Opinion Poll by GPO for Action24, 26–28 October 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 45.6% 43.6–47.6% 43.0–48.2% 42.5–48.7% 41.6–49.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.1% 26.3–30.0% 25.8–30.5% 25.4–31.0% 24.6–31.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.7–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.6%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.5%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 171 165–177 163–179 162–181 159–184
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 70–80 68–82 67–83 65–86
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 22 19–25 18–26 18–27 17–29
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 14–20 14–21 13–21 12–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 10 8–12 0–13 0–13 0–15
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 8 0–10 0–11 0–11 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0% 100%  
157 0.1% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
159 0.3% 99.7%  
160 0.5% 99.5%  
161 0.8% 99.0%  
162 1.3% 98%  
163 2% 97%  
164 3% 95%  
165 4% 92%  
166 5% 88%  
167 6% 83%  
168 7% 77%  
169 7% 70%  
170 9% 62%  
171 8% 53% Median
172 8% 45%  
173 7% 37%  
174 6% 29%  
175 6% 23%  
176 4% 18%  
177 3% 13%  
178 3% 10%  
179 2% 7%  
180 2% 5%  
181 1.2% 3%  
182 1.0% 2%  
183 0.5% 1.2%  
184 0.3% 0.7%  
185 0.2% 0.4%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0.1% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.5% 99.6%  
66 1.0% 99.1%  
67 2% 98%  
68 2% 96%  
69 4% 94%  
70 5% 90%  
71 7% 85%  
72 8% 79%  
73 9% 70%  
74 10% 61%  
75 10% 52% Median
76 9% 42%  
77 8% 33%  
78 8% 25%  
79 5% 17%  
80 4% 12%  
81 3% 8%  
82 2% 5%  
83 1.3% 3%  
84 0.8% 2%  
85 0.4% 1.0%  
86 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.3% 99.9%  
17 1.2% 99.6%  
18 3% 98%  
19 7% 95%  
20 12% 88%  
21 15% 76%  
22 17% 61% Last Result, Median
23 16% 44%  
24 12% 28%  
25 8% 17%  
26 5% 9%  
27 2% 4%  
28 1.2% 2%  
29 0.5% 0.7%  
30 0.2% 0.2%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.9% 99.8%  
13 3% 99.0%  
14 7% 96%  
15 13% 88% Last Result
16 18% 75%  
17 19% 57% Median
18 15% 38%  
19 11% 22%  
20 6% 11%  
21 3% 5%  
22 1.3% 2%  
23 0.5% 0.7%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0% 91%  
4 0% 91%  
5 0% 91%  
6 0% 91%  
7 0% 91%  
8 8% 91%  
9 21% 83%  
10 25% 62% Last Result, Median
11 18% 36%  
12 11% 18%  
13 5% 7%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.5% 0.6%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100%  
1 0% 61%  
2 0% 61%  
3 0% 61%  
4 0% 61%  
5 0% 61%  
6 0% 61%  
7 0% 61%  
8 17% 61% Median
9 23% 44% Last Result
10 14% 22%  
11 6% 8%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.5% 0.6%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 193 100% 187–200 185–202 184–204 181–207
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 171 100% 165–177 163–179 162–181 159–184
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 81 0% 74–87 72–88 71–90 68–93
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 0% 70–80 68–82 67–83 65–86

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
178 0% 100%  
179 0.1% 99.9%  
180 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
181 0.3% 99.7%  
182 0.5% 99.4%  
183 0.9% 98.9%  
184 1.3% 98%  
185 2% 97%  
186 3% 95%  
187 4% 92%  
188 5% 88%  
189 6% 83%  
190 6% 77%  
191 9% 70%  
192 7% 62%  
193 8% 55% Median
194 8% 47%  
195 6% 39%  
196 6% 32%  
197 6% 26%  
198 5% 20%  
199 4% 15%  
200 3% 11%  
201 3% 8%  
202 2% 6%  
203 1.4% 4%  
204 1.0% 3%  
205 0.6% 2%  
206 0.5% 1.3%  
207 0.3% 0.8%  
208 0.2% 0.4%  
209 0.2% 0.3%  
210 0.1% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0% 100%  
157 0.1% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
159 0.3% 99.7%  
160 0.5% 99.5%  
161 0.8% 99.0%  
162 1.3% 98%  
163 2% 97%  
164 3% 95%  
165 4% 92%  
166 5% 88%  
167 6% 83%  
168 7% 77%  
169 7% 70%  
170 9% 62%  
171 8% 53% Median
172 8% 45%  
173 7% 37%  
174 6% 29%  
175 6% 23%  
176 4% 18%  
177 3% 13%  
178 3% 10%  
179 2% 7%  
180 2% 5%  
181 1.2% 3%  
182 1.0% 2%  
183 0.5% 1.2%  
184 0.3% 0.7%  
185 0.2% 0.4%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0.1% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.3% 99.6%  
69 0.6% 99.3%  
70 1.0% 98.7%  
71 2% 98%  
72 2% 96%  
73 3% 94%  
74 4% 91%  
75 5% 87%  
76 5% 83%  
77 6% 78%  
78 7% 72%  
79 7% 65%  
80 8% 58%  
81 8% 50%  
82 8% 42%  
83 7% 35% Median
84 7% 28%  
85 6% 21%  
86 5% 15%  
87 3% 11%  
88 3% 7%  
89 2% 4%  
90 1.0% 3%  
91 0.7% 2%  
92 0.4% 1.0%  
93 0.3% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.5% 99.6%  
66 1.0% 99.1%  
67 2% 98%  
68 2% 96%  
69 4% 94%  
70 5% 90%  
71 7% 85%  
72 8% 79%  
73 9% 70%  
74 10% 61%  
75 10% 52% Median
76 9% 42%  
77 8% 33%  
78 8% 25%  
79 5% 17%  
80 4% 12%  
81 3% 8%  
82 2% 5%  
83 1.3% 3%  
84 0.8% 2%  
85 0.4% 1.0%  
86 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations