 10% 66%  
174 11% 56% Median
175 9% 45%  
176 11% 36%  
177 9% 24%  
178 7% 15%  
179 4% 9%  
180 3% 5%  
181 1.3% 2%  
182 0.6% 0.9%  
183 0.2% 0.3%  
184 0.1% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.2% 100%  
71 0.4% 99.8%  
72 1.2% 99.4%  
73 2% 98%  
74 4% 96%  
75 6% 92%  
76 8% 86%  
77 10% 78%  
78 8% 68%  
79 7% 60%  
80 7% 53%  
81 9% 46%  
82 6% 36%  
83 10% 30%  
84 8% 20% Median
85 5% 12%  
86 4% 7%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.8% 1.4%  
89 0.4% 0.6%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 0.8% 99.6%  
70 2% 98.8%  
71 3% 97%  
72 8% 93%  
73 9% 85%  
74 13% 76%  
75 13% 64%  
76 15% 51% Median
77 13% 35%  
78 9% 23%  
79 6% 13%  
80 4% 7%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.8% 1.3%  
83 0.4% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations