Opinion Poll by MRB for Star, 27 November–11 December 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 44.9% | 43.5–46.3% | 43.1–46.7% | 42.7–47.1% | 42.1–47.8% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 27.2% | 25.9–28.5% | 25.6–28.9% | 25.3–29.2% | 24.7–29.8% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2–8.7% | 7.0–9.0% | 6.8–9.2% | 6.5–9.6% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3–6.6% | 5.1–6.8% | 4.9–7.0% | 4.7–7.4% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2–5.5% | 4.1–5.7% | 3.9–5.8% | 3.7–6.2% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2–4.3% | 3.1–4.5% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.7–4.9% |
| Χρυσή Αυγή | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.6% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 169 | 165–172 | 164–173 | 163–175 | 161–178 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 72 | 69–75 | 68–77 | 67–78 | 65–79 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 21 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 18–24 | 17–25 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 16 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–20 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| Χρυσή Αυγή | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 163 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 164 | 4% | 97% | |
| 165 | 7% | 93% | |
| 166 | 6% | 86% | |
| 167 | 14% | 80% | |
| 168 | 15% | 66% | |
| 169 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 170 | 12% | 43% | |
| 171 | 12% | 31% | |
| 172 | 12% | 19% | |
| 173 | 3% | 7% | |
| 174 | 2% | 4% | |
| 175 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 176 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 177 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 178 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 68 | 4% | 97% | |
| 69 | 11% | 93% | |
| 70 | 16% | 82% | |
| 71 | 11% | 66% | |
| 72 | 13% | 55% | Median |
| 73 | 13% | 42% | |
| 74 | 14% | 29% | |
| 75 | 6% | 15% | |
| 76 | 4% | 9% | |
| 77 | 3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 19 | 12% | 94% | |
| 20 | 17% | 82% | |
| 21 | 26% | 65% | Median |
| 22 | 18% | 39% | Last Result |
| 23 | 14% | 21% | |
| 24 | 6% | 8% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 14 | 11% | 95% | |
| 15 | 28% | 84% | Last Result |
| 16 | 33% | 56% | Median |
| 17 | 14% | 23% | |
| 18 | 8% | 10% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 11 | 18% | 98% | |
| 12 | 29% | 80% | |
| 13 | 22% | 51% | Median |
| 14 | 20% | 29% | |
| 15 | 7% | 9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0% | 97% | |
| 8 | 8% | 97% | |
| 9 | 22% | 88% | Last Result |
| 10 | 33% | 66% | Median |
| 11 | 21% | 33% | |
| 12 | 10% | 12% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Χρυσή Αυγή
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 190 | 100% | 186–194 | 185–195 | 184–196 | 182–199 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 169 | 100% | 165–172 | 164–173 | 163–175 | 161–178 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 82 | 0% | 79–85 | 77–87 | 75–87 | 72–89 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 72 | 0% | 69–75 | 68–77 | 67–78 | 65–79 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 183 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 184 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 185 | 7% | 97% | |
| 186 | 2% | 90% | |
| 187 | 10% | 88% | |
| 188 | 7% | 78% | |
| 189 | 18% | 72% | |
| 190 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 191 | 11% | 43% | |
| 192 | 14% | 31% | |
| 193 | 4% | 17% | |
| 194 | 8% | 13% | |
| 195 | 2% | 5% | |
| 196 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 197 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 198 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 163 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 164 | 4% | 97% | |
| 165 | 7% | 93% | |
| 166 | 6% | 86% | |
| 167 | 14% | 80% | |
| 168 | 15% | 66% | |
| 169 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 170 | 12% | 43% | |
| 171 | 12% | 31% | |
| 172 | 12% | 19% | |
| 173 | 3% | 7% | |
| 174 | 2% | 4% | |
| 175 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 176 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 177 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 178 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 77 | 3% | 96% | |
| 78 | 2% | 93% | |
| 79 | 12% | 91% | |
| 80 | 12% | 79% | |
| 81 | 11% | 67% | |
| 82 | 23% | 56% | Median |
| 83 | 6% | 33% | |
| 84 | 11% | 27% | |
| 85 | 6% | 15% | |
| 86 | 4% | 9% | |
| 87 | 4% | 6% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 68 | 4% | 97% | |
| 69 | 11% | 93% | |
| 70 | 16% | 82% | |
| 71 | 11% | 66% | |
| 72 | 13% | 55% | Median |
| 73 | 13% | 42% | |
| 74 | 14% | 29% | |
| 75 | 6% | 15% | |
| 76 | 4% | 9% | |
| 77 | 3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: MRB
- Commissioner(s): Star
- Fieldwork period: 27 November–11 December 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 2000
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 0.91%