Opinion Poll by Alco for Open TV, 6–11 November 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 43.4% | 41.4–45.4% | 40.8–46.0% | 40.3–46.5% | 39.4–47.5% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 25.9% | 24.2–27.7% | 23.7–28.3% | 23.3–28.7% | 22.5–29.6% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.7–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–9.0% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| Χρυσή Αυγή | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 168 | 163–176 | 161–178 | 160–180 | 157–183 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 71 | 66–77 | 65–78 | 64–79 | 61–82 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 23 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 19–28 | 17–30 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 18 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 14–23 | 13–25 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 10 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 | 0–15 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 10 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–15 |
| Χρυσή Αυγή | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 159 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 160 | 2% | 98% | |
| 161 | 2% | 96% | |
| 162 | 4% | 94% | |
| 163 | 3% | 90% | |
| 164 | 6% | 87% | |
| 165 | 5% | 82% | |
| 166 | 10% | 77% | |
| 167 | 10% | 67% | |
| 168 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 169 | 7% | 50% | |
| 170 | 7% | 43% | |
| 171 | 6% | 36% | |
| 172 | 5% | 30% | |
| 173 | 5% | 26% | |
| 174 | 4% | 20% | |
| 175 | 4% | 16% | |
| 176 | 3% | 11% | |
| 177 | 2% | 8% | |
| 178 | 2% | 6% | |
| 179 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 180 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 181 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 96% | |
| 66 | 4% | 93% | |
| 67 | 5% | 90% | |
| 68 | 8% | 85% | |
| 69 | 8% | 77% | |
| 70 | 8% | 69% | |
| 71 | 11% | 61% | Median |
| 72 | 12% | 50% | |
| 73 | 6% | 38% | |
| 74 | 7% | 32% | |
| 75 | 6% | 25% | |
| 76 | 6% | 18% | |
| 77 | 5% | 12% | |
| 78 | 3% | 7% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 19 | 4% | 98% | |
| 20 | 9% | 94% | |
| 21 | 10% | 85% | |
| 22 | 15% | 75% | Last Result |
| 23 | 13% | 60% | Median |
| 24 | 15% | 46% | |
| 25 | 14% | 32% | |
| 26 | 9% | 18% | |
| 27 | 5% | 9% | |
| 28 | 3% | 4% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 15 | 5% | 97% | Last Result |
| 16 | 10% | 93% | |
| 17 | 14% | 82% | |
| 18 | 21% | 68% | Median |
| 19 | 15% | 48% | |
| 20 | 13% | 32% | |
| 21 | 9% | 20% | |
| 22 | 5% | 11% | |
| 23 | 3% | 5% | |
| 24 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 86% | |
| 2 | 0% | 86% | |
| 3 | 0% | 86% | |
| 4 | 0% | 86% | |
| 5 | 0% | 86% | |
| 6 | 0% | 86% | |
| 7 | 0% | 86% | |
| 8 | 3% | 86% | |
| 9 | 26% | 83% | |
| 10 | 22% | 57% | Last Result, Median |
| 11 | 16% | 36% | |
| 12 | 10% | 20% | |
| 13 | 7% | 10% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 83% | |
| 2 | 0% | 83% | |
| 3 | 0% | 83% | |
| 4 | 0% | 83% | |
| 5 | 0% | 83% | |
| 6 | 0% | 83% | |
| 7 | 0% | 83% | |
| 8 | 4% | 83% | |
| 9 | 21% | 78% | Last Result |
| 10 | 21% | 58% | Median |
| 11 | 18% | 36% | |
| 12 | 13% | 19% | |
| 13 | 3% | 5% | |
| 14 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Χρυσή Αυγή
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 192 | 100% | 186–199 | 184–201 | 183–203 | 180–208 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 168 | 100% | 163–176 | 161–178 | 160–180 | 157–183 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 81 | 0% | 74–87 | 72–88 | 71–89 | 67–91 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 71 | 0% | 66–77 | 65–78 | 64–79 | 61–82 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 182 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 183 | 2% | 98% | |
| 184 | 3% | 96% | |
| 185 | 2% | 93% | |
| 186 | 4% | 91% | |
| 187 | 3% | 87% | |
| 188 | 7% | 83% | |
| 189 | 8% | 77% | |
| 190 | 10% | 68% | |
| 191 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 192 | 7% | 50% | |
| 193 | 5% | 43% | |
| 194 | 6% | 38% | |
| 195 | 5% | 32% | |
| 196 | 5% | 27% | |
| 197 | 4% | 22% | |
| 198 | 4% | 18% | |
| 199 | 4% | 14% | |
| 200 | 3% | 9% | |
| 201 | 2% | 7% | |
| 202 | 2% | 5% | |
| 203 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 204 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 205 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 206 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 208 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 159 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 160 | 2% | 98% | |
| 161 | 2% | 96% | |
| 162 | 4% | 94% | |
| 163 | 3% | 90% | |
| 164 | 6% | 87% | |
| 165 | 5% | 82% | |
| 166 | 10% | 77% | |
| 167 | 10% | 67% | |
| 168 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 169 | 7% | 50% | |
| 170 | 7% | 43% | |
| 171 | 6% | 36% | |
| 172 | 5% | 30% | |
| 173 | 5% | 26% | |
| 174 | 4% | 20% | |
| 175 | 4% | 16% | |
| 176 | 3% | 11% | |
| 177 | 2% | 8% | |
| 178 | 2% | 6% | |
| 179 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 180 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 181 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 3% | 96% | |
| 73 | 2% | 93% | |
| 74 | 5% | 91% | |
| 75 | 5% | 86% | |
| 76 | 4% | 81% | |
| 77 | 5% | 78% | |
| 78 | 8% | 72% | |
| 79 | 5% | 65% | |
| 80 | 9% | 60% | |
| 81 | 12% | 50% | Median |
| 82 | 6% | 39% | |
| 83 | 8% | 32% | |
| 84 | 6% | 24% | |
| 85 | 4% | 18% | |
| 86 | 4% | 14% | |
| 87 | 6% | 11% | |
| 88 | 2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 2% | 4% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 96% | |
| 66 | 4% | 93% | |
| 67 | 5% | 90% | |
| 68 | 8% | 85% | |
| 69 | 8% | 77% | |
| 70 | 8% | 69% | |
| 71 | 11% | 61% | Median |
| 72 | 12% | 50% | |
| 73 | 6% | 38% | |
| 74 | 7% | 32% | |
| 75 | 6% | 25% | |
| 76 | 6% | 18% | |
| 77 | 5% | 12% | |
| 78 | 3% | 7% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Alco
- Commissioner(s): Open TV
- Fieldwork period: 6–11 November 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.15%