Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 19–20 January 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 44.1% 42.1–46.1% 41.5–46.7% 41.0–47.2% 40.1–48.2%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.6% 25.8–29.5% 25.3–30.0% 24.9–30.5% 24.1–31.4%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.8–9.1% 5.4–9.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.2% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–9.0% 5.3–9.6%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 166 162–173 160–174 158–175 156–180
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 68–78 67–79 66–81 64–83
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 19 17–22 16–23 16–24 14–26
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 17–22 16–23 15–24 14–25
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 11–15 10–16 9–16 9–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.3% 99.8%  
156 0.5% 99.6%  
157 0.7% 99.1%  
158 1.0% 98% Last Result
159 1.1% 97%  
160 2% 96%  
161 4% 94%  
162 5% 90%  
163 7% 85%  
164 11% 78%  
165 13% 68%  
166 6% 55% Median
167 11% 49%  
168 6% 38%  
169 6% 32%  
170 7% 26%  
171 5% 19%  
172 3% 14%  
173 4% 11%  
174 3% 7%  
175 1.3% 4%  
176 1.0% 2%  
177 0.5% 1.5%  
178 0.2% 1.0%  
179 0.2% 0.7%  
180 0.4% 0.5%  
181 0.1% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.8%  
64 0.5% 99.5%  
65 1.0% 99.0%  
66 2% 98%  
67 2% 96%  
68 5% 94%  
69 4% 89%  
70 11% 85%  
71 4% 74%  
72 13% 70%  
73 9% 57% Median
74 11% 48%  
75 9% 37%  
76 8% 28%  
77 9% 20%  
78 2% 11%  
79 4% 9%  
80 2% 5%  
81 0.8% 3%  
82 1.1% 2%  
83 0.4% 0.8%  
84 0.1% 0.4%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.7% 99.9%  
15 2% 99.3%  
16 5% 98%  
17 10% 93%  
18 14% 83%  
19 23% 69% Median
20 13% 46%  
21 18% 33%  
22 6% 15% Last Result
23 6% 10%  
24 2% 4%  
25 2% 2%  
26 0.4% 0.5%  
27 0.1% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.7% 99.8%  
15 3% 99.2% Last Result
16 5% 97%  
17 10% 92%  
18 20% 82%  
19 17% 62% Median
20 17% 45%  
21 11% 28%  
22 11% 17%  
23 3% 6%  
24 2% 3%  
25 0.9% 1.2%  
26 0.2% 0.3%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0.1% 99.9%  
9 4% 99.7%  
10 3% 96% Last Result
11 23% 93%  
12 14% 70%  
13 30% 56% Median
14 10% 26%  
15 11% 16%  
16 3% 6%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.3% 0.5%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100%  
1 0% 85%  
2 0% 85%  
3 0% 85%  
4 0% 85%  
5 0% 85%  
6 0% 85%  
7 0% 85%  
8 6% 85%  
9 30% 79% Last Result, Median
10 19% 49%  
11 19% 30%  
12 6% 11%  
13 4% 5%  
14 0.9% 1.2%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 186 100% 181–192 179–194 178–196 175–199
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 166 100% 162–173 160–174 158–175 156–180
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 82 0% 76–87 74–89 73–90 70–92
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 0% 68–78 67–79 66–81 64–83

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
173 0% 100%  
174 0.3% 99.9%  
175 0.3% 99.6%  
176 0.6% 99.3%  
177 0.6% 98.7%  
178 1.3% 98%  
179 2% 97%  
180 3% 95% Last Result
181 4% 92%  
182 7% 87%  
183 8% 80%  
184 15% 73%  
185 7% 58% Median
186 6% 51%  
187 8% 45%  
188 9% 37%  
189 6% 28%  
190 5% 22%  
191 3% 17%  
192 4% 14%  
193 4% 10%  
194 3% 6%  
195 0.6% 3%  
196 1.4% 3%  
197 0.4% 1.4%  
198 0.1% 1.0%  
199 0.5% 0.8%  
200 0.1% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0.1% 0.2%  
203 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.3% 99.8%  
156 0.5% 99.6%  
157 0.7% 99.1%  
158 1.0% 98% Last Result
159 1.1% 97%  
160 2% 96%  
161 4% 94%  
162 5% 90%  
163 7% 85%  
164 11% 78%  
165 13% 68%  
166 6% 55% Median
167 11% 49%  
168 6% 38%  
169 6% 32%  
170 7% 26%  
171 5% 19%  
172 3% 14%  
173 4% 11%  
174 3% 7%  
175 1.3% 4%  
176 1.0% 2%  
177 0.5% 1.5%  
178 0.2% 1.0%  
179 0.2% 0.7%  
180 0.4% 0.5%  
181 0.1% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.8%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.7%  
71 0.8% 99.4%  
72 1.0% 98.6%  
73 2% 98%  
74 2% 96%  
75 1.4% 94%  
76 4% 93%  
77 6% 89%  
78 3% 83%  
79 10% 80%  
80 6% 70%  
81 11% 64%  
82 7% 53% Median
83 4% 45%  
84 13% 41%  
85 8% 28%  
86 7% 21%  
87 6% 13%  
88 2% 8%  
89 2% 5%  
90 1.3% 3%  
91 0.6% 2%  
92 0.8% 1.1%  
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.8%  
64 0.5% 99.5%  
65 1.0% 99.0%  
66 2% 98%  
67 2% 96%  
68 5% 94%  
69 4% 89%  
70 11% 85%  
71 4% 74%  
72 13% 70%  
73 9% 57% Median
74 11% 48%  
75 9% 37%  
76 8% 28%  
77 9% 20%  
78 2% 11%  
79 4% 9%  
80 2% 5%  
81 0.8% 3%  
82 1.1% 2%  
83 0.4% 0.8%  
84 0.1% 0.4%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations