Opinion Poll by Marc, 1–2 July 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 52.2% 50.8–53.6% 50.4–54.0% 50.0–54.4% 49.3–55.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.5% 24.3–26.8% 23.9–27.1% 23.6–27.5% 23.1–28.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.1–8.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.6–8.6%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.0% 5.4–6.7% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.8–7.5%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.4% 3.9–5.0% 3.7–5.2% 3.6–5.4% 3.3–5.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 2.5% 2.1–3.0% 2.0–3.2% 1.9–3.3% 1.7–3.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 187 183–191 181–192 180–192 178–194
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 67 63–70 62–71 62–72 60–74
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 18 17–20 16–21 16–21 15–22
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–18 14–18 13–19 12–20
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–13 10–14 9–14 9–15
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 0 0 0–8 0–8 0–9

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.2% 99.8%  
178 0.6% 99.7%  
179 1.1% 99.1%  
180 1.4% 98%  
181 2% 97%  
182 4% 94%  
183 7% 90%  
184 8% 83%  
185 11% 75%  
186 12% 64%  
187 13% 52% Median
188 12% 39%  
189 10% 27%  
190 7% 17%  
191 5% 10%  
192 3% 6%  
193 1.5% 2%  
194 0.6% 1.0%  
195 0.2% 0.4%  
196 0.1% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 0.6% 99.8%  
61 1.4% 99.2%  
62 3% 98%  
63 5% 95%  
64 9% 89%  
65 12% 80%  
66 14% 69%  
67 15% 55% Median
68 14% 40%  
69 11% 26%  
70 7% 15%  
71 4% 8%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.9% 1.4%  
74 0.3% 0.5%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.3% 100%  
15 2% 99.7%  
16 7% 98%  
17 18% 90%  
18 25% 72% Median
19 23% 47%  
20 15% 24%  
21 6% 9%  
22 2% 2% Last Result
23 0.4% 0.5%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.6% 100%  
13 4% 99.4%  
14 14% 96%  
15 26% 82% Last Result
16 25% 56% Median
17 19% 31%  
18 9% 12%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.5% 0.6%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 3% 99.7%  
10 15% 97% Last Result
11 28% 82%  
12 30% 54% Median
13 16% 23%  
14 5% 7%  
15 1.1% 1.3%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Median
1 0% 10%  
2 0% 10%  
3 0% 10%  
4 0% 10%  
5 0% 10%  
6 0% 10%  
7 0% 10%  
8 8% 10%  
9 2% 2% Last Result
10 0.1% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 205 100% 201–209 199–210 198–211 196–213
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 187 100% 183–191 181–192 180–192 178–194
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 67 0% 64–72 63–73 62–75 61–77
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 67 0% 63–70 62–71 62–72 60–74

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 100%  
188 0% 100%  
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 100%  
194 0.1% 99.9%  
195 0.3% 99.9%  
196 0.5% 99.6%  
197 0.8% 99.1%  
198 1.2% 98%  
199 2% 97%  
200 3% 95%  
201 5% 92%  
202 8% 87%  
203 10% 79%  
204 11% 69%  
205 13% 58% Median
206 13% 45%  
207 12% 32%  
208 8% 21%  
209 6% 13%  
210 4% 7%  
211 2% 3%  
212 0.7% 1.2%  
213 0.4% 0.5%  
214 0.1% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.2% 99.8%  
178 0.6% 99.7%  
179 1.1% 99.1%  
180 1.4% 98%  
181 2% 97%  
182 4% 94%  
183 7% 90%  
184 8% 83%  
185 11% 75%  
186 12% 64%  
187 13% 52% Median
188 12% 39%  
189 10% 27%  
190 7% 17%  
191 5% 10%  
192 3% 6%  
193 1.5% 2%  
194 0.6% 1.0%  
195 0.2% 0.4%  
196 0.1% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.3% 99.9%  
61 0.9% 99.6%  
62 2% 98.7%  
63 4% 97%  
64 7% 92%  
65 10% 85%  
66 12% 75%  
67 14% 62% Median
68 14% 48%  
69 11% 35%  
70 8% 24%  
71 5% 16%  
72 4% 11%  
73 3% 7%  
74 2% 5%  
75 1.2% 3%  
76 0.8% 2%  
77 0.4% 0.8%  
78 0.2% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 0.6% 99.8%  
61 1.4% 99.2%  
62 3% 98%  
63 5% 95%  
64 9% 89%  
65 12% 80%  
66 14% 69%  
67 15% 55% Median
68 14% 40%  
69 11% 26%  
70 7% 15%  
71 4% 8%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.9% 1.4%  
74 0.3% 0.5%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations