Opinion Poll by Alco for Open TV, 15–18 February 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 43.2% 41.2–45.2% 40.6–45.8% 40.2–46.3% 39.2–47.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.7% 25.0–28.6% 24.5–29.1% 24.1–29.5% 23.2–30.4%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.6%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.6–7.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 167 162–173 160–174 159–176 156–179
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 72 67–77 66–79 66–80 63–83
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 21 18–23 17–25 17–25 15–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–20 14–21 13–21 13–24
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 12–17 12–18 12–18 11–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–14
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0.1% 100%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0.2% 99.9%  
156 0.4% 99.7%  
157 0.9% 99.4%  
158 0.8% 98% Last Result
159 0.8% 98%  
160 2% 97%  
161 3% 94%  
162 2% 91%  
163 7% 89%  
164 9% 82%  
165 9% 73%  
166 9% 64%  
167 10% 54% Median
168 3% 44%  
169 6% 41%  
170 11% 35%  
171 8% 24%  
172 5% 16%  
173 4% 11%  
174 3% 7%  
175 1.4% 4%  
176 0.8% 3%  
177 0.9% 2%  
178 0.5% 1.2%  
179 0.3% 0.7%  
180 0.1% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0.1% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.4% 99.9%  
63 0.4% 99.5%  
64 0.1% 99.2%  
65 0.3% 99.0%  
66 5% 98.7%  
67 8% 93%  
68 3% 85%  
69 2% 83%  
70 9% 81%  
71 21% 72%  
72 8% 50% Median
73 0.5% 42%  
74 3% 42%  
75 13% 38%  
76 12% 25%  
77 4% 13%  
78 3% 9%  
79 2% 6%  
80 2% 4%  
81 1.1% 2%  
82 0.1% 1.2%  
83 0.8% 1.1%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.6% 99.9%  
16 1.5% 99.3%  
17 7% 98%  
18 6% 91%  
19 13% 85%  
20 14% 72%  
21 28% 58% Median
22 14% 30% Last Result
23 8% 16%  
24 3% 8%  
25 3% 5%  
26 1.3% 2%  
27 0.6% 0.9%  
28 0.2% 0.2%  
29 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.4% 99.9%  
13 3% 99.6%  
14 5% 97%  
15 9% 92% Last Result
16 19% 83%  
17 18% 64% Median
18 19% 46%  
19 10% 27%  
20 9% 17%  
21 6% 8%  
22 1.2% 2%  
23 0.5% 1.0%  
24 0.4% 0.5%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
11 0.5% 99.6%  
12 19% 99.2%  
13 45% 80% Median
14 6% 35%  
15 0.8% 29%  
16 7% 29%  
17 14% 22%  
18 7% 8%  
19 0.1% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.4%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 0% 84%  
5 0% 84%  
6 0% 84%  
7 0% 84%  
8 9% 84%  
9 31% 75% Last Result, Median
10 20% 44%  
11 16% 23%  
12 5% 7%  
13 1.4% 2%  
14 0.7% 0.8%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 188 100% 182–193 180–195 179–196 177–201
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 167 100% 162–173 160–174 159–176 156–179
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 81 0% 75–86 74–87 70–89 69–91
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 72 0% 67–77 66–79 66–80 63–83

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0.1% 100%  
175 0.2% 99.9%  
176 0.1% 99.7%  
177 0.4% 99.5%  
178 0.4% 99.1%  
179 2% 98.8%  
180 3% 97% Last Result
181 2% 94%  
182 4% 92%  
183 3% 88%  
184 4% 86%  
185 12% 82%  
186 5% 70%  
187 12% 65%  
188 11% 53% Median
189 4% 42%  
190 6% 38%  
191 13% 32%  
192 7% 19%  
193 3% 12%  
194 3% 9%  
195 1.4% 6%  
196 2% 4%  
197 1.1% 2%  
198 0.4% 1.4%  
199 0.2% 1.0%  
200 0.2% 0.8%  
201 0.4% 0.6%  
202 0.1% 0.2%  
203 0.1% 0.2%  
204 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0.1% 100%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0.2% 99.9%  
156 0.4% 99.7%  
157 0.9% 99.4%  
158 0.8% 98% Last Result
159 0.8% 98%  
160 2% 97%  
161 3% 94%  
162 2% 91%  
163 7% 89%  
164 9% 82%  
165 9% 73%  
166 9% 64%  
167 10% 54% Median
168 3% 44%  
169 6% 41%  
170 11% 35%  
171 8% 24%  
172 5% 16%  
173 4% 11%  
174 3% 7%  
175 1.4% 4%  
176 0.8% 3%  
177 0.9% 2%  
178 0.5% 1.2%  
179 0.3% 0.7%  
180 0.1% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0.1% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.8%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0% 99.8%  
69 1.4% 99.8%  
70 2% 98%  
71 0.2% 97%  
72 0.3% 96%  
73 0.5% 96%  
74 3% 96%  
75 5% 92%  
76 7% 88%  
77 5% 81%  
78 5% 76%  
79 3% 71%  
80 16% 68%  
81 15% 52% Median
82 4% 37%  
83 2% 33%  
84 7% 30%  
85 7% 23%  
86 8% 16%  
87 3% 8%  
88 1.1% 4%  
89 1.0% 3%  
90 1.2% 2%  
91 0.6% 1.0%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.4% 99.9%  
63 0.4% 99.5%  
64 0.1% 99.2%  
65 0.3% 99.0%  
66 5% 98.7%  
67 8% 93%  
68 3% 85%  
69 2% 83%  
70 9% 81%  
71 21% 72%  
72 8% 50% Median
73 0.5% 42%  
74 3% 42%  
75 13% 38%  
76 12% 25%  
77 4% 13%  
78 3% 9%  
79 2% 6%  
80 2% 4%  
81 1.1% 2%  
82 0.1% 1.2%  
83 0.8% 1.1%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations