Opinion Poll by Alco for Open TV, 5–10 May 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 46.2% | 44.2–48.2% | 43.6–48.8% | 43.1–49.3% | 42.2–50.3% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 26.1% | 24.4–27.9% | 23.9–28.5% | 23.5–28.9% | 22.7–29.8% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.0–8.1% | 4.6–8.7% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| Χρυσή Αυγή | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 175 | 169–181 | 167–182 | 165–185 | 162–188 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 73 | 65–78 | 63–79 | 62–80 | 60–82 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 18 | 16–21 | 15–23 | 14–23 | 13–25 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 17 | 15–20 | 14–21 | 14–22 | 12–24 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 12 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 9–16 | 0–17 |
| Χρυσή Αυγή | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 164 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 165 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 166 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 167 | 2% | 96% | |
| 168 | 3% | 94% | |
| 169 | 5% | 91% | |
| 170 | 3% | 86% | |
| 171 | 6% | 83% | |
| 172 | 6% | 77% | |
| 173 | 9% | 71% | |
| 174 | 8% | 62% | |
| 175 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 176 | 5% | 46% | |
| 177 | 13% | 41% | |
| 178 | 5% | 29% | |
| 179 | 8% | 24% | |
| 180 | 4% | 17% | |
| 181 | 4% | 13% | |
| 182 | 4% | 9% | |
| 183 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 184 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 185 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 186 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 2% | 97% | |
| 64 | 3% | 94% | |
| 65 | 5% | 92% | |
| 66 | 5% | 87% | |
| 67 | 4% | 83% | |
| 68 | 3% | 78% | |
| 69 | 5% | 75% | |
| 70 | 6% | 71% | |
| 71 | 8% | 65% | |
| 72 | 5% | 58% | |
| 73 | 9% | 53% | Median |
| 74 | 10% | 44% | |
| 75 | 10% | 34% | |
| 76 | 7% | 25% | |
| 77 | 5% | 17% | |
| 78 | 7% | 12% | |
| 79 | 2% | 6% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 15 | 5% | 97% | |
| 16 | 14% | 92% | |
| 17 | 16% | 78% | |
| 18 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 19 | 17% | 45% | |
| 20 | 11% | 28% | |
| 21 | 7% | 17% | |
| 22 | 5% | 10% | Last Result |
| 23 | 3% | 5% | |
| 24 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 1.5% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 4% | 98% | |
| 15 | 10% | 94% | Last Result |
| 16 | 15% | 84% | |
| 17 | 19% | 68% | Median |
| 18 | 16% | 49% | |
| 19 | 17% | 33% | |
| 20 | 8% | 16% | |
| 21 | 5% | 8% | |
| 22 | 2% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 9 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 10 | 13% | 94% | Last Result |
| 11 | 21% | 81% | |
| 12 | 18% | 60% | Median |
| 13 | 19% | 42% | |
| 14 | 13% | 23% | |
| 15 | 7% | 10% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Χρυσή Αυγή
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 61% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 39% | |
| 2 | 0% | 39% | |
| 3 | 0% | 39% | |
| 4 | 0% | 39% | |
| 5 | 0% | 39% | |
| 6 | 0% | 39% | |
| 7 | 0% | 39% | |
| 8 | 11% | 39% | |
| 9 | 17% | 28% | |
| 10 | 8% | 11% | |
| 11 | 2% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 83% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 17% | |
| 2 | 0% | 17% | |
| 3 | 0% | 17% | |
| 4 | 0% | 17% | |
| 5 | 0% | 17% | |
| 6 | 0% | 17% | |
| 7 | 0% | 17% | |
| 8 | 4% | 17% | |
| 9 | 8% | 12% | Last Result |
| 10 | 3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 194 | 100% | 187–200 | 185–203 | 184–204 | 180–208 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 175 | 100% | 169–181 | 167–182 | 165–185 | 162–188 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 74 | 0% | 66–79 | 65–81 | 63–83 | 61–86 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 73 | 0% | 65–78 | 63–79 | 62–80 | 60–82 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 182 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 184 | 3% | 98% | |
| 185 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 186 | 3% | 94% | |
| 187 | 4% | 91% | |
| 188 | 5% | 87% | |
| 189 | 5% | 83% | |
| 190 | 6% | 77% | |
| 191 | 6% | 71% | |
| 192 | 6% | 65% | |
| 193 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 194 | 14% | 52% | |
| 195 | 9% | 37% | |
| 196 | 3% | 28% | |
| 197 | 3% | 25% | |
| 198 | 5% | 22% | |
| 199 | 7% | 17% | |
| 200 | 3% | 10% | |
| 201 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 202 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 203 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 204 | 2% | 4% | |
| 205 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 208 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 164 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 165 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 166 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 167 | 2% | 96% | |
| 168 | 3% | 94% | |
| 169 | 5% | 91% | |
| 170 | 3% | 86% | |
| 171 | 6% | 83% | |
| 172 | 6% | 77% | |
| 173 | 9% | 71% | |
| 174 | 8% | 62% | |
| 175 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 176 | 5% | 46% | |
| 177 | 13% | 41% | |
| 178 | 5% | 29% | |
| 179 | 8% | 24% | |
| 180 | 4% | 17% | |
| 181 | 4% | 13% | |
| 182 | 4% | 9% | |
| 183 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 184 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 185 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 186 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 3% | 96% | |
| 66 | 3% | 93% | |
| 67 | 2% | 90% | |
| 68 | 2% | 88% | |
| 69 | 5% | 86% | |
| 70 | 6% | 81% | |
| 71 | 8% | 76% | |
| 72 | 5% | 68% | |
| 73 | 9% | 63% | Median |
| 74 | 11% | 54% | |
| 75 | 10% | 43% | |
| 76 | 8% | 33% | |
| 77 | 7% | 25% | |
| 78 | 7% | 18% | |
| 79 | 3% | 11% | |
| 80 | 2% | 8% | |
| 81 | 2% | 6% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 2% | 97% | |
| 64 | 3% | 94% | |
| 65 | 5% | 92% | |
| 66 | 5% | 87% | |
| 67 | 4% | 83% | |
| 68 | 3% | 78% | |
| 69 | 5% | 75% | |
| 70 | 6% | 71% | |
| 71 | 8% | 65% | |
| 72 | 5% | 58% | |
| 73 | 9% | 53% | Median |
| 74 | 10% | 44% | |
| 75 | 10% | 34% | |
| 76 | 7% | 25% | |
| 77 | 5% | 17% | |
| 78 | 7% | 12% | |
| 79 | 2% | 6% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Alco
- Commissioner(s): Open TV
- Fieldwork period: 5–10 May 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.17%