Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 12–16 December 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 43.9% | 42.6–45.2% | 42.3–45.6% | 41.9–45.9% | 41.3–46.5% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 26.6% | 25.5–27.8% | 25.1–28.1% | 24.9–28.4% | 24.3–29.0% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8–8.2% | 6.6–8.4% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.2–9.0% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8–7.1% | 5.6–7.3% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.2–7.8% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1–5.2% | 3.9–5.4% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5–3.4% | 2.4–3.5% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.1–3.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 173 | 168–177 | 167–178 | 166–178 | 164–180 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 72 | 69–75 | 69–76 | 68–77 | 66–80 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 21 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 18 | 16–19 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 14–21 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 164 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 165 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 166 | 2% | 98% | |
| 167 | 4% | 97% | |
| 168 | 4% | 93% | |
| 169 | 8% | 89% | |
| 170 | 9% | 81% | |
| 171 | 6% | 72% | |
| 172 | 12% | 66% | |
| 173 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 174 | 10% | 41% | |
| 175 | 11% | 31% | |
| 176 | 10% | 21% | |
| 177 | 5% | 10% | |
| 178 | 3% | 5% | |
| 179 | 2% | 2% | |
| 180 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 3% | 98% | |
| 69 | 6% | 95% | |
| 70 | 9% | 89% | |
| 71 | 18% | 80% | |
| 72 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 73 | 17% | 46% | |
| 74 | 17% | 29% | |
| 75 | 5% | 12% | |
| 76 | 3% | 7% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 19 | 10% | 96% | |
| 20 | 21% | 86% | |
| 21 | 27% | 65% | Median |
| 22 | 21% | 38% | Last Result |
| 23 | 12% | 17% | |
| 24 | 3% | 5% | |
| 25 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 6% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 16 | 15% | 93% | |
| 17 | 20% | 78% | |
| 18 | 29% | 58% | Median |
| 19 | 20% | 29% | |
| 20 | 7% | 8% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 11 | 11% | 98% | |
| 12 | 24% | 87% | |
| 13 | 36% | 63% | Median |
| 14 | 21% | 27% | |
| 15 | 5% | 6% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 60% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 40% | |
| 2 | 0% | 40% | |
| 3 | 0% | 40% | |
| 4 | 0% | 40% | |
| 5 | 0% | 40% | |
| 6 | 0% | 40% | |
| 7 | 0% | 40% | |
| 8 | 15% | 40% | |
| 9 | 20% | 26% | Last Result |
| 10 | 5% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 194 | 100% | 190–198 | 189–198 | 187–199 | 183–200 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 173 | 100% | 168–177 | 167–178 | 166–178 | 164–180 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 75 | 0% | 71–81 | 71–82 | 70–83 | 69–85 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 72 | 0% | 69–75 | 69–76 | 68–77 | 66–80 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 185 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 187 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 188 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 189 | 5% | 96% | |
| 190 | 14% | 91% | |
| 191 | 7% | 77% | |
| 192 | 7% | 70% | |
| 193 | 3% | 62% | |
| 194 | 12% | 59% | Median |
| 195 | 11% | 47% | |
| 196 | 13% | 35% | |
| 197 | 10% | 22% | |
| 198 | 8% | 12% | |
| 199 | 3% | 4% | |
| 200 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 201 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 164 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 165 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 166 | 2% | 98% | |
| 167 | 4% | 97% | |
| 168 | 4% | 93% | |
| 169 | 8% | 89% | |
| 170 | 9% | 81% | |
| 171 | 6% | 72% | |
| 172 | 12% | 66% | |
| 173 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 174 | 10% | 41% | |
| 175 | 11% | 31% | |
| 176 | 10% | 21% | |
| 177 | 5% | 10% | |
| 178 | 3% | 5% | |
| 179 | 2% | 2% | |
| 180 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 7% | 97% | |
| 72 | 9% | 89% | Median |
| 73 | 15% | 80% | |
| 74 | 15% | 66% | |
| 75 | 5% | 50% | |
| 76 | 3% | 45% | |
| 77 | 5% | 42% | |
| 78 | 4% | 37% | |
| 79 | 14% | 33% | |
| 80 | 9% | 19% | |
| 81 | 3% | 10% | |
| 82 | 4% | 7% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 3% | 98% | |
| 69 | 6% | 95% | |
| 70 | 9% | 89% | |
| 71 | 18% | 80% | |
| 72 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 73 | 17% | 46% | |
| 74 | 17% | 29% | |
| 75 | 5% | 12% | |
| 76 | 3% | 7% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Pulse RC
- Commissioner(s): ΣΚΑΪ
- Fieldwork period: 12–16 December 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 2418
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.10%