Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for MEGA TV, 22–27 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 49.6% 47.8–51.5% 47.2–52.0% 46.8–52.5% 45.9–53.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.7% 24.2–27.4% 23.7–27.9% 23.3–28.3% 22.6–29.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 6.3% 5.5–7.3% 5.3–7.6% 5.1–7.9% 4.7–8.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.7% 4.9–6.6% 4.7–6.9% 4.5–7.1% 4.1–7.6%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.2% 2.6–3.9% 2.4–4.1% 2.3–4.3% 2.1–4.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.1% 2.5–3.8% 2.4–4.0% 2.2–4.2% 2.0–4.6%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.2–3.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 185 178–191 177–194 176–195 173–199
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 65–75 64–76 63–78 61–80
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 17 15–20 14–21 14–21 13–23
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 13–18 13–19 12–19 11–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 9 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 8 0–10 0–11 0–11 0–12
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0 0 0 0–9

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0.2% 99.8%  
173 0.4% 99.6%  
174 0.6% 99.3%  
175 1.1% 98.6%  
176 2% 98%  
177 3% 95%  
178 3% 92%  
179 3% 89%  
180 4% 86%  
181 6% 82%  
182 8% 76%  
183 7% 68%  
184 9% 60%  
185 8% 52% Median
186 7% 44%  
187 4% 37%  
188 8% 33%  
189 5% 25%  
190 6% 20%  
191 4% 14%  
192 2% 10%  
193 1.4% 7%  
194 2% 6%  
195 1.3% 4%  
196 0.4% 2%  
197 1.0% 2%  
198 0.5% 1.0%  
199 0.2% 0.5%  
200 0.1% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.8%  
61 0.4% 99.6%  
62 1.2% 99.2%  
63 2% 98%  
64 3% 96%  
65 3% 93%  
66 8% 90%  
67 5% 82%  
68 12% 77%  
69 6% 65%  
70 14% 59% Median
71 7% 45%  
72 10% 37%  
73 5% 27%  
74 10% 22%  
75 2% 12%  
76 5% 9%  
77 1.3% 5%  
78 2% 3%  
79 0.7% 2%  
80 0.5% 0.9%  
81 0.1% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 1.2% 99.7%  
14 5% 98%  
15 10% 94%  
16 15% 84%  
17 21% 69% Median
18 19% 48%  
19 14% 28%  
20 7% 14%  
21 4% 7%  
22 2% 2% Last Result
23 0.6% 0.8%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.2%  
13 10% 96%  
14 16% 87%  
15 21% 71% Last Result
16 22% 50% Median
17 13% 29%  
18 8% 15%  
19 4% 7%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.6% 0.8%  
22 0.2% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 34% 100%  
1 0% 66%  
2 0% 66%  
3 0% 66%  
4 0% 66%  
5 0% 66%  
6 0% 66%  
7 0% 66%  
8 11% 66%  
9 28% 56% Median
10 17% 28% Last Result
11 8% 11%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.6% 0.7%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100%  
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0% 56%  
4 0% 56%  
5 0% 56%  
6 0% 56%  
7 0% 56%  
8 8% 56% Median
9 27% 49% Last Result
10 15% 22%  
11 5% 7%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.4% 0.4%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0% 2%  
7 0% 2%  
8 1.0% 2%  
9 0.7% 0.8%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 202 100% 195–209 194–212 193–214 190–217
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 185 100% 178–191 177–194 176–195 173–199
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 76 0% 69–82 67–83 66–85 63–87
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 0% 65–75 64–76 63–78 61–80

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 100%  
188 0.1% 99.9%  
189 0.2% 99.8%  
190 0.4% 99.6%  
191 0.8% 99.3%  
192 0.9% 98%  
193 2% 98%  
194 2% 95%  
195 4% 94%  
196 3% 90%  
197 5% 87%  
198 4% 82%  
199 8% 78%  
200 7% 70%  
201 7% 62%  
202 8% 56% Median
203 6% 48%  
204 7% 41%  
205 5% 35%  
206 7% 29%  
207 6% 23%  
208 3% 17%  
209 4% 13%  
210 2% 9%  
211 2% 7%  
212 0.9% 5%  
213 2% 4%  
214 0.8% 3%  
215 0.6% 2%  
216 0.6% 1.1%  
217 0.2% 0.5%  
218 0.2% 0.4%  
219 0.1% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0.2% 99.8%  
173 0.4% 99.6%  
174 0.6% 99.3%  
175 1.1% 98.6%  
176 2% 98%  
177 3% 95%  
178 3% 92%  
179 3% 89%  
180 4% 86%  
181 6% 82%  
182 8% 76%  
183 7% 68%  
184 9% 60%  
185 8% 52% Median
186 7% 44%  
187 4% 37%  
188 8% 33%  
189 5% 25%  
190 6% 20%  
191 4% 14%  
192 2% 10%  
193 1.4% 7%  
194 2% 6%  
195 1.3% 4%  
196 0.4% 2%  
197 1.0% 2%  
198 0.5% 1.0%  
199 0.2% 0.5%  
200 0.1% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.5% 99.8%  
64 0.2% 99.4%  
65 1.1% 99.2%  
66 0.8% 98%  
67 3% 97%  
68 2% 95%  
69 4% 93%  
70 5% 89%  
71 6% 83%  
72 6% 78%  
73 5% 71%  
74 9% 66%  
75 6% 57%  
76 7% 51%  
77 8% 43%  
78 8% 35% Median
79 5% 28%  
80 6% 22%  
81 5% 17%  
82 3% 12%  
83 4% 8%  
84 2% 5%  
85 1.4% 3%  
86 0.7% 2%  
87 0.4% 0.9%  
88 0.3% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.8%  
61 0.4% 99.6%  
62 1.2% 99.2%  
63 2% 98%  
64 3% 96%  
65 3% 93%  
66 8% 90%  
67 5% 82%  
68 12% 77%  
69 6% 65%  
70 14% 59% Median
71 7% 45%  
72 10% 37%  
73 5% 27%  
74 10% 22%  
75 2% 12%  
76 5% 9%  
77 1.3% 5%  
78 2% 3%  
79 0.7% 2%  
80 0.5% 0.9%  
81 0.1% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations