Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 1–3 June 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 48.0% | 46.2–49.9% | 45.6–50.4% | 45.2–50.8% | 44.3–51.7% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 26.0% | 24.4–27.7% | 24.0–28.1% | 23.6–28.5% | 22.8–29.4% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7–7.5% | 5.5–7.8% | 5.3–8.1% | 4.9–8.6% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.4% | 4.5–6.7% | 4.3–6.9% | 4.0–7.4% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.2% | 2.7–5.7% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.6–4.7% | 2.3–5.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 178 | 174–184 | 172–186 | 171–188 | 168–190 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 70 | 65–74 | 64–76 | 63–77 | 61–80 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 18 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 13–23 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 11 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 0–15 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 9 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–14 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 170 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 171 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 172 | 4% | 97% | |
| 173 | 3% | 93% | |
| 174 | 8% | 90% | |
| 175 | 4% | 83% | |
| 176 | 12% | 79% | |
| 177 | 5% | 67% | |
| 178 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 179 | 6% | 49% | |
| 180 | 13% | 43% | |
| 181 | 4% | 30% | |
| 182 | 9% | 26% | |
| 183 | 3% | 17% | |
| 184 | 5% | 14% | |
| 185 | 2% | 9% | |
| 186 | 3% | 7% | |
| 187 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 188 | 2% | 3% | |
| 189 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 5% | 94% | |
| 66 | 7% | 89% | |
| 67 | 8% | 82% | |
| 68 | 10% | 74% | |
| 69 | 10% | 64% | |
| 70 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 71 | 13% | 43% | |
| 72 | 9% | 30% | |
| 73 | 6% | 21% | |
| 74 | 5% | 14% | |
| 75 | 4% | 10% | |
| 76 | 3% | 6% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 15 | 8% | 96% | |
| 16 | 15% | 87% | |
| 17 | 19% | 73% | |
| 18 | 21% | 54% | Median |
| 19 | 15% | 33% | |
| 20 | 10% | 18% | |
| 21 | 5% | 8% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 7% | 98% | |
| 13 | 14% | 91% | |
| 14 | 21% | 77% | |
| 15 | 22% | 56% | Last Result, Median |
| 16 | 16% | 34% | |
| 17 | 10% | 18% | |
| 18 | 5% | 7% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 3% | 98% | |
| 9 | 14% | 95% | |
| 10 | 23% | 81% | Last Result |
| 11 | 26% | 58% | Median |
| 12 | 18% | 32% | |
| 13 | 9% | 14% | |
| 14 | 4% | 5% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 84% | |
| 2 | 0% | 84% | |
| 3 | 0% | 84% | |
| 4 | 0% | 84% | |
| 5 | 0% | 84% | |
| 6 | 0% | 84% | |
| 7 | 0% | 84% | |
| 8 | 10% | 84% | |
| 9 | 27% | 74% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 24% | 47% | |
| 11 | 15% | 23% | |
| 12 | 6% | 8% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 196 | 100% | 191–202 | 190–204 | 188–206 | 186–209 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 178 | 100% | 174–184 | 172–186 | 171–188 | 168–190 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 79 | 0% | 72–83 | 70–85 | 69–86 | 66–88 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 70 | 0% | 65–74 | 64–76 | 63–77 | 61–80 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 187 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 188 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 189 | 2% | 97% | |
| 190 | 3% | 96% | |
| 191 | 5% | 92% | |
| 192 | 6% | 88% | |
| 193 | 7% | 82% | |
| 194 | 9% | 75% | |
| 195 | 9% | 66% | |
| 196 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 197 | 9% | 47% | |
| 198 | 8% | 38% | |
| 199 | 7% | 30% | |
| 200 | 6% | 23% | |
| 201 | 5% | 17% | |
| 202 | 3% | 13% | |
| 203 | 3% | 9% | |
| 204 | 2% | 6% | |
| 205 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 206 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 207 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 208 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 209 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 210 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 170 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 171 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 172 | 4% | 97% | |
| 173 | 3% | 93% | |
| 174 | 8% | 90% | |
| 175 | 4% | 83% | |
| 176 | 12% | 79% | |
| 177 | 5% | 67% | |
| 178 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 179 | 6% | 49% | |
| 180 | 13% | 43% | |
| 181 | 4% | 30% | |
| 182 | 9% | 26% | |
| 183 | 3% | 17% | |
| 184 | 5% | 14% | |
| 185 | 2% | 9% | |
| 186 | 3% | 7% | |
| 187 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 188 | 2% | 3% | |
| 189 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 3% | 94% | |
| 72 | 3% | 91% | |
| 73 | 3% | 89% | |
| 74 | 6% | 86% | |
| 75 | 8% | 80% | |
| 76 | 7% | 73% | |
| 77 | 6% | 66% | |
| 78 | 8% | 60% | |
| 79 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 80 | 12% | 39% | |
| 81 | 7% | 27% | |
| 82 | 4% | 20% | |
| 83 | 6% | 15% | |
| 84 | 4% | 10% | |
| 85 | 3% | 5% | |
| 86 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 5% | 94% | |
| 66 | 7% | 89% | |
| 67 | 8% | 82% | |
| 68 | 10% | 74% | |
| 69 | 10% | 64% | |
| 70 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 71 | 13% | 43% | |
| 72 | 9% | 30% | |
| 73 | 6% | 21% | |
| 74 | 5% | 14% | |
| 75 | 4% | 10% | |
| 76 | 3% | 6% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Pulse RC
- Commissioner(s): ΣΚΑΪ
- Fieldwork period: 1–3 June 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1208
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.35%