Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 25–27 January 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 42.8% 41.3–44.3% 40.8–44.8% 40.5–45.2% 39.7–45.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.4% 24.1–26.8% 23.7–27.2% 23.4–27.5% 22.7–28.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.1% 7.3–9.0% 7.1–9.3% 6.9–9.5% 6.5–9.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.9% 6.2–7.8% 6.0–8.0% 5.8–8.2% 5.5–8.7%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.2% 4.6–6.0% 4.4–6.2% 4.3–6.4% 4.0–6.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.5% 3.0–4.2% 2.9–4.3% 2.7–4.5% 2.5–4.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 166 162–171 161–172 160–174 158–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 69 65–73 64–74 63–75 62–77
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 22 20–24 19–25 19–26 18–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 17–21 16–22 16–22 15–24
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 13–16 12–17 12–17 11–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0.1% 100%  
157 0.2% 99.9%  
158 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
159 1.0% 99.4%  
160 1.4% 98%  
161 3% 97%  
162 8% 94%  
163 4% 86%  
164 9% 81%  
165 12% 73%  
166 12% 61% Median
167 11% 49%  
168 10% 38%  
169 10% 28%  
170 5% 17%  
171 4% 13%  
172 4% 8%  
173 1.0% 5%  
174 2% 4%  
175 0.5% 2%  
176 0.7% 1.1%  
177 0.2% 0.4%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.6% 99.7%  
63 2% 99.1%  
64 3% 97%  
65 5% 94%  
66 6% 89%  
67 12% 84%  
68 14% 71%  
69 15% 57% Median
70 11% 43%  
71 8% 32%  
72 10% 24%  
73 6% 14%  
74 5% 8%  
75 2% 4%  
76 1.0% 2%  
77 0.5% 0.8%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.3% 100%  
18 1.2% 99.6%  
19 6% 98%  
20 13% 93%  
21 16% 80%  
22 21% 64% Last Result, Median
23 20% 43%  
24 13% 23%  
25 6% 10%  
26 3% 4%  
27 0.8% 1.0%  
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 1.2% 99.8% Last Result
16 5% 98.6%  
17 11% 94%  
18 26% 82%  
19 18% 57% Median
20 20% 39%  
21 11% 19%  
22 6% 8%  
23 1.5% 2%  
24 0.5% 0.6%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100% Last Result
11 2% 99.7%  
12 8% 98%  
13 19% 90%  
14 25% 71% Median
15 26% 46%  
16 12% 20%  
17 6% 8%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100%  
1 0% 88%  
2 0% 88%  
3 0% 88%  
4 0% 88%  
5 0% 88%  
6 0% 88%  
7 0% 88%  
8 6% 88%  
9 24% 82% Last Result
10 34% 59% Median
11 18% 25%  
12 5% 6%  
13 1.4% 2%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 188 100% 184–193 183–195 182–196 180–199
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 166 100% 162–171 161–172 160–174 158–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 78 0% 73–82 71–83 70–84 67–86
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 69 0% 65–73 64–74 63–75 62–77

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
178 0.1% 100%  
179 0.1% 99.9%  
180 0.4% 99.7% Last Result
181 0.5% 99.3%  
182 2% 98.8%  
183 3% 97%  
184 5% 94%  
185 9% 89%  
186 8% 81%  
187 13% 73%  
188 12% 60% Median
189 6% 48%  
190 14% 42%  
191 7% 28%  
192 5% 21%  
193 6% 16%  
194 3% 10%  
195 2% 6%  
196 2% 4%  
197 0.7% 2%  
198 0.5% 1.3%  
199 0.6% 0.8%  
200 0.1% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0.1% 100%  
157 0.2% 99.9%  
158 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
159 1.0% 99.4%  
160 1.4% 98%  
161 3% 97%  
162 8% 94%  
163 4% 86%  
164 9% 81%  
165 12% 73%  
166 12% 61% Median
167 11% 49%  
168 10% 38%  
169 10% 28%  
170 5% 17%  
171 4% 13%  
172 4% 8%  
173 1.0% 5%  
174 2% 4%  
175 0.5% 2%  
176 0.7% 1.1%  
177 0.2% 0.4%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.6%  
68 0.6% 99.4%  
69 1.2% 98.8%  
70 2% 98%  
71 1.2% 95%  
72 3% 94%  
73 3% 92%  
74 5% 89%  
75 5% 84%  
76 9% 79%  
77 12% 70%  
78 13% 58%  
79 10% 45% Median
80 10% 35%  
81 8% 25%  
82 7% 17%  
83 5% 10%  
84 2% 5%  
85 1.3% 2%  
86 0.6% 1.0%  
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.6% 99.7%  
63 2% 99.1%  
64 3% 97%  
65 5% 94%  
66 6% 89%  
67 12% 84%  
68 14% 71%  
69 15% 57% Median
70 11% 43%  
71 8% 32%  
72 10% 24%  
73 6% 14%  
74 5% 8%  
75 2% 4%  
76 1.0% 2%  
77 0.5% 0.8%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations