Opinion Poll by MRB for Star, 17–25 June 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 46.2% | 44.8–47.6% | 44.4–47.9% | 44.1–48.3% | 43.5–48.9% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 25.2% | 24.0–26.4% | 23.7–26.7% | 23.4–27.0% | 22.9–27.6% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9–8.4% | 6.7–8.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.2–9.2% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.8–7.4% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.7–5.2% | 3.6–5.4% | 3.4–5.7% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7–3.7% | 2.6–3.9% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.3–4.3% |
| Χρυσή Αυγή | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4–2.1% | 1.3–2.2% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 175 | 171–180 | 170–182 | 169–183 | 167–185 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 68 | 65–72 | 64–73 | 63–74 | 62–76 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 21 | 19–23 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 16 | 15–18 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 13–20 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–15 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 9 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–11 |
| Χρυσή Αυγή | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 168 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 169 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 170 | 3% | 97% | |
| 171 | 4% | 94% | |
| 172 | 8% | 90% | |
| 173 | 9% | 82% | |
| 174 | 12% | 73% | |
| 175 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 176 | 11% | 49% | |
| 177 | 10% | 38% | |
| 178 | 8% | 28% | |
| 179 | 6% | 20% | |
| 180 | 5% | 14% | |
| 181 | 4% | 9% | |
| 182 | 3% | 6% | |
| 183 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 184 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 185 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 4% | 97% | |
| 65 | 6% | 93% | |
| 66 | 11% | 87% | |
| 67 | 12% | 76% | |
| 68 | 15% | 64% | Median |
| 69 | 13% | 49% | |
| 70 | 12% | 35% | |
| 71 | 9% | 24% | |
| 72 | 6% | 15% | |
| 73 | 4% | 8% | |
| 74 | 3% | 4% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 6% | 98.7% | |
| 19 | 15% | 93% | |
| 20 | 19% | 78% | |
| 21 | 28% | 59% | Median |
| 22 | 19% | 31% | Last Result |
| 23 | 8% | 12% | |
| 24 | 3% | 4% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 6% | 98.8% | |
| 15 | 20% | 92% | Last Result |
| 16 | 28% | 73% | Median |
| 17 | 22% | 45% | |
| 18 | 15% | 23% | |
| 19 | 6% | 8% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 10 | 8% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 11 | 20% | 91% | |
| 12 | 34% | 70% | Median |
| 13 | 24% | 36% | |
| 14 | 10% | 13% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 29% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 71% | |
| 2 | 0% | 71% | |
| 3 | 0% | 71% | |
| 4 | 0% | 71% | |
| 5 | 0% | 71% | |
| 6 | 0% | 71% | |
| 7 | 0% | 71% | |
| 8 | 14% | 71% | |
| 9 | 36% | 57% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 16% | 20% | |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Χρυσή Αυγή
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 196 | 100% | 192–202 | 191–203 | 190–204 | 188–206 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 175 | 100% | 171–180 | 170–182 | 169–183 | 167–185 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 76 | 0% | 69–80 | 68–81 | 67–82 | 65–83 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 68 | 0% | 65–72 | 64–73 | 63–74 | 62–76 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0% | 100% | |
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0% | 100% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 188 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 189 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 190 | 2% | 98% | |
| 191 | 4% | 96% | |
| 192 | 5% | 92% | |
| 193 | 9% | 87% | |
| 194 | 9% | 78% | |
| 195 | 13% | 69% | |
| 196 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 197 | 11% | 46% | |
| 198 | 8% | 36% | |
| 199 | 7% | 27% | |
| 200 | 6% | 20% | |
| 201 | 4% | 14% | |
| 202 | 4% | 10% | |
| 203 | 3% | 6% | |
| 204 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 205 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 206 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 168 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 169 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 170 | 3% | 97% | |
| 171 | 4% | 94% | |
| 172 | 8% | 90% | |
| 173 | 9% | 82% | |
| 174 | 12% | 73% | |
| 175 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 176 | 11% | 49% | |
| 177 | 10% | 38% | |
| 178 | 8% | 28% | |
| 179 | 6% | 20% | |
| 180 | 5% | 14% | |
| 181 | 4% | 9% | |
| 182 | 3% | 6% | |
| 183 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 184 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 185 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 4% | 94% | |
| 70 | 5% | 90% | |
| 71 | 5% | 85% | |
| 72 | 6% | 80% | |
| 73 | 5% | 74% | |
| 74 | 9% | 69% | |
| 75 | 10% | 60% | |
| 76 | 11% | 51% | |
| 77 | 12% | 39% | Median |
| 78 | 8% | 27% | |
| 79 | 8% | 19% | |
| 80 | 6% | 12% | |
| 81 | 3% | 5% | |
| 82 | 2% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 4% | 97% | |
| 65 | 6% | 93% | |
| 66 | 11% | 87% | |
| 67 | 12% | 76% | |
| 68 | 15% | 64% | Median |
| 69 | 13% | 49% | |
| 70 | 12% | 35% | |
| 71 | 9% | 24% | |
| 72 | 6% | 15% | |
| 73 | 4% | 8% | |
| 74 | 3% | 4% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: MRB
- Commissioner(s): Star
- Fieldwork period: 17–25 June 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 2200
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.46%