Opinion Poll by MRB for Star, 22–24 November 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 47.0% 45.0–49.0% 44.4–49.6% 43.9–50.1% 43.0–51.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.1% 25.3–28.9% 24.8–29.5% 24.4–29.9% 23.6–30.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.1% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.6% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.6% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.2% 3.9–7.7%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.2–6.6% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.4%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.4% 2.8–4.2% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 173 168–179 166–181 165–183 162–186
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 66–76 65–78 64–79 62–81
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 19 16–22 15–22 15–23 14–25
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 12–17 12–18 11–19 10–20
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–17 11–17 11–18 10–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0.1% 100%  
161 0.1% 99.9%  
162 0.3% 99.8%  
163 0.4% 99.4%  
164 0.9% 99.0%  
165 1.5% 98%  
166 2% 97%  
167 3% 95%  
168 5% 91%  
169 6% 87%  
170 7% 81%  
171 8% 74%  
172 9% 66%  
173 9% 57% Median
174 8% 48%  
175 9% 40%  
176 6% 31%  
177 6% 25%  
178 5% 18%  
179 4% 13%  
180 3% 10%  
181 2% 6%  
182 2% 4%  
183 1.0% 3%  
184 0.8% 2%  
185 0.3% 0.8%  
186 0.3% 0.5%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.8%  
62 0.5% 99.6%  
63 1.0% 99.2%  
64 2% 98%  
65 3% 97%  
66 4% 94%  
67 6% 90%  
68 8% 84%  
69 8% 76%  
70 10% 68%  
71 11% 58% Median
72 10% 47%  
73 9% 36%  
74 8% 27%  
75 6% 19%  
76 5% 13%  
77 3% 9%  
78 2% 5%  
79 1.2% 3%  
80 0.8% 2%  
81 0.5% 1.0%  
82 0.3% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.4% 100%  
14 0.8% 99.6%  
15 5% 98.7%  
16 6% 93%  
17 15% 87%  
18 20% 72%  
19 16% 52% Median
20 17% 36%  
21 8% 20%  
22 8% 12% Last Result
23 2% 4%  
24 2% 2%  
25 0.4% 0.7%  
26 0.2% 0.2%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.5% 99.9%  
11 3% 99.4%  
12 7% 97%  
13 14% 90%  
14 20% 76%  
15 20% 56% Last Result, Median
16 16% 36%  
17 10% 19%  
18 5% 9%  
19 2% 4%  
20 0.9% 1.3%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 2% 99.7% Last Result
11 6% 98%  
12 12% 92%  
13 20% 80%  
14 21% 61% Median
15 17% 40%  
16 13% 23%  
17 6% 10%  
18 3% 4%  
19 1.0% 1.5%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100%  
1 0% 78%  
2 0% 78%  
3 0% 78%  
4 0% 78%  
5 0% 78%  
6 0% 78%  
7 0% 78%  
8 15% 78%  
9 27% 63% Last Result, Median
10 20% 37%  
11 11% 17%  
12 4% 6%  
13 1.4% 2%  
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 192 100% 187–198 185–200 184–202 181–205
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 173 100% 168–179 166–181 165–183 162–186
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 79 0% 72–85 71–86 69–87 66–90
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 0% 66–76 65–78 64–79 62–81

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
178 0% 100%  
179 0.1% 99.9%  
180 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
181 0.4% 99.7%  
182 0.5% 99.3%  
183 1.1% 98.8%  
184 2% 98%  
185 2% 96%  
186 4% 94%  
187 5% 90%  
188 7% 85%  
189 6% 79%  
190 10% 73%  
191 8% 63%  
192 10% 55% Median
193 7% 45%  
194 8% 37%  
195 6% 29%  
196 6% 24%  
197 4% 18%  
198 4% 13%  
199 3% 10%  
200 2% 7%  
201 2% 5%  
202 0.8% 3%  
203 0.8% 2%  
204 0.4% 1.0%  
205 0.3% 0.6%  
206 0.1% 0.3%  
207 0.1% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0.1% 100%  
161 0.1% 99.9%  
162 0.3% 99.8%  
163 0.4% 99.4%  
164 0.9% 99.0%  
165 1.5% 98%  
166 2% 97%  
167 3% 95%  
168 5% 91%  
169 6% 87%  
170 7% 81%  
171 8% 74%  
172 9% 66%  
173 9% 57% Median
174 8% 48%  
175 9% 40%  
176 6% 31%  
177 6% 25%  
178 5% 18%  
179 4% 13%  
180 3% 10%  
181 2% 6%  
182 2% 4%  
183 1.0% 3%  
184 0.8% 2%  
185 0.3% 0.8%  
186 0.3% 0.5%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.3% 99.7%  
67 0.5% 99.4%  
68 0.9% 98.9%  
69 1.2% 98%  
70 2% 97%  
71 2% 95%  
72 3% 93%  
73 3% 90%  
74 4% 87%  
75 5% 82%  
76 7% 77%  
77 7% 71%  
78 8% 63%  
79 9% 56%  
80 8% 47% Median
81 9% 38%  
82 7% 29%  
83 7% 22%  
84 4% 14%  
85 4% 10%  
86 2% 6%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.9% 2%  
89 0.5% 1.1%  
90 0.3% 0.6%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.8%  
62 0.5% 99.6%  
63 1.0% 99.2%  
64 2% 98%  
65 3% 97%  
66 4% 94%  
67 6% 90%  
68 8% 84%  
69 8% 76%  
70 10% 68%  
71 11% 58% Median
72 10% 47%  
73 9% 36%  
74 8% 27%  
75 6% 19%  
76 5% 13%  
77 3% 9%  
78 2% 5%  
79 1.2% 3%  
80 0.8% 2%  
81 0.5% 1.0%  
82 0.3% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations