Opinion Poll by Marc for Αlpha TV, 10–13 July 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 50.1% 48.1–52.1% 47.5–52.7% 47.0–53.2% 46.1–54.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 24.6% 22.9–26.4% 22.5–26.9% 22.1–27.4% 21.3–28.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 6.9% 5.9–8.0% 5.7–8.3% 5.5–8.6% 5.0–9.2%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.1–5.5% 2.8–6.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.7%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 1.2% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.5–2.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 186 180–191 178–193 177–194 174–197
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 67 62–72 61–73 60–74 58–77
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 19 16–22 15–22 15–23 14–25
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–19 13–20 13–21 12–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 9–14 9–14 8–15 0–16
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 0 0 0–8 0–9 0–10
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.3% 99.7%  
175 0.4% 99.5%  
176 0.7% 99.1%  
177 1.0% 98%  
178 3% 97%  
179 2% 95%  
180 4% 93%  
181 4% 89%  
182 9% 85%  
183 4% 76%  
184 10% 73%  
185 8% 63%  
186 11% 55% Median
187 9% 44%  
188 8% 35%  
189 9% 27%  
190 3% 18%  
191 6% 16%  
192 3% 9%  
193 3% 6%  
194 1.3% 4%  
195 1.2% 2%  
196 0.3% 1.1%  
197 0.3% 0.8%  
198 0.2% 0.5%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0.1% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.3% 99.8%  
58 0.5% 99.5%  
59 0.9% 99.0%  
60 2% 98%  
61 3% 96%  
62 5% 93%  
63 6% 89%  
64 7% 83%  
65 11% 75%  
66 10% 64%  
67 11% 53% Median
68 10% 42%  
69 8% 32%  
70 8% 24%  
71 5% 16%  
72 5% 11%  
73 2% 6%  
74 2% 4%  
75 0.9% 2%  
76 0.5% 1.1%  
77 0.3% 0.5%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.3% 100%  
14 1.2% 99.7%  
15 4% 98%  
16 8% 94%  
17 15% 87%  
18 16% 71%  
19 19% 55% Median
20 14% 36%  
21 11% 22%  
22 6% 11% Last Result
23 3% 5%  
24 1.1% 2%  
25 0.5% 0.8%  
26 0.2% 0.2%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 1.5% 99.7%  
13 5% 98%  
14 9% 94%  
15 18% 84% Last Result
16 20% 67% Median
17 17% 47%  
18 14% 30%  
19 9% 16%  
20 4% 7%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.7% 1.0%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 1.0% 98%  
9 8% 97%  
10 18% 89% Last Result
11 29% 71% Median
12 18% 41%  
13 11% 23%  
14 8% 12%  
15 3% 4%  
16 0.8% 1.1%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 0% 9%  
5 0% 9%  
6 0% 9%  
7 0% 9%  
8 4% 9%  
9 3% 4% Last Result
10 0.8% 1.0%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 205 100% 199–210 197–212 196–213 193–216
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 186 100% 180–191 178–193 177–194 174–197
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 67 0% 63–73 61–74 60–76 58–79
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 67 0% 62–72 61–73 60–74 58–77

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 100%  
188 0% 100%  
189 0% 100%  
190 0.1% 100%  
191 0.1% 99.9%  
192 0.2% 99.8%  
193 0.3% 99.7%  
194 0.5% 99.4%  
195 0.8% 98.9%  
196 1.2% 98%  
197 2% 97%  
198 2% 95%  
199 4% 93%  
200 5% 89%  
201 6% 84%  
202 7% 78%  
203 9% 70%  
204 10% 61%  
205 8% 52% Median
206 9% 43%  
207 10% 34%  
208 6% 25%  
209 7% 19%  
210 3% 12%  
211 3% 9%  
212 2% 6%  
213 2% 4%  
214 1.0% 2%  
215 0.5% 1.1%  
216 0.2% 0.6%  
217 0.2% 0.4%  
218 0.1% 0.2%  
219 0.1% 0.2%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.3% 99.7%  
175 0.4% 99.5%  
176 0.7% 99.1%  
177 1.0% 98%  
178 3% 97%  
179 2% 95%  
180 4% 93%  
181 4% 89%  
182 9% 85%  
183 4% 76%  
184 10% 73%  
185 8% 63%  
186 11% 55% Median
187 9% 44%  
188 8% 35%  
189 9% 27%  
190 3% 18%  
191 6% 16%  
192 3% 9%  
193 3% 6%  
194 1.3% 4%  
195 1.2% 2%  
196 0.3% 1.1%  
197 0.3% 0.8%  
198 0.2% 0.5%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0.1% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.4% 99.7%  
59 0.7% 99.3%  
60 1.5% 98.5%  
61 2% 97%  
62 4% 95%  
63 5% 91%  
64 7% 86%  
65 10% 79%  
66 10% 69%  
67 11% 59% Median
68 10% 49%  
69 9% 39%  
70 8% 30%  
71 6% 22%  
72 5% 17%  
73 4% 11%  
74 3% 8%  
75 2% 5%  
76 1.1% 3%  
77 0.8% 2%  
78 0.7% 1.5%  
79 0.3% 0.7%  
80 0.2% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.3% 99.8%  
58 0.5% 99.5%  
59 0.9% 99.0%  
60 2% 98%  
61 3% 96%  
62 5% 93%  
63 6% 89%  
64 7% 83%  
65 11% 75%  
66 10% 64%  
67 11% 53% Median
68 10% 42%  
69 8% 32%  
70 8% 24%  
71 5% 16%  
72 5% 11%  
73 2% 6%  
74 2% 4%  
75 0.9% 2%  
76 0.5% 1.1%  
77 0.3% 0.5%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations