Opinion Poll by Prorata, 22–26 June 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 46.0% 44.6–47.4% 44.2–47.8% 43.9–48.1% 43.3–48.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.5% 27.3–29.8% 26.9–30.1% 26.6–30.4% 26.1–31.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 6.0% 5.4–6.7% 5.2–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.8–7.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.0% 4.5–5.7% 4.3–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 3.9–6.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.5% 3.0–4.1% 2.9–4.2% 2.8–4.4% 2.6–4.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.0% 2.6–3.5% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 1.0% 0.8–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 177 172–182 171–183 170–185 168–188
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 79 75–83 74–84 73–85 71–87
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 17 15–19 14–19 14–20 13–21
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 14 12–16 12–16 11–17 11–18
Ελληνική Λύση 10 10 8–11 0–12 0–12 0–13
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 8 0–10 0–10 0–10 0–11
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0.1% 100%  
167 0.2% 99.9%  
168 0.4% 99.7%  
169 1.0% 99.2%  
170 2% 98%  
171 4% 96%  
172 5% 92%  
173 7% 87%  
174 10% 80%  
175 9% 69%  
176 9% 60%  
177 9% 51% Median
178 7% 43%  
179 7% 35%  
180 8% 28%  
181 7% 20%  
182 6% 14%  
183 4% 8%  
184 2% 4%  
185 1.1% 3%  
186 0.6% 2%  
187 0.6% 1.2%  
188 0.2% 0.5%  
189 0.2% 0.3%  
190 0.1% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.4% 99.8%  
72 1.2% 99.3%  
73 2% 98%  
74 4% 96%  
75 7% 92%  
76 8% 85%  
77 12% 76%  
78 11% 64%  
79 14% 53% Median
80 12% 39%  
81 10% 27%  
82 6% 17%  
83 5% 11%  
84 3% 6%  
85 2% 3%  
86 1.0% 2% Last Result
87 0.3% 0.6%  
88 0.2% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.9% 99.9%  
14 6% 99.0%  
15 14% 93%  
16 27% 79%  
17 25% 51% Median
18 16% 27%  
19 8% 11%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.5% 0.6%  
22 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
23 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 3% 99.7%  
12 11% 97%  
13 25% 86%  
14 30% 61% Median
15 20% 31% Last Result
16 8% 11%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.4% 0.5%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 4% 92%  
9 30% 88%  
10 34% 58% Last Result, Median
11 17% 24%  
12 5% 6%  
13 0.9% 1.0%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100%  
1 0% 53%  
2 0% 53%  
3 0% 53%  
4 0% 53%  
5 0% 53%  
6 0% 53%  
7 0% 53%  
8 13% 53% Median
9 29% 40% Last Result
10 10% 11%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 193 100% 188–199 187–200 186–202 184–205
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 177 100% 172–182 171–183 170–185 168–188
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 83 0% 78–89 77–90 76–91 74–94
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 79 0% 75–83 74–84 73–85 71–87

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0% 100%  
182 0.1% 100%  
183 0.2% 99.9%  
184 0.4% 99.8%  
185 1.1% 99.4%  
186 1.3% 98%  
187 4% 97%  
188 4% 93%  
189 8% 89%  
190 8% 81%  
191 8% 74%  
192 7% 66%  
193 9% 58%  
194 9% 49% Median
195 9% 40%  
196 5% 32%  
197 8% 27%  
198 6% 19%  
199 6% 12%  
200 2% 7%  
201 2% 5%  
202 1.0% 3%  
203 0.7% 2%  
204 0.4% 1.2%  
205 0.4% 0.8%  
206 0.1% 0.3%  
207 0.1% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0.1% 100%  
167 0.2% 99.9%  
168 0.4% 99.7%  
169 1.0% 99.2%  
170 2% 98%  
171 4% 96%  
172 5% 92%  
173 7% 87%  
174 10% 80%  
175 9% 69%  
176 9% 60%  
177 9% 51% Median
178 7% 43%  
179 7% 35%  
180 8% 28%  
181 7% 20%  
182 6% 14%  
183 4% 8%  
184 2% 4%  
185 1.1% 3%  
186 0.6% 2%  
187 0.6% 1.2%  
188 0.2% 0.5%  
189 0.2% 0.3%  
190 0.1% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.4% 99.7%  
75 1.2% 99.3%  
76 2% 98%  
77 4% 96%  
78 5% 92%  
79 7% 87%  
80 8% 80%  
81 8% 72%  
82 6% 64%  
83 8% 58%  
84 7% 50%  
85 7% 43%  
86 10% 35%  
87 8% 26% Median
88 5% 18%  
89 6% 13%  
90 3% 7%  
91 2% 4%  
92 0.8% 2%  
93 0.4% 0.9%  
94 0.3% 0.5%  
95 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.4% 99.8%  
72 1.2% 99.3%  
73 2% 98%  
74 4% 96%  
75 7% 92%  
76 8% 85%  
77 12% 76%  
78 11% 64%  
79 14% 53% Median
80 12% 39%  
81 10% 27%  
82 6% 17%  
83 5% 11%  
84 3% 6%  
85 2% 3%  
86 1.0% 2% Last Result
87 0.3% 0.6%  
88 0.2% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations