Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 4–6 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 48.0% 46.1–49.8% 45.6–50.3% 45.2–50.8% 44.3–51.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.0% 23.5–26.7% 23.0–27.1% 22.6–27.6% 21.9–28.3%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.0% 6.1–8.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.7–8.6% 5.3–9.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.0% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2% 4.8–7.5% 4.4–7.9%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.5% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.6% 3.4–5.8% 3.1–6.2%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.0% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.2–4.1% 1.9–4.5%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.3% 0.8–2.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 180 174–186 172–187 171–189 169–191
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 68 63–72 62–74 61–75 59–77
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 19 17–22 16–22 15–23 14–25
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–19 13–20 13–20 12–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–15 10–15 9–16 8–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 8 0–10 0–10 0–11 0–12
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0.1% 100%  
167 0.1% 99.9%  
168 0.2% 99.8%  
169 0.4% 99.7%  
170 0.9% 99.3%  
171 1.3% 98%  
172 2% 97%  
173 2% 95%  
174 3% 92%  
175 6% 89%  
176 6% 83%  
177 8% 77%  
178 7% 69%  
179 9% 62%  
180 8% 53% Median
181 9% 45%  
182 9% 36%  
183 6% 27%  
184 8% 21%  
185 3% 14%  
186 4% 11%  
187 3% 7%  
188 1.2% 4%  
189 1.2% 3%  
190 0.7% 1.4%  
191 0.3% 0.7%  
192 0.2% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.6% 99.6%  
60 1.1% 99.1%  
61 2% 98%  
62 3% 96%  
63 5% 93%  
64 6% 88%  
65 7% 82%  
66 12% 75%  
67 10% 63%  
68 12% 52% Median
69 10% 41%  
70 8% 30%  
71 7% 22%  
72 7% 15%  
73 3% 8%  
74 2% 6%  
75 2% 4%  
76 0.8% 2%  
77 0.4% 0.9%  
78 0.3% 0.5%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.7% 99.9%  
15 2% 99.2%  
16 7% 97%  
17 13% 90%  
18 18% 77%  
19 17% 58% Median
20 19% 42%  
21 11% 22%  
22 6% 11% Last Result
23 3% 5%  
24 1.2% 2%  
25 0.4% 0.6%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 1.2% 99.8%  
13 4% 98.6%  
14 9% 94%  
15 18% 85% Last Result
16 22% 67% Median
17 18% 46%  
18 14% 27%  
19 7% 13%  
20 4% 6%  
21 1.4% 2%  
22 0.4% 0.6%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0.4% 99.7%  
9 3% 99.3%  
10 11% 97% Last Result
11 15% 86%  
12 22% 70% Median
13 23% 48%  
14 12% 25%  
15 9% 12%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.7% 0.9%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100%  
1 0% 50%  
2 0% 50%  
3 0% 50%  
4 0% 50%  
5 0% 50%  
6 0% 50%  
7 0% 50%  
8 13% 50% Median
9 22% 37% Last Result
10 11% 15%  
11 3% 5%  
12 0.8% 1.0%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 199 100% 193–205 191–206 190–208 188–211
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 180 100% 174–186 172–187 171–189 169–191
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 72 0% 66–79 65–80 64–81 61–84
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 68 0% 63–72 62–74 61–75 59–77

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0.1% 100%  
186 0.1% 99.9%  
187 0.2% 99.8%  
188 0.4% 99.6%  
189 0.7% 99.2%  
190 1.3% 98%  
191 2% 97%  
192 3% 95%  
193 4% 91%  
194 5% 87%  
195 6% 82%  
196 8% 76%  
197 7% 68%  
198 8% 61%  
199 9% 53% Median
200 6% 44%  
201 7% 38%  
202 7% 31%  
203 5% 23%  
204 7% 18%  
205 4% 11%  
206 3% 7%  
207 1.3% 4%  
208 1.1% 3%  
209 0.7% 2%  
210 0.5% 1.0%  
211 0.3% 0.5%  
212 0.1% 0.2%  
213 0.1% 0.1%  
214 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0.1% 100%  
167 0.1% 99.9%  
168 0.2% 99.8%  
169 0.4% 99.7%  
170 0.9% 99.3%  
171 1.3% 98%  
172 2% 97%  
173 2% 95%  
174 3% 92%  
175 6% 89%  
176 6% 83%  
177 8% 77%  
178 7% 69%  
179 9% 62%  
180 8% 53% Median
181 9% 45%  
182 9% 36%  
183 6% 27%  
184 8% 21%  
185 3% 14%  
186 4% 11%  
187 3% 7%  
188 1.2% 4%  
189 1.2% 3%  
190 0.7% 1.4%  
191 0.3% 0.7%  
192 0.2% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.8%  
62 0.7% 99.4%  
63 1.1% 98.8%  
64 2% 98%  
65 3% 96%  
66 4% 92%  
67 5% 89%  
68 8% 83%  
69 6% 75%  
70 5% 69%  
71 7% 64%  
72 9% 57%  
73 7% 48%  
74 5% 41%  
75 9% 36%  
76 6% 27% Median
77 5% 21%  
78 6% 16%  
79 4% 10%  
80 2% 6%  
81 2% 4%  
82 1.0% 2%  
83 0.6% 1.2%  
84 0.3% 0.6%  
85 0.1% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.6% 99.6%  
60 1.1% 99.1%  
61 2% 98%  
62 3% 96%  
63 5% 93%  
64 6% 88%  
65 7% 82%  
66 12% 75%  
67 10% 63%  
68 12% 52% Median
69 10% 41%  
70 8% 30%  
71 7% 22%  
72 7% 15%  
73 3% 8%  
74 2% 6%  
75 2% 4%  
76 0.8% 2%  
77 0.4% 0.9%  
78 0.3% 0.5%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations