Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll, 4–11 November 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 48.6% 46.6–50.6% 46.0–51.2% 45.5–51.7% 44.5–52.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 24.4% 22.7–26.2% 22.2–26.7% 21.8–27.2% 21.0–28.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.8–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.8%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 177 172–183 170–185 169–187 166–190
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 64 59–69 58–70 57–71 55–74
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 22 19–25 18–26 18–27 17–29
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–20 14–21 13–21 12–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 9–13 8–14 0–14 0–15
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0.1% 100%  
165 0.1% 99.9%  
166 0.3% 99.7%  
167 0.5% 99.4%  
168 0.8% 98.9%  
169 2% 98%  
170 3% 97%  
171 3% 94%  
172 4% 90%  
173 6% 86%  
174 8% 80%  
175 8% 72%  
176 8% 64%  
177 9% 56% Median
178 10% 47%  
179 8% 37%  
180 7% 29%  
181 6% 22%  
182 5% 16%  
183 3% 12%  
184 3% 8%  
185 2% 6%  
186 1.4% 4%  
187 1.0% 3%  
188 0.6% 2%  
189 0.4% 1.0%  
190 0.3% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0.1% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.4% 99.7%  
56 0.9% 99.3%  
57 2% 98%  
58 3% 97%  
59 4% 94%  
60 6% 89%  
61 8% 83%  
62 10% 76%  
63 11% 65%  
64 12% 55% Median
65 10% 43%  
66 9% 33%  
67 7% 24%  
68 6% 17%  
69 4% 11%  
70 3% 7%  
71 2% 4%  
72 0.9% 2%  
73 0.6% 1.3%  
74 0.3% 0.6%  
75 0.2% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.3% 99.9%  
17 1.2% 99.6%  
18 3% 98%  
19 7% 95%  
20 12% 88%  
21 16% 77%  
22 17% 61% Last Result, Median
23 16% 44%  
24 12% 28%  
25 8% 16%  
26 5% 8%  
27 2% 4%  
28 1.0% 2%  
29 0.4% 0.6%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.9%  
13 2% 99.4%  
14 6% 97%  
15 12% 91% Last Result
16 17% 80%  
17 18% 62% Median
18 17% 44%  
19 13% 27%  
20 8% 14%  
21 4% 6%  
22 2% 2%  
23 0.6% 0.9%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 5% 97%  
9 15% 92%  
10 25% 77% Last Result
11 21% 52% Median
12 17% 31%  
13 9% 14%  
14 4% 6%  
15 1.2% 2%  
16 0.4% 0.4%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100%  
1 0% 89%  
2 0% 89%  
3 0% 89%  
4 0% 89%  
5 0% 89%  
6 0% 89%  
7 0% 89%  
8 16% 89%  
9 19% 73% Last Result
10 28% 54% Median
11 14% 26%  
12 8% 12%  
13 3% 4%  
14 0.7% 1.0%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 199 100% 194–205 192–207 191–209 189–212
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 177 100% 172–183 170–185 169–187 166–190
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 73 0% 67–78 65–79 63–81 60–83
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 64 0% 59–69 58–70 57–71 55–74

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0.1% 100%  
187 0.1% 99.9%  
188 0.2% 99.8%  
189 0.5% 99.5%  
190 0.8% 99.1%  
191 1.5% 98%  
192 2% 97%  
193 3% 95%  
194 5% 91%  
195 5% 87%  
196 8% 82%  
197 7% 74%  
198 9% 66%  
199 9% 57% Median
200 9% 48%  
201 8% 39%  
202 7% 31%  
203 6% 23%  
204 4% 17%  
205 4% 13%  
206 2% 9%  
207 2% 7%  
208 2% 5%  
209 0.9% 3%  
210 0.9% 2%  
211 0.5% 1.4%  
212 0.4% 0.9%  
213 0.2% 0.5%  
214 0.1% 0.3%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0.1% 100%  
165 0.1% 99.9%  
166 0.3% 99.7%  
167 0.5% 99.4%  
168 0.8% 98.9%  
169 2% 98%  
170 3% 97%  
171 3% 94%  
172 4% 90%  
173 6% 86%  
174 8% 80%  
175 8% 72%  
176 8% 64%  
177 9% 56% Median
178 10% 47%  
179 8% 37%  
180 7% 29%  
181 6% 22%  
182 5% 16%  
183 3% 12%  
184 3% 8%  
185 2% 6%  
186 1.4% 4%  
187 1.0% 3%  
188 0.6% 2%  
189 0.4% 1.0%  
190 0.3% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0.1% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.8%  
60 0.3% 99.6%  
61 0.5% 99.3%  
62 0.7% 98.8%  
63 1.0% 98%  
64 1.3% 97%  
65 2% 96%  
66 2% 94%  
67 3% 92%  
68 4% 89%  
69 5% 85%  
70 6% 80%  
71 8% 73%  
72 10% 65%  
73 10% 55%  
74 10% 46% Median
75 9% 36%  
76 8% 27%  
77 5% 19%  
78 5% 13%  
79 4% 9%  
80 2% 5%  
81 1.4% 3%  
82 0.8% 2%  
83 0.4% 0.9%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.4% 99.7%  
56 0.9% 99.3%  
57 2% 98%  
58 3% 97%  
59 4% 94%  
60 6% 89%  
61 8% 83%  
62 10% 76%  
63 11% 65%  
64 12% 55% Median
65 10% 43%  
66 9% 33%  
67 7% 24%  
68 6% 17%  
69 4% 11%  
70 3% 7%  
71 2% 4%  
72 0.9% 2%  
73 0.6% 1.3%  
74 0.3% 0.6%  
75 0.2% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations