Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 24–26 November 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 44.0% | 42.2–45.8% | 41.7–46.3% | 41.3–46.7% | 40.5–47.5% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 25.5% | 24.0–27.1% | 23.6–27.6% | 23.2–28.0% | 22.5–28.7% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6–8.5% | 6.4–8.8% | 6.2–9.0% | 5.8–9.5% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7–7.4% | 5.5–7.7% | 5.3–8.0% | 4.9–8.4% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.3–7.0% | 5.0–7.2% | 4.8–7.5% | 4.5–7.9% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.4–5.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 168 | 163–173 | 162–175 | 161–176 | 159–179 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 69 | 65–73 | 63–74 | 62–76 | 61–78 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 20 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 17–24 | 15–26 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 18 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 13–23 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 16 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 12–21 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 9 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 160 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 161 | 2% | 98% | |
| 162 | 3% | 97% | |
| 163 | 4% | 93% | |
| 164 | 6% | 89% | |
| 165 | 7% | 83% | |
| 166 | 9% | 76% | |
| 167 | 9% | 68% | |
| 168 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 169 | 9% | 49% | |
| 170 | 11% | 40% | |
| 171 | 8% | 29% | |
| 172 | 7% | 22% | |
| 173 | 5% | 15% | |
| 174 | 3% | 10% | |
| 175 | 2% | 6% | |
| 176 | 2% | 4% | |
| 177 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 178 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 179 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 63 | 3% | 97% | |
| 64 | 4% | 95% | |
| 65 | 6% | 90% | |
| 66 | 9% | 84% | |
| 67 | 11% | 75% | |
| 68 | 12% | 65% | |
| 69 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 70 | 11% | 41% | |
| 71 | 9% | 30% | |
| 72 | 7% | 21% | |
| 73 | 5% | 14% | |
| 74 | 3% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 17 | 6% | 98% | |
| 18 | 10% | 92% | |
| 19 | 18% | 82% | |
| 20 | 19% | 63% | Median |
| 21 | 19% | 44% | |
| 22 | 12% | 25% | Last Result |
| 23 | 8% | 13% | |
| 24 | 3% | 5% | |
| 25 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 15 | 8% | 95% | Last Result |
| 16 | 12% | 87% | |
| 17 | 21% | 75% | |
| 18 | 26% | 54% | Median |
| 19 | 15% | 28% | |
| 20 | 6% | 13% | |
| 21 | 4% | 7% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 14 | 11% | 95% | |
| 15 | 18% | 85% | |
| 16 | 21% | 66% | Median |
| 17 | 18% | 45% | |
| 18 | 14% | 27% | |
| 19 | 8% | 13% | |
| 20 | 3% | 5% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 86% | |
| 2 | 0% | 86% | |
| 3 | 0% | 86% | |
| 4 | 0% | 86% | |
| 5 | 0% | 86% | |
| 6 | 0% | 86% | |
| 7 | 0% | 86% | |
| 8 | 9% | 86% | |
| 9 | 27% | 77% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 26% | 50% | |
| 11 | 15% | 24% | |
| 12 | 6% | 9% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 189 | 100% | 184–194 | 182–196 | 181–197 | 179–200 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 168 | 100% | 163–173 | 162–175 | 161–176 | 159–179 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 78 | 0% | 72–82 | 70–83 | 68–85 | 65–87 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 69 | 0% | 65–73 | 63–74 | 62–76 | 61–78 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 179 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 180 | 0.8% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 181 | 2% | 98% | |
| 182 | 3% | 97% | |
| 183 | 4% | 94% | |
| 184 | 5% | 91% | |
| 185 | 8% | 85% | |
| 186 | 6% | 77% | |
| 187 | 12% | 71% | |
| 188 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 189 | 10% | 50% | |
| 190 | 10% | 40% | |
| 191 | 8% | 31% | |
| 192 | 6% | 23% | |
| 193 | 4% | 16% | |
| 194 | 4% | 12% | |
| 195 | 2% | 8% | |
| 196 | 2% | 6% | |
| 197 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 198 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 199 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 200 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 201 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 160 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 161 | 2% | 98% | |
| 162 | 3% | 97% | |
| 163 | 4% | 93% | |
| 164 | 6% | 89% | |
| 165 | 7% | 83% | |
| 166 | 9% | 76% | |
| 167 | 9% | 68% | |
| 168 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 169 | 9% | 49% | |
| 170 | 11% | 40% | |
| 171 | 8% | 29% | |
| 172 | 7% | 22% | |
| 173 | 5% | 15% | |
| 174 | 3% | 10% | |
| 175 | 2% | 6% | |
| 176 | 2% | 4% | |
| 177 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 178 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 179 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 70 | 2% | 96% | |
| 71 | 2% | 94% | |
| 72 | 3% | 91% | |
| 73 | 4% | 88% | |
| 74 | 5% | 84% | |
| 75 | 8% | 79% | |
| 76 | 8% | 70% | |
| 77 | 11% | 62% | |
| 78 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 79 | 11% | 41% | |
| 80 | 9% | 30% | |
| 81 | 7% | 21% | |
| 82 | 5% | 14% | |
| 83 | 4% | 9% | |
| 84 | 2% | 5% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 63 | 3% | 97% | |
| 64 | 4% | 95% | |
| 65 | 6% | 90% | |
| 66 | 9% | 84% | |
| 67 | 11% | 75% | |
| 68 | 12% | 65% | |
| 69 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 70 | 11% | 41% | |
| 71 | 9% | 30% | |
| 72 | 7% | 21% | |
| 73 | 5% | 14% | |
| 74 | 3% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Pulse RC
- Commissioner(s): ΣΚΑΪ
- Fieldwork period: 24–26 November 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1312
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.38%